Posted on 10/16/2012 2:37:15 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
Well, the reactions to the polls in DUmmieland are happening EXACTLY as predicted. Weeks ago the DUmmies were doing victory dances in the end zone over the early poll results showing Obama as the clear winner. Of course, those polls bore NO relation to reality and it was predicted that as we get closer to the election, the poll numbers will be forced to more accurately reflect reality. Now the tone in DUmmieland is much different: ANGER at the polls and the DUmmies now questioning their accuracy. However, there is one BIG problem. A KOmmie poll released today shows Romney SURGING past Obama as you can see in this KOmmie thread, Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation poll: Romney's best numbers of the week. Since the KOmmies can't attack the veracity of their own poll their reaction is one of depression. DEEEEEEP depression. So let us now watch the KOmmies mourn their own poll results in Bolshevik Red while the commentary of your humble correspondent, giving a shoutout to the Prozac-based community, is in the [barackets]:
Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation poll: Romney's best numbers of the week
[Gee! What happened to that Smilin' Joe bounce?]
The candidates for President are Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
Obama 46 (47)
Romney 50 (49)
[LOUSY RIGHTWING POLL! Ooops! That's our own poll results.]
At a time when other polls are moving back in the president's direction, our own weekly poll by Public Policy Polling saw the opposite—a two-point Romney gain. Per day:
Friday (38%) Obama 47, Romney 49
Saturday (39%) Obama 49, Romney 47
Sunday (24%) Obama 43, Romney 55
[I wanna make a reservation on the Heaven's Gate mother ship!]
That Sunday sample, about a quarter of the total, was entirely responsible for Romney's favorable numbers. That's why the good pollsters collect data over multiple days, to smooth out such irregularities. And at 400 respondents (or so), Sunday had a single-day MoE of 4.9 percent. Lots of polls float around with worse. On the other hand, Saturday's sample MoE was 3.92 percent, while Friday's was 3.97 percent. And with no external news even suggesting the big Sunday collapse, it certainly smells like an outlier.
[It took a few days to realize just what a shmuck Smirkin' Joe was.]
Moving on:
Swing state Obama 47, Romney 50
Blue state Obama 52, Romney 45
Red State Obama 40, Romney 56
[May I borrow your L-pill? I'll give it right back.]
Two weeks ago, it was Obama leading Romney 50-46 in the Swing states. But he was also winning Blue states by 56-37, and losing Red states by just 41-52. Actually, the change in Red states is smaller (-5) compared to Blue states (-12) and Swing states (-7).
Finally, a demographic note—in this poll, 44 percent of respondents were conservative, compared to 16 percent who were liberal. In 2008, 34 percent were conservative, and 22 percent were liberal. Now this could point to a bad sample, or it could point to depressed enthusiasm among our base. Let's really hope it's the former.
[But it will probably be the latter. Now on to the depressed KOmmie reaction...]
This is beginning to look like 2004. A razor thin margin for the Republicans.
[As razor thin as 1980.]
The Republican Party is now the sworn enemy of the United States of America.
[You can carry that inscription with you to your Walmart Detention Center in November.]
You should unskew this poll.
[How about if we undo reality?]
Obama comes in, saves the economy, ends Iraq, gets bin Laden, and this is the thankd he gets? All I know is if he loses, I am becoming a low info voter. Just headlines.
[Yeah, the economy is doing just great and don't you love how the completely defeated Al Qaeda made barely an impression in Benghazi?]
I believe the 2012 electorate will be more like 2008 than 2010.
I also believe that polls of RV are more accurate than polls of LV.
[I BEEEEEEEEELIIEEEEEVE!!!]
Obama has a chance to get women back nationally
[The ones that Smirkin' Joe lost?]
Obama's trump card this entire election has been his favorability edge over Romney. The first debate all but ended that. I think it is going to be very difficult for Obama and his team to repaint Romney as the out-of-touch plutocrat that they had created prior to that first debate. Voters are now willing to give Romney the benefit of the doubt, and they're still unhappy about the economy
[A mint flavored L-pill is in the mail.]
As I said somewhere else, an entire Summer worth of work was just thrown in the trash. Mainly because the president didn't repeat any of the things we've been running against Romney all year long.
[But wasn't that visit to Hoover dam worth it all?]
I said it debate night and I'll repeat it again: The candidate caused this mess and only the candidate can fix it. I don't care how much folks here think double phonebanking is going to make people not believe what they see and hear with their own eyes. Only Obama can convince his people.
[Not if it interferes with his golf game.]
Contrary to the idea that Obama never makes any political mistakes, he makes quite a lot. I really don't think he's the masterful politician a lot of people make him out to be. And right now I'm not even sure he wants to be reelected. We'll see tonight, but if it's another phoned in performance, then that will convince me that he doesn't.
[HERETIC!!! You dare to question the infallibility of the Lightworker?]
I've been thinking the same lately, that, contrary to his supporters' desires, President Obama really doesn't want a second term. I don't blame him -- given his record thus far, his legacy can only get worse in a second term.
[Your Kewpie doll has already been shipped.]
He's not enjoying being president. He probably wants out. But I think his visceral dislike for Mitt Romney probably animates him more than his lack of joy at being president.
[Obama hates the thought of Romney wearing an Air Force One windbreaker.]
Hopefully NOW people understand those of us who were REALLY upset with Obama after the first debate. All that money and all that work down the shitter because the President was poorly prepared for the most important night of this campaign.
[But the Hoover dam sidetrip was definitely worth it.]
bama not the best man for this job, unfortunately
[Congratulations! It took you only 4 years to figure that out.]
American Leftists, "To Weird to Live, to Rare to Die."
["Too DUmb to Spell."]
Are we looking at a collapse of Obama's numbers? I ask, particularly, because of the PPP swing state numbers and the tightening in places like PA. Today's Quinnipiac in PA has Obama +4. Their last poll there had him +12. I'll be honest, this stuff is starting to turn my stomach.
[Take two Tum's and an L-pill in the morning.]
This up and down feeling is truly to affect me.... I try to stay positive, but....:o(
[But the Heaven's Gate Mother Ship is being held in reserve.]
Momentum not on our side. Barring a major Romney mistake, Romney more likely to become president. 1980 again?
[Hello, is this the Heaven's Gate Mothership? Could you beam me up now and spare me the agony?]
The President has to knock out Romney tonight It cannot be a draw. And the President has to do it and personalize. What has bothered me since the first debate is how quickly the President's lead evaproated. What it told me was his support had always been thin and people WANTED to vote against him.
[Don't worry. The Bamster will put his impressive people skills into play tonight.]
I don't know how to BE right now facing the increasingly real possibilty that our country, and the world, as acramer says, will be headed into a Dark Ages or worse.
[No. You'll be headed to the Walmart Detention Center.]
It doesn't make sense that one event could make such a difference. Then again, we heard it said over and over again that no incumbent whose ahead before the debate has lost an election because of that debate. And yet, here we are.......worried that Obama will lose the election. Sorry but its not adding up.
[Oh, it's adding up. Mitt was the Toto who pulled back the curtain in the first debate to reveal that the Might Ozbama was just an inept shmoe.]
I don't know if I can take this anymore. If Romney is elected, don't put your money in a bank.
[Invest in a one-way ticket to Pyongyang.]
Would be very interested in the timing of when people were polled Sunday. After church?
[Yup! They were polled the very moment they left St. Matthew's Church in Bonne Terre.]
But I think everybody but Obama has been giving 110%. Now it's time for him to step up.
[And give his full 1%.]
IBTP!
IBTP !
PING!
In.
I love this statement “What has bothered me since the first debate is how quickly the President’s lead evaproated. What it told me was his support had always been thin and people WANTED to vote against him”
Many surprisingly rational comments.
Top 10?
Let not their little pea-pickin’ hearts be troubled, I have it on good authority that Barack Obama has already been declared the winner of tonight’s debate.
Do you think Obama goes full Biden tonight??
Don’t worry, dear DUmmies! I have it on good authority that Obama is thisclose to locking down California and Massachusetts. :D (he’s only $10 away!!!) lol
I don’t care who you are, this comment is hilarious on so many levels:
>>In the reality based community you don’t throw out data samples because you don’t like what they tell you.
by Wham Bam on Tue Oct 16, 2012 at 11:51:56 AM PDT<<
That was the most twisted South Park episode ever....
Oh, the tears of unfathomable sadness! My-yummy!
They are really starting to panic aren’t they.
That one threw me for a loop. I figured this person was probably speaking of him/herself.
Hate to tell you this, but judging by your comment, you already ARE a "low info voter".
Funny indeed.
DUmmie meet Reality.
I don't know how to BE right now facing the increasingly real possibilty that our country, and the world, as acramer says, will be headed into a Dark Ages or worse.
[No. You'll be headed to the Walmart Detention Center.]
I just hope we ain't the ones crying after the debate tonight....GO ROMNEY KICK SOME OREO butt tonight!!
Don't make go all Biden on yo' butt...
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