Posted on 03/08/2016 1:19:35 PM PST by Jeff Head
After writing "The Donald Trump Phenomenon - Straight Talk," a couple fo weeks ago. I thought I would further articulate my feelings about this 2016 Election cycle, and in particular the Donald Trump Phenomenon and
what it continues to mean.
This is probably one of the most critical elections for the future of the United States in my life time...similar to, and equal in import, to the 1980 election between then President Jimmy Carter and Ronald
Reagan.
Throughout the GOP Primaries, people have gone from believing that Donald Trump's campaign was not serious, to being aghast at his campaign style, to being surprised at the issues he has raised, to wondering
if and when he might go too far and say things that will end his campaign, to seeing him win numerous states, to seeing record numbers of people turning out to vote, to realizing he might actually win, to
either wildly suppporitng him or trying to find any way to stop him.
Well, as much as some people (ie. the MSM, the DNC, the GOPe, etc.) do not want to admit it, Donald Trump's candidacy and its success to this point is a direct result of a very broken GOP leadership.
candidates, some of them could not follow through because they were blocked by the leadership...and then spurned when they tried (like Ted Cruz) to keep their promises anyway.
This has resulted in a growing frustration and anger amongst Republican voters over the last 10-15 years, who have elected people promising to do one thing, and then seeing them not do it...again, and again,
and again.
Trump has focused on this frustration and provided not only an outlet for it...but has gotten directly into the face of the MSM and the GOPe in a completely politically incorrect fashion.
Inb doing so, Trump says the very things that the frustrated electorate has been thinking, and he proposes plans that they want. And he does it using his own money, and without a lot of adsvisors writing
his speeches for him. THis has his supporters viewing him as a self-made man, a man not beholden to the process...and that is what they want.
This is resulting in a phenomenal attraction to Trump...and not just from the frustrated GOP voters. It is now extending to independents and even democrats who are also sick of the political establishment
and who all want someone to go into that establishment and kick the house down.
They believe Trump is a person who will actually not just talk about it...but who will actually go in and do it.
In the midst of campagning, and indeed, as a result of his former role as a reality show star, people have already determined that:
Romney knew it when he glowingly accepted Trump's endorsement in 2012...and he knew it when he attacked him recently.
But all of these people who are so frustrated and upset with the political estrablismment DO NOT CARE. The people who want to take the country back and want the political establishment put in its place want
things fixed and want theings changed more than they want reverence, political correctness, politeness, or platitudes.
It's that simple and so the people wanting to attack Trump over these things find no traction. They find they cannot use them against Trump because the people already know it and they are supporting him any
The do not understand that it is the very crass nature odf the man, his irreverence, and his profane nature, and the things he is sayting he will do that is precisely what thesevoters want.
This is what is happening in the GOP Presidential Primary race, and IMHO, it is too late for the GOPe or the MSM to stop it.
The establishment and politically correct MSM operatives (which is what they are...passing themselves off as journalists), are simply incapable of understanding these things. The only persoin, IMHO, who
really understands it, and it because he himself has been fighting the GOPe tooth and nail...is Ted cruz.
I personally believe it is also too late for the DNC to do anything about these fundamental issues and the rise of an electroate that wants things fundamentally changed in washington.
If Donald Trump becomes the GOP nominee, then the DNC and the MSM will try to do the same types of things that the GOPe and the MSM will have done...and nfailed at. The DNC will determin in fact that they
have to double down on it, particularly the Clinton machine.
But it will not matter. They will fail as miserably as the GOPe and MSM are failing now...and for the same reasons.
More and more democrats will join this Tsunami (and it may well become a Trump-nami), and the DNC, like the GOPe, and like a lot of the MSMs basic operating policy, will be washed aside in the flood.
If it continues as it is now for Donald Trump, and, there is a chance that it may not with the Cruz campaign, Trump will win the GOP nomniation and then go on to win the presidency in a landslide.
When he does, the political prognosticators on both sides will be shaking their heads wondering what happened...just like they did when Ronald Reagan, whom they viewed as an ignorant, old, right-wing,
class-b actor, swept into the White House in a landslide in 1980. And then won a second election in an even bigger landslide in 1984.
I am a Ted Cruz supporter. I am voting for him and hopes he wins the nomination and then the Presidency. I believe there is still a potential path for him to do so. I believe he would be rock solid as a
conservative and would support the U.S. Constitution more faithfully than anyone else.
But what I described above is the reality of what is happening. At this point...although I believe that the only candidate who might have a chance to change it is Ted Cruz...it is most likley that Trump will
win.
No other candidate, party establishment, prognosticators, media putlet, etc. can stop it.
In the event that Ted Cruz dis unable to change the trend and, in essence have the same qualities become focused on him, (because quite frankly Ted Cruz himself has fought the establishment tooth and nail in
Washington, and could filling that same role)...as I say, in the event Trump proceeds and wins the GOP nomination, as Americans we will then simply have to do all we can to mkae it a win for America.
And I honstely think, the good Lord willing, that we can.
1st and foremost, we have to pray (and fast) in beseeching God in Heaven to turn all of this for the good.
2nd, we have to be active in following through on our prayers and becoming personally involved wherever we can in working hard to turn it for the good.
3rd, we have to constantly voice our feelings to our represetnatives, right up to the President and demand that they keep their promises and fulfill their oaths to the Constitution.
If we do those things, I believe that Donald Trump will proceed and keep his promises to:
frew world.
See my:
The Trump Phenomenon: Straight Talk
Jeff Head
Idaho, USA
March 2016
I support Cruz...I will ABSOLUTELY support Trump if he is the nominee. That’s a big part of what this article is all about...and why.
Almost all Cruz supporters I know feel the same way.
No more lawyer/politicians.
Agreed...
“While the field was competitive with several candidates Reagan did not fare any better than Donald Trump is now.”
While the field was full (5 candidates), Reagan won Alabama with 70%, Georgia with 73% and Kansas with 63%. Has Trump won any state with more that 50%?
“Trump doesn’t have to be “comparable to what Reagan did”...
He just needs to WIN.....”
If not, then why is the article being posted comparing him to Reagan.
“At this point in 1980 Reagan trailed Carter by up to 30 points. Get your facts straight.”
I thought we were talking Primaries here. You know where Reagan succeeded in uniting the base where Trump has succeeded in doing the opposite.
After the March 8 South Carolina primary, Reagan had won New Hampshire with 50% and SC with 55%. Do I misread conventional history?
You and the GOPe are doing everything you can to make sure that there will be no unity once Trump has the nomination.
“After the March 8 South Carolina primary, Reagan had won New Hampshire with 50% and SC with 55%. Do I misread conventional history?”
He also won Vermont
You are pushing on a string...there was a clearer definition between candidates back then. We have now two “anti-establishment” candidates who really are not very dissimilar (except in some minds) on the policies they present. Both have conservative stances on the most important issues. If you took Trump and Cruz vs the rest you would see an even greater gap than Reagan had.
“You and the GOPe are doing everything you can to make sure that there will be no unity once Trump has the nomination.”
I was on board with Trump and Cruz when Trump first entered the race. You can thank him for that no longer being the case.
“Both have conservative stances on the most important issues.”
Right. Now it’s a question of who is most likely not to bend from those stances.
HReagan won Vermont with 30% of the vote, pretty long way from a majority.
The real point is that the primary season usually leans toward one candidate fairly early. That candidate this cycle is Trump, and did he not have such high negatives, there wouldn’t be much doubt.
I am supporting Cruz. I voted for him this morning in Idaho. He is an anti-establishment candidate despite some of the fairly crazy theories (IMHO) going around.
Is he perfect? No. No one is.
But if Cruz does not prevail...and quite frankly at this stage it is a pretty long shot for him...I will absolutely support Trump in the general, and do so gladly.
That is a big part of what this article is about.
In the end, either Trump or Cruz will make an outstanding president...and either of them will put an end to the disastrous Obama policies that +Hillary or sanders would double down on.
ON top of that, either of them will deal a mortal blow (IMHO and at least for the next several years) to the business as usual GOPe.
In the end...reversing Obama, and dealing such a blow to the GOPe is what this is all about to me.
“HReagan won Vermont with 30% of the vote, pretty long way from a majority.”
That’s what we were talking about though right? You said he had only won 2 states, but he had won 3.
Trump WILL not bend that is for certain. I am not so sure about Cruz...I know he has bravely stood alone at times supporting us conservatives on the Senate floor, but it came to nothing. We need someone who will win! But, having said that should Cruz win the nomination I will support him but Donald Trump is definitely my first choice.
Other than those two and we are toast as a nation I believe...
Reread post #14.
“Trump WILL not bend that is for certain.”
Oh please. He flip flops more than a fish out of water.
There were only 8 GOP candidates vying for votes in the 1980 primaries.
There were 12 GOP candidates in Iowa, 2016:
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