Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Sarah Palin Surpasses Mitt Romney As GOP Frontrunner At Intrade
Citizen Palin 4 President ^

Posted on 05/03/2010 1:14:07 PM PDT by MaxCUA

Mitt Romney has been the frontrunner for several months but Sarah Palin has been steadily climbing and closing the gap. It is essentially dead even, as of today, but for the first time she has a small lead and it is expected she will pull ahead.

Intrade represents a type of stock market which trades in predictions regarding outcomes of future events. If you believe that Sarah Palin will be the Republican nominee in 2012, you can purchase a "contract" for the prevailing price, currently 25.8. Romney is currently 26.0. This price is determined by the contact traders themselves (anyone can buy or sell) and can be considered a form of ongoing poll. In fact, this speculative trading on events has been considered for use by the Pentagon as it is a highly reliable predictor of future events.

For example, if you purchased a contract on Sarah Palin today at 26.8 ($2.68), and she in fact becomes the Republican nominee for President, the contract immediately closes at 100, and the value goes to $10.00. You would therefore earn $7.32 for each contract purchased. If she chooses not to run, or runs and does not become the nominee, the contract closes at 0, and you will have lost $2.68 per contract purchased.

(Excerpt) Read more at citizenpalin4president.blogspot.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; Government; Health/Medicine; Military/Veterans; Miscellaneous; Politics; Religion; Society; TV/Movies
KEYWORDS: acorn4romney; aig4romney; backstabberromney; badgovromney; benedictromney; bigdigromney; bowb4romney; brutusromney; canttrustromney; carpetbaggerromney; carville4romney; chameleonromney; cheaterromney; clinton4romney; covetingromney; dirtytrickromney; dnc4romney; du4romney; elections; fakebadgeromney; flipflopromney; intrade; jealousromney; kerry4romney; loserromney; military; obama; obama4romney; obeyromney; operationleper; palin; palinfreeperping; pimpromney; pimpromneyhere; politics; polyamory4romney; poorsportromney; pushpollromney; rahm4romney; romney; romney4obama; romneycare; romneydeathpanels; romneydictatorship; romneymarriage; saboteurromney; sarahpalin; spoilerromney

1 posted on 05/03/2010 1:14:07 PM PDT by MaxCUA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

I’m thinking Palin/Boehner - what do you think?


2 posted on 05/03/2010 1:19:23 PM PDT by nolongerademocrat ("Before you ask G-d for something, first thank G-d for what you already have." B'rachot 30b)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: All
We have a Sarah Palin Ping List... for all who want to keep up on anything Sarah Palin, who could very well be our next President.

Send a FReepmail to -- Virginia Ridgerunner -- and he'll get you on the ping list.

Go Sarah!


3 posted on 05/03/2010 1:19:49 PM PDT by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Mittens has NEVER been the frontrunner in anyone’s mind but the media. They are mistaken if they think they are going to choose our candidate this time around. They did that in 2007-2008 and look what we have as result, the Kenyan Poser and the first Wookie. Never again. Even if it takes spilling blood, never again...


4 posted on 05/03/2010 1:21:11 PM PDT by OriginalChristian (Tea Patriot Movement - Freedom First - Vote the Scum out - NOV 2010 & Beyond...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nolongerademocrat
Being in SW Ohio, I know Boehner and would NOT want him as VP - better other choices.

see my tagline....

5 posted on 05/03/2010 1:21:30 PM PDT by newfreep (Palin/DeMint 2012 - Bolton: Secy of State)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA
Mitt Romney has been the frontrunner for several months but Sarah Palin has been steadily climbing and closing the gap. It is essentially dead even, as of today, but for the first time she has a small lead and it is expected she will pull ahead.

Sarah Palin is the future for our country for the common and average citizen ...

Mitt Romney was never anything worth considering in the first place... it's a wonder that he's even registering at all... it must the Marxists/Liberal/Leftists who are doing this to try and foist "their choice" upon us ... :-)

6 posted on 05/03/2010 1:23:04 PM PDT by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

She ain’t no Reagan, but she’s the next closest thing out there.


7 posted on 05/03/2010 1:26:07 PM PDT by Oldpuppymax
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Romney was a lesser of evils. Now that we have a new slate, who needs him anymore! No more choosing between RINOS!


8 posted on 05/03/2010 1:26:40 PM PDT by Shadow44
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA
Palin/Bachman.

Mainly because the Left would go completely out of their minds, instead of just halfway.

9 posted on 05/03/2010 1:34:22 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (FYBO: Islam is a religion of peace, and Muslims reserve the right to kill anyone who says otherwise.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nolongerademocrat

I am thinking she should head up the RNC. It’s perfect for her.


10 posted on 05/03/2010 1:34:58 PM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Shadow44
Romney was a lesser of evils.

More like the evil of lessers.

11 posted on 05/03/2010 1:36:08 PM PDT by Puppage (You may disagree with what I have to say, but I shall defend to your death my right to say it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Puppage
I am thinking she should head up the RNC. It’s perfect for her.

I'm thinking she is perfect for POTUS '2012
12 posted on 05/03/2010 1:36:17 PM PDT by SoConPubbie
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: E. Pluribus Unum

Palin/Bachman.

Diggin’ it.


13 posted on 05/03/2010 1:36:56 PM PDT by dasboot (Down: up. Up: down.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Puppage

The lesser evil of evil lessers?


14 posted on 05/03/2010 1:37:30 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: nolongerademocrat

Not Boehner or Bachman. I don’t know who it would be but my guess would be that Palin’s husband will likely choose the VEEP.


15 posted on 05/03/2010 1:38:07 PM PDT by ckilmer (Phi)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: newfreep

What about Ted Nugent. That would be pretty cool.


16 posted on 05/03/2010 1:47:05 PM PDT by GoCards ("We eat therefore we hunt...")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: nolongerademocrat

Running Boehner would be like running Bob Dole. I keep waiting for Boehner to say “Boehner didn’t have a garage door opener. I know it. You know it.”


17 posted on 05/03/2010 1:48:39 PM PDT by Terry Mross
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Oldpuppymax; MaxCUA
You were saying ...

She ain’t no Reagan, but she’s the next closest thing out there.

Rick Perry speaking about Sarah Palin ...

"I love Sarah Palin, I love her positions, I think she was a good governor. . . . I want her to be engaged in this rebuilding of the Republican Party. . . . She is substantially more the face of this country than some other people who might want to be the face of the Republican Party. To me she's the face of America. I mean she's a hard worker, she didn't come from money, she didn't come from privilege, she just worked hard. . . . I have not seen another person who invigorated the Republican base [like she did] with the possible exception of Ronald Reagan in 1976—the speech he made at the Republican Convention. People were looking around and saying, 'we nominated the wrong dude.'"


18 posted on 05/03/2010 1:48:57 PM PDT by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

I guess ole Mitt is gonna have to buy a lot more votes at the next RNC straw poll.


19 posted on 05/03/2010 1:53:46 PM PDT by OrioleFan (Republicans believe every day is the 4th of July, democrats believe every day is April 15)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Oldpuppymax; MaxCUA; onyx
Michael Reagan had this to say about Governor Palin when she delivered her acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention on September 3, 2008:

I’ve been trying to convince my fellow conservatives that they have been wasting their time in a fruitless quest for a new Ronald Reagan to emerge and lead our party and our nation. I insisted that we’d never see his like again because he was one of a kind.

I was wrong!

Wednesday night I watched the Republican National Convention on television and there, before my very eyes, I saw my Dad reborn; only this time he’s a she.

And what a she!

In one blockbuster of a speech, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin resurrected my Dad’s indomitable spirit and sent it soaring above the convention center, shooting shock waves through the cynical media’s assigned spaces and electrifying the huge audience with the kind of inspiring rhetoric we haven’t heard since my Dad left the scene.


20 posted on 05/03/2010 1:56:29 PM PDT by Star Traveler (Remember to keep the Messiah of Israel in the One-World Government that we look forward to coming)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: OriginalChristian

Nittenes is the front runner in the libural minds. They are in abject fear of Sarah. They know she can beat the chosen one. Imagine the heads exploding when that happens. The biggot and racist invectives will fly like bats out of a cave.


21 posted on 05/03/2010 2:04:24 PM PDT by skimask
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Terry Mross

Yeah, I guess I just like that he is fiesty.


22 posted on 05/03/2010 2:05:43 PM PDT by nolongerademocrat ("Before you ask G-d for something, first thank G-d for what you already have." B'rachot 30b)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

23 posted on 05/03/2010 2:12:40 PM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

I think Palin backers should buy up as many of these contracts as possible if only to show their support!


24 posted on 05/03/2010 2:15:34 PM PDT by Bob J
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bob J
I think Palin backers should buy up as many of these contracts as possible if only to show their support!

Chortle.

25 posted on 05/03/2010 2:23:10 PM PDT by MaggieCarta (We're all Detroiters, now.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Oldpuppymax
She ain’t no Reagan, but she’s the next closest thing out there.

Sadly, the times make the man. Anyone who starts with substantial potential will shine in the 2012-2020 time frame. I wish we lived in less interesting times, but the next president will have to clean up a whopper of a mess after Bush's fiscal blunders (especially in his last few months) and the four year gap in presidential leadership. The right choice will shine brighter than anyone imagines, even brighter than the biggest Palin fans imagine.

26 posted on 05/03/2010 2:32:11 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Natural born citizen of the USA, with the birth certificate to prove it)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: OriginalChristian

Mittens has NEVER been the frontrunner in anyone’s mind but the media.

&&
Yep, they are pushing him hard. FOX is pushing him and the Huckster.


27 posted on 05/03/2010 2:32:15 PM PDT by Bigg Red (Palin/Hunter 2012 -- Bolton their Secretary of State)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Mitt’s going to have to spend some money to get that lead back.


28 posted on 05/03/2010 2:54:57 PM PDT by Waryone
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: nolongerademocrat

Sarah Palin/Col. Alan West (Ret.)

Of course West has to get elected to the House first...

- JP


29 posted on 05/03/2010 3:15:35 PM PDT by Josh Painter ("Every time a Democrat mocks Sarah Palin, an independent gets its wings." - JP)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Bigg Red

The media will not affect the outcome of this coming election the way they did in 2008. Fool the US public once shame on you, fool us twice shame on us. I just don’t see it happening. Try as they might, they can’t protect the Kenyan Usurper. He and his marxist ideologies are his own worst enemies.


30 posted on 05/03/2010 3:28:16 PM PDT by OriginalChristian (Tea Patriot Movement - Freedom First - Vote the Scum out - NOV 2010 & Beyond...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

I think it would be very difficult not to run for POTUS while being #1 at INTRADE.


31 posted on 05/03/2010 3:34:49 PM PDT by techno
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Since I am convinced she will run I probably should make some money here. I see the trade states Sarah must declare by 12/31/11. Does someone running for pres usually declare by 12/31 of the year before the election?


32 posted on 05/03/2010 4:41:00 PM PDT by rae4palin (RESIST--REPEAL--IMPEACH)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Bigg Red

Fox continuing to push romney and denigrate Palin across the network in their oh-so precious little passive-aggressive way.


33 posted on 05/03/2010 7:05:59 PM PDT by JApost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: rae4palin

This time next year they will already have debated once or will be beginning to. The GOP contenders 1st debated in May 2007.


34 posted on 05/03/2010 7:10:25 PM PDT by JApost
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Bob J

Hard to do move the odds for Palin, there is substantial money being bet on her. Not so much Romney. Betting on Romney would change the odds, but really, who’s that stupid, who believes the media junk?


35 posted on 05/03/2010 11:30:48 PM PDT by militanttoby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Well Intrade doesn’t mean much, just a snapshot of the situation here and now. But you can’t look at that particular betting in isolation to other betting.

In another category on InTrade Palin is at 59.0 “...to formally announce a run for President before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2011”. Romney of course would be at 80-90 in that he is certainly running barring (or in spite of) gaffes, family or health issues. But there is no market on Romney or anybody else in this area, only Palin.

So, IF Palin was seen to be running as Romney so obvioulsy is, her odds would jump around 40-50% to say 35-40 instead of the 26 it currently is. And Romney and the others would drop perhaps 10-15% across the board.

That is, at the moment Palin is by far the strong favourite to be the next Republican Nominee, IF she is running, despite all the media obfuscations and rigged polls. As it is, the punters are not that confident she is running, so she is sharing favouritism with Romney.


36 posted on 05/03/2010 11:44:48 PM PDT by militanttoby
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MaxCUA

Cool. I love making money by putting it where my mouth is.

Now if I could just get Michael Steele to resign...


37 posted on 05/03/2010 11:50:39 PM PDT by Kevmo (So America gets what America deserves - the destruction of its Constitution. ~Leo Donofrio, 6/1/09)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: OriginalChristian

The media will not affect the outcome of this coming election the way they did in 2008. Fool the US public once shame on you, fool us twice shame on us. I just don’t see it happening.

&&&
I fervently hope you are right. But don’t make the mistake of thinking that all of the public pays as much attention as we FReepers do.


38 posted on 05/04/2010 5:08:04 AM PDT by Bigg Red (Palin/Hunter 2012 -- Bolton their Secretary of State)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: JApost

Good description. Many of the Foxsters are afraid of Palin.


39 posted on 05/04/2010 5:17:38 AM PDT by Bigg Red (Palin/Hunter 2012 -- Bolton their Secretary of State)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson