How does it feel to have your projection set lower than even the most hardened Democrat cheerleaders?
Charlie Cook
Dave Wasserman
Nate Silver
All of them have a bigger House and Senate gain than you.
Realism is important, and the pie in the sky +72 seats nonsense that a few Freepers were posting are completely nonsensical, but I fear that you went too far in the other direction.
Because that’s how mail-in voting works in SOME States.
In EVERY State, mail-in votes are heavily Democrat.
Let me use Virginia as the last example. In 2021, The machine vote (including those evil DOMINION machines) went +14 Republican. If we only counted that vote, Youngkin would have won nearly every County and Virginia would have been redder than Kansas.
The mail-in vote was +50 Democrat. If we only counted that vote, Virginia would have been Bluer than Vermont.
This pattern has repeated itself over and over and over again since 2020.
Democrat voters will use the mail-in vote and Republicans go to the polls on election day and use the machines.
In many State, the mail-in vote can’t be touched until election night, in other States, it can come in up to a week AFTER election day, so long as it is post-marked by election day. But that’s not all. Once it comes in, they can’t just feed it into a machine. Mail-in ballots have to be verified. So manually, the county election workers have to match the signatures and addresses on the mail-in ballot with the voter rolls. In Pennsylvania, this is literally done with a book.
The difference this time from 2020 is that there is just far less mail-in vote to count.