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Pennsylvania 18th Congressional District Special Election Thread, 03/12/2018, Saccone vs. Lamb

Posted on 03/13/2018 8:19:22 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX

Your comments, inputs, items of interest, relative weather in the district, turnout as the day goes by, voting problems with machines, equipment, things of interest to voters & observers, general overview, etc. are most welcome!!!


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; lamb; pa2018; paspecialelection; saccone; trump
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To: cotton1706

It’s snowing here in Western PA, but just flurries and a few quick squalls. We aren’t getting any of the Nor’easter.


41 posted on 03/13/2018 9:23:10 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX
Link to the PA Dept. of State page.

2018 Special Election 18th Congressional District

42 posted on 03/13/2018 9:24:26 AM PDT by csvset (illegitimi non carborundum)
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To: TheStickman

This is an entirely different race the GA... and I live in this district, and I can tell you....

Lamb may indeed win.

Saccone’s messaging as well as the GOPE has all been standard red meat republican messaging, attempt to tie lamb to Pelosi... not much else. This may motivate the R voters who would turn out no matter what, but I really really don’t think its going to get the MAGA I and D Cross over voters motivated.

Lamb has run a very good campaign for the district.

Saccone should still win, but it is not out of the question that Lamb pulls it out.. D’s are motivated, Trump Haters are motivated, they are going to show up and vote. I don’t think the Saccone campaign or the GOPe pacs have been providing appropriate messaging to motivate the MAGA voters (other than R’s who would show up anyway) to turn out.

Saccone should by the numbers win, but it is far closer than it should be, and if Saccone wins by less than 8 points, which I really doubt is going to happen, R’s better wake up and fix their messaging before the fall midterms or they are going to lose the house.


43 posted on 03/13/2018 9:26:47 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

So how about the Libertarian in this race? Drew Miller. Will he draw enough Republican votes to give the election to Lamb?


44 posted on 03/13/2018 9:35:39 AM PDT by donozark (Restraining orders are just another way of saying I love you.)
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Win!


45 posted on 03/13/2018 9:36:50 AM PDT by Az Joe (Gloria in excelsis Deo)
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To: donozark

Nope, first time most folks will have ever heard his name will be when they look at the ballot... his a non starter..

Ir R’s lose, its all on them


46 posted on 03/13/2018 9:59:41 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

Why should we agonize here. The district gets what they deserves. Trump will remember this if they let him down. Watch growth get directed out of there. They can then drown in their own dem swill.


47 posted on 03/13/2018 10:00:01 AM PDT by Lagmeister ( false prophets shall rise, and shall show signs and wonders Mark 13:22)
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To: Truth29

If the district flips, flip the tariffs on those ungrateful scum.


48 posted on 03/13/2018 10:02:28 AM PDT by Lagmeister ( false prophets shall rise, and shall show signs and wonders Mark 13:22)
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To: Political Junkie Too

If R’s stick with the messaging they have had for this race, they will lose many close districts and the house in the fall.... Take that to the bank. Regardless if Saccone wins or loses.

There messaging used in this race IMHO does NOTHING to turnout the MAGA I and D crossover voter.....

IF this messaging is the plan for the fall, They WILL lose the house.


49 posted on 03/13/2018 10:03:37 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: Lagmeister

District isn’t going to let Trump down, GOPe will... their messaging of this race has been any R race for the last 15+ years... no message was offered to motivate the MAGA I and D Crossovers to show up.

If Lamb wins, it won’t be because the R’s didn’t fight, its that they fought with the wrong message...

The message MUST motivate MAGA voters to show up, not simply the traditional R voters, and this campaign message has been almost exclusively red meat for traditional R voters...


50 posted on 03/13/2018 10:05:57 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: HamiltonJay

If BS media overrides what folks can see right in front of their face... so be it. Look, they had already lost everything. The jobs left because people let the jobs leave. If the district wants to hug the dem dragon, so be it.


51 posted on 03/13/2018 10:06:19 AM PDT by Lagmeister ( false prophets shall rise, and shall show signs and wonders Mark 13:22)
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To: Lagmeister

Its not about embracing D, its about R not putting out a message to turn out voters....

D’s and Trump haters are going to crawl over glass to vote.

R’s better start figuring out that their message cannot be the same red meat for traditional R voters if they want to drive turnout, they need to get the MAGA I and D cross over voters motivated to turn out this fall, or the R’s will lose the house.


52 posted on 03/13/2018 10:09:46 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Amazin, 45 posts, Half mention turnout will decide it. ...

And not one mentions that turnout is created by boots on the ground going door to door.

Boots are even more important when the candidate lacks charisma.


53 posted on 03/13/2018 10:10:14 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: HamiltonJay
That's on the candidate, and it's probably local to the special election.

That's the point of nationalizing the mid-term election to align the races along a national Trump message. That's difficult to do in this one isolated special election.

Let's hope that Republicans run someone else in this district in November.

-PJ

54 posted on 03/13/2018 10:11:00 AM PDT by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: HamiltonJay

Trump is the message. Tax cut is the message. A tariff is the message. Folks in that district don’t need a stinkin’ RNC media blitz to awaken them to the reality in front of their face!!!! The only people to blame for a dem win in the PA district would be the lazy or generally stupid asses that didn’t vote the way Trump asked them!


55 posted on 03/13/2018 10:23:00 AM PDT by Lagmeister ( false prophets shall rise, and shall show signs and wonders Mark 13:22)
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To: Lagmeister

They may not vote, but they will bitch.


56 posted on 03/13/2018 10:24:13 AM PDT by gathersnomoss
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To: Lagmeister

I agree with you 100%. The Democrats are only interested in illegal aliens & illegal criminals. This guy, Conon Lamb will screw his blue collar voters in a New York Minute if Nancy Pelosi orders him to do so. And, then when the Democrats take over again..it’s back to unemployent for these fools and dining on food stamps.....what ingrates. Trump saves them, brings back their jobs...and this is how they screw him!!! Go figure!!!

The good news is they are screwing themselves and will have no one to blame when the dirt hits the fan...but themselves. Me...I’ll be laughing how they have nary a clue what is good for them. So be it!!! We shall see what they are made of this evening!!!


57 posted on 03/13/2018 10:26:31 AM PDT by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Yep. Repubs need to freshen up or there will be more train wrecks like Roy Moore.

Hopefully this Saccone person can somehow pull it off. I watched Trump’s rally the other night and Saccone got me as excited as I would be watching broccoli grow.


58 posted on 03/13/2018 10:26:44 AM PDT by boycott
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To: spintreebob
boots on the ground going door to door

Got a visit from people stumping for Lamb, but not from anyone supporting Saccone.

Meanwhile, my Democrat co-worker is getting text message after text message telling her where her polling place is, urging her to vote today, etc. I never got a single message, just a few robocalls on my "dead" (unused) home phone.
59 posted on 03/13/2018 10:31:05 AM PDT by rightwingintelligentsia (Democrats: The perfect party for the helpless and stupid, and those who would rule over them.)
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To: rightwingintelligentsia

A couple weeks ago, we got 2 millenial hipster looking freaks knocking on our door from Working America, wanting to know what issues were important to us.

My husband, who is in the coal industry said, “Not being forced into a union, not having my 2nd amendment rights infringed on and getting Trump elected again in 2020.”

They basically thanked us for our time and moved along.


60 posted on 03/13/2018 10:35:28 AM PDT by JenB987
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