In about 20 years, half the population will live in eight states (WaPo is whining)

Washington Post ^ | July 12, 2018 | Philip Bump

[tom h]

The Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service of the University of Virginia analyzed Census Bureau population projections to estimate each state’s likely population in 2040, including the expected breakdown of the population by age and gender ... we see that, in fact, the [US] population will be heavily centered in a few states.

Eight states will have just under half of the total population of the country, 49.5 percent, according to the Weldon Cooper Center’s estimate. The next eight most populous states will account for an additional fifth of the population, up to 69.2 percent — meaning that the 16 most populous states will be home to about 70 percent of Americans ...

... [the] point is clear: 30 percent of the population of the country will control 68 percent of the seats in the U.S. Senate. Or, more starkly, half the population of the country will control 84 percent of those seats ...

[ProtectOurFreedom]

From 38 million down to 36 or 37 millions. That’s still a LOT of people.

[BenLurkin]

Maybe the ChiComs will do America a favor and nuke our ten largest cities.

[Sequoyah101]

The world is log normal.

[Chode]

[A_perfect_lady]

Liberals want it to be like The Hunger Games, where the Capital (snobby, self-indulgent cross-dressers, mostly) control the Districts, which exist only to create goods, send most of them to the Capital, and offer tributes.

[ameribbean expat]

The fallacy here is that current population trends will persist and can be extrapolated into the future ad infinitum.

Florida natives, yours truly included, will migrate to the Rocky Mountain West as northerners and foreign nationals change our home state. We vacation there and own second homes there now, and are looking for a place to land.

AmExpat’s rule of demography: people go to live as adults where they vacationed as children. Want to know the future winners of the demographic derby? Look at the family vacation hotspots today. When I was growing up, everybody in South Florida went to North Carolina for vacation. A third of my high school class lives in that area now - - NC, East TN, Va.

[BunnySlippers]

Bingo!

[BunnySlippers]

Is this what is driving the move to break up California? The article says none of the large states will be on the West Coast.

[2ndDivisionVet]

People are moving here so much that U-Haul and the others have to pay people to drive the trucks back to where they came from.

[Reeses]

nuke our ten largest cities

Socialism is the most destructive weapon of mass destruction ever invented, and it attacks only fake Americans. Give cities unlimited power of taxation and regulation as long as it stays within city limits. They will soon look like they got nuked.

[smokingfrog]

Every state gets two senators regardless of population. That's the way the system works. If people want their vote to have a bigger impact, I guess they could move to one of the less populous states.

[Reeses]

Every state gets two senators regardless of population.

In many cases it's always the city slicker Democrats that choose the senators anyway. There's no such thing as a Democrat or Republican state, only Democrat cities, Republican territories, and the swinging suburbs.

[MarMema]

Your tagline is the best. I loved that piece and use the line on Twitter now and then.

[Axenolith]

Those states aren’t incentivizing the lazy enough to move there. Guess they’ll have double up their borrowing so they can give away more stuff...

[SunkenCiv]

Half the population is living in the 12 or so largest states, right now. Maybe the number is lower than that. Thanks tom h.

• These will be the world's biggest cities in 2030 [2018]
• Hey, Democrats, The System Doesn't Need To Be 'Fixed' Every Time You Lose An Election [2018]
• 2056: Looking Backward from a Trump Future [2018]
• Illegal Aliens Give California NINE Extra Electoral Votes [2018]
• California Democrat's Voting Scam: The Golden State does favors for illegal immigrants [2018]
• Radical plan to split California into three states earns spot on November ballot (YES!) [2018]
• 2016: If Hillary Is Indicted, President Clinton Could Pardon Herself and Congress Might be Helpless [2018]
• A Response to the Idea of Removing the Natural Born Citizen Clause From Our Constitution [2018]
• The Electoral College Favors Republicans [2018]
• Liberal ideas move from fringe to front-burner for Democrats [2018]
• Vanity - Democrat Electoral Nightmare - The United States Senate [2018]
• Connecticut To Give Its Electoral College Votes To National Popular Vote Victor [2018]
• e President,' Said the Woman Who Thought It Was Her Due [2018]
• Illinois drops from the fifth-largest state to No. 6 [2017]
• Rapper Slams Hillary in New Rap Song [2016]
• State of Jefferson Amasses 21 Total Counties [2016]
• Florida to Pass New York State's Population [2014]
• CA: State's population projected to reach nearly 60 million by 2050 (with a Hispanic majority) [2007]
• YES: Immigration will double the population of the United States within the next 60 years. [2002]

[pepsi_junkie]

You want to complain about soemething, Washington Post? How about how Iowa and New Hampshire get to pick who gets to run for President?

[arrogantsob]

That idea only predates Marx by two or more millenia. See Roman Empire.

[arrogantsob]

Chicago is the economic engine powering the state. That is part of the reason that cities became big. Only a handful can be said to have culture and entertainment at the level of Chicago and don’t get me started on its pizza.

[arrogantsob]

Do you know how stupid that remark is. World class stupid.

[SunkenCiv]

Per the wiki-wacky, using either the 2010 census figures or the July 1 2017 estimate, more than half live in the largest nine right now (excl non-voting DC and PR). I live in #10, btw.

And 222 seats of the House are held by those nine. Right now.

California
Texas
Florida
New York
Pennsylvania
Illinois
Ohio
Georgia
North Carolina