Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Early Voting According to NBC News (Key States)...
Twitter ^ | 25 October 2018 | Political Polls

Posted on 10/28/2018 11:19:16 AM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Early Voting According to NBC News:

ARIZONA: REP: 44% DEM: 33%

FLORIDA: REP: 44% DEM: 38%

GEORGIA: REP: 52% DEM: 43%

INDIANA: REP: 51% DEM: 38%

MONTANA: REP: 48% DEM: 29%

NEVADA: REP: 38% DEM: 45%

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Indiana; US: Montana; US: Nevada
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; earlyvoting
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-74 next last
To: Trump20162020

They weren’t amazing numbers for Hillary. We were able to use EV data to predict Trump wins in FL, OH, NC, and IA with early vote data. It isn’t ‘over-analysis’. It is the best indicator available of what the electorate looks like.


21 posted on 10/28/2018 11:40:18 AM PDT by perfect_rovian_storm
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 19 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel

And Mr Nate Silver of that highly rated, ABC owned FiveThirtyEight (538) firm just said that polling is more accurate a predictor than early voting. Thus he gives 85% chance for SanFranNan to take the House gavel again.

So what is wrong with this logic? First they was so very accurate about 2016 where, at 10:41AM on Election Day, 8 November, their final prediction was 71% chance for a Hillary Clinton victory. When other pollsters mocked ‘538’ for being the least positive about Hillary’s inevitable victory, that forecast included a point about the unreliability of poll trackers in some cases.

Second, this early vote is unprecedented in the GOP-registered outvoting the Democrats. When something is this significantly skewed, I’d be hedging my bets. So, we will see in 10 days if the pollsters have fixed their 2016 problems or e;se seek to find other excuses.


22 posted on 10/28/2018 11:42:10 AM PDT by SES1066 (Happiness is a depressed Washington, DC housing market!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Publishing these survey results is a very clear dog whistle to Pubbies - “Don’t bother to vote, it’s in the bag.”


23 posted on 10/28/2018 11:45:06 AM PDT by I am Richard Brandon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MNJohnnie

I think I know what is going on. It hit me like a bolt, and it all made sense.

I honestly dont want to say, but it will make things very interesting. One scenario I can understand as to why. The other is a doozy.


24 posted on 10/28/2018 11:47:44 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Surprised they reported it.


25 posted on 10/28/2018 11:49:34 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Pin drop time! Big-name lib swampers go into hiding!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 9YearLurker

The initial numbers out of Washoe County don’t make much sense as this has always been a Heller stronghold. I would not put it past the Harry Reid machine to stuff the early vote with fraudulent SEIU ballots. I can understand Heller trailing a little in Clark County (Vegas) but the republicans hold a slight majority in registered voters in Washoe. Anyone have some updates on Nevada?


26 posted on 10/28/2018 11:49:57 AM PDT by Kahuna
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Damn! Look at Montana! Even if Heller loses, it looks from those numbers like Tester would lose and cancel it out.


27 posted on 10/28/2018 11:52:27 AM PDT by FLT-bird
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel
MONTANA: REP: 48% DEM: 29%

A 19 point lead! Tester is toast. Way to go Montana!

28 posted on 10/28/2018 11:53:06 AM PDT by WMarshal (America First)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Col Frank Slade

The blue wave is a puddle of urine.

><

Lol That’s a great description.

All things considered, the Dems are in bad shape.


29 posted on 10/28/2018 11:53:57 AM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 20 | View Replies]

To: fortheDeclaration

Just yesterday a very liberal friend of mine pointed out how Dems will make great gains in the upcoming election. Her source: CNN.


30 posted on 10/28/2018 11:54:08 AM PDT by hsmomx3
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: VanDeKoik

I think I know what is going on. It hit me like a bolt, and it all made sense.

I honestly dont want to say, but it will make things very interesting. One scenario I can understand as to why. The other is a doozy.

><

Please say it!


31 posted on 10/28/2018 11:59:03 AM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: hsmomx3

Just yesterday a very liberal friend of mine pointed out how Dems will make great gains in the upcoming election. Her source: CNN.

><

You could show her some of those CNN election night 2016, on the verge of suicide, videos.


32 posted on 10/28/2018 12:01:12 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Congrats on the promotion

And many thanks for posting the data...now have a baseline

So expect at least another NBC poll before next Tuesday for comparison

Meanwhile preparing a bowl of Schadenfreude Punch to be followed by a pot of Covfefe.

33 posted on 10/28/2018 12:06:17 PM PDT by spokeshave2 (The Paradigm has shifted...the New World Order is Trumpian.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Lesson learned:

Don’t piss off an entire political party. Worse yet, piss off the independent voters. The worst, anger and embarrass your own political party. Spanking coming.


34 posted on 10/28/2018 12:13:44 PM PDT by USCG SimTech
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: VanDeKoik

we’ll expect to hear both scenarios from you as Nov 6th comes - when any threat of your influencing elections by speaking your thoughts is no longer an issue :)


35 posted on 10/28/2018 12:15:20 PM PDT by b4me (God Bless the USA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Yeah what’s up with Nevada?


36 posted on 10/28/2018 12:20:49 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SpeedyInTexas
The numbers are from Oct. 23, 2018, I think. Wish NBC would update them.

If updating them would help Democrats, they would be updated.

37 posted on 10/28/2018 12:21:20 PM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: hsmomx3

I guess she thought Hillary was going to win as well!


38 posted on 10/28/2018 12:29:15 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: Kahuna

Reno? Organized casino workers?

We can only hope they’ve already shot their wad.


39 posted on 10/28/2018 12:30:56 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: laplata

Please feel free to FReep mail me what you think is going on. Thanks.


40 posted on 10/28/2018 12:34:19 PM PDT by laplata (The Left/Progressives have diseased minds.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 31 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-74 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson