Skip to comments.A Crush Of New Polls Show Democrats In A Free Fall
Posted on 10/08/2018 11:18:05 AM PDT by Liberty7732
If there is a silver lining in the tragic farce wrought on the nation by the Democratic Party in the Judge Brett Kavanaugh nomination hearings it is this: Regular Americans are recoiling at the shocking spectacle and Democrat support is plummeting.
Every new poll coming out is uniformly showing middle Americans fleeing from the Democrats while a once-mildly apathetic Republican Party has been ginned up to energetic levels equal to the Democratic base.
Further trouble for the much-hyped blue wave is that black voters are trending against Democrats, participating in the #walkaway movement and viewing the Kavanaugh moment very differently from white Democrats. Given the reliance of the Democratic Party on the monolithic black vote, this portends disaster for blue but possible salvation for the nation.
An NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll released last week found that the enthusiasm gap between Democrats and Republicans has been erased. The poll asked registered members of each party if they believe the election is very important. The gap was running 10-15 points since mid-summer in favor of Democrats. Now it is at 2 points, well within the margin of error, as GOP enthusiasm increased 12 points.
The most recent IBD/TIPP poll also found that the Democrats 11-point advantage in the generic ballot was essentially gone. Its now down to 2 points. The poll also found that President Trump gained four points in his approval rating, and 7 points in the Presidential Leadership Index. Its an improvement at least in part by way of contrast with the horrible sight of the Democratic left.
The newest Quinnipiac poll, which leans left, found that the Democratic generic congressional ballot advantage has been cut in half. And since mid-September, the Real Clear Politics average of polls showed Trumps approval climbing more than three points.
And buried in a Quinnipiac poll are some numbers that should rock Democrats back on their heals: Two weeks ago, white women were favoring Democrats on a generic congressional ballot by 13 points. One week later it was down to five points. In the latest poll, it is at one point. These are the vaunted suburban female voters that Democrats having been targeting because of their supposed discomfort with Trump. But it turns out they have sons and husbands and watching what happened to Brett Kavanaugh has not sat well.
Individual race polls are also tracking strongly the same direction.
In the Missouri Senate race, Republican Josh Hawley now leads incumbent Sen. Claire McCaskill with virtually all of the movement coming in reaction to the Kavanaugh hearings. In North Dakota, Republican Kevin Cramer now has a huge lead over Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in two polls 10 percent and 12 percent. In Indiana, Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly has a one point lead over Republican Mike Braun. It was six points two weeks ago. (This race includes a Libertarian, which is often a spoiler for Republicans.)
A recent YouGov poll showed Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn with an eight point lead over former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen for the open Tennessee seat. This seat was targeted by the Democrats as a pickup possibility.
Republican pollster Chris Wilson says shes seen Republican polling gains in Arizona, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota and Texas just in one week, according to the McClatchy news service.
Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee reported late last week that its small-dollar donations ballooned 175% over the previous week again, largely based on the Kavanaugh hearings. This means more than just the money increase, it goes directly to the rising GOP voter enthusiasm in the most tangible way.
And finally, what may or may not be being captured is the trend by black voters. Blacks have been warming up to Trump slowly but steadily despite the avalanche of daily racist bromides by the Democrat media establishment.
Trumps approval rating among black voters in the latest Rasmussen Poll, which leans right, is 35 percent. It was 23 percent at the same time last year, and 17 percent when Trump was elected. An NAACP poll shows a 21 percent level of support among blacks for Trump, compared to seven percent in November 2016. These show real and solid movement.
It turns out that blacks may have watched the #IBelieveHer affair in an entirely different light from other Democrat voters the light of Emmett Till and a legacy of black men being lynched based solely on the word of a white woman. FYI, all by Democrats.
The surge at every level is apparent. And with only one month until the election, this momentum shift could be very real by the end of the day Nov. 8.
If true, we have the hate filled corrupt lying media to thank.
Beware of “mama bears”. They have sons.
People are outraged at the behavior of the left. I say let them act that way. When your enemy is destroying themselves, dont get in their way.
Republicans have to keep up the attack all the way to November.
Yes, we do. And husbands, too.
The Rats are wounded animals, still with 110% support from Big Media, but with little left to lose now....
We should be contributing to John James in the Michigan Senate race. I did so this weekend and suggested that he stress the injustice of false allegations which have put hundreds of Black men in prison.
How many Black men have been lynched by the Democrats after allegations like Fraud’s?
Just heard about two guys cut loose (one after 26 and the other 9 years) after the skank admitted she had lied.
People think the Kavanaugh hearings were Democrats vs Republicans. They weren’t. They were radical leftist democrats vs the rest of the country. And a lot of democrats are getting “woke”.
Attack on every front, give them the full Patton treatment.
Dims swallow poison and then wait for us to die.
"L'audace, l'audace, toujours l'audace !"
I hope there’s a ton of GOP campaign ads just showcasing all the insane, violent screaming banshees. Are there?
My problem is, that in the back of my mind, is that the voters who knew what Obama was, voted him in for a second term.
Frankly I don' trust the voters.
I hope I m wrong on this. - Tom
Obama had very weak opposition, both times.
“Dims swallow poison and then wait for us to die”.
Kavanaugh as Emmitt Till.
Bet Feinstein didn’t see that coming.
Hahahahaha! Crush them. No quarter! Vote! Indict! Convict! Imprison! These uncivil’ anti-American losers deserve Justice.
IMO that is WHY Trump is holding a televised ceremony for Kavanaugh this evening and why he keeps taunting the Left with his tweets. More insanity = continued free fall.
The “October Surprise” has arrived just in the nick of time. When you couple the stupid, derisive, hateful spectacle in the Senate Confirmation Hearings, the fact the Mueller is self-disbanding, and people with more jobs to go to and more money in their pockets, this election is shaping up to be the “big surprise 2.0” following up on Trump’s 2016 “unintended victory!” And the President himself is leading the charge. I never cease to be amazed at his energy and steadfast commitment to “winning in every way that’s possible!” I just hope that AF-1 doesn’t crap out, because The President surely isn’t going to!
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