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What Is the Right Price for Carbon?
Scientific American ^ | 4/2/2010 | Evan Lehmann and Climatewire

Posted on 04/05/2010 6:35:19 PM PDT by EBH

Carbon prices will be applied to car exhaust for the first time under the Obama administration's new tailpipe rule, launched yesterday. But while environmentalists were celebrating, some economists were quietly concerned that U.S. EPA's carbon calculation is too low.

The agency incorporated a preliminary price of $21 for every ton of carbon dioxide expelled from vehicles to help reach its new standard of 35.5 miles per gallon in 2016. That amounts to about 20 cents per gallon or, as two economists claim, a level that's "far too small a price incentive to prompt substantive mitigation measures."

"If widely adopted, this low estimate of the [social cost of carbon] could result in ineffectual regulations that would barely reduce U.S. emissions, if at all," Frank Ackerman and Elizabeth Stanton of the Stockholm Environment Institute say in a new white paper.

The "social cost of carbon" is not a direct tax on gasoline. It is, rather, a calculation that applies a price to each ton of CO2 that's released into the atmosphere, now and decades in the future, based on its potential damage to humans. More damage could occur from rising seas, for example, but less might happen if fewer people die from cold winters. A slew of factors could be plugged in to come up with different prices.

Hazy, but important concept It's a hazy mathematical concept, and government officials have been working to pin down the right price. That's important, because the price will influence a menu of future policies ranging from energy efficiency to engine efficiency.

"The social cost of carbon may be the most important number you've never heard of," the white paper says.

It is an analysis that weighs the costs of addressing carbon damages against the benefits. The paper provides this analogy: If each ton of emissions would incur $5 in damages, then people would be willing to pay less than that to avoid the impact. It's similar to sinking $4 into a parking meter to avoid a $5 ticket.

But what if the parking ticket costs less than the meter? People will accept the damage. That's what the authors believe is happening with carbon.

"The policy choices the government makes would be very different if it estimates climate damages not at $5 but at, say, $500 per ton of carbon (in the same way that a $500 parking fine would make you pay much more attention to putting money in the meter)," the paper says.

Therefore, it might be a good idea to scrap the social cost of carbon methodology and replace it with a different calculation that assumes the worst will happen from climate change, the authors suggest. They assert that the government's analysis largely omits the potential for catastrophic damage.

"The urgent priority is to protect ourselves against those worst cases, not to fine-tune expenditures to the most likely level of damages," the paper says. "The risk of spending 'too much' on clean energy alternatives pales in comparison with the risk of spending too little and irreversibly destabilizing the earth's climate."

Estimates range from $5 to $65 a ton Viewpoints vary widely about the social cost of carbon. There's a government working group with experts from across agencies tackling the issue. It has established wide-ranging prices for carbon because of the uncertainty. Costs per ton range from $5 to $65, but agencies are using $21, which was established as a middle range in a report last month by the working group.

"The government report is, in my view, very well done," Robert Stavins, director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program, said in an e-mail. "Some of the best economists in the White House, CEA, Treasury, EPA, [Office of Management and Budget], and elsewhere in the Administration worked on it, drawing broadly upon the best available methodologies and literature."


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous; Science
KEYWORDS: democrats; envirofascism; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; liberalfascism; obama; unamerican; unscientific
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To: Lurker

It very well may come to that. Let’s try a few more non-lethal things first.


21 posted on 04/05/2010 6:58:08 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (A MAJORITY (51%) OF TEA PARTIERS ARE DEMOCRATS OR INDEPENDENTS - GALLUP)
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To: higgmeister

I might just open a used carbon store for people who can’t afford new carbon.
Look for me soon coming to eBay.


22 posted on 04/05/2010 6:58:35 PM PDT by donhunt (Obama care should begin with doctors putting Nancy Pelosi's tongue in a splint.)
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To: rlmorel

Interestingly, the people they’ll drive to rebellion have all the guns.


23 posted on 04/05/2010 6:58:47 PM PDT by Uncle Miltie (A MAJORITY (51%) OF TEA PARTIERS ARE DEMOCRATS OR INDEPENDENTS - GALLUP)
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To: Lurker

No objection from me. Its not going to be just for carbon though. Its going to be for stealing elections and trashing the Constitution.

Somehow the “one flew over the Coo Coo’s nest” crowd managed to get in control. They are all nuts.


24 posted on 04/05/2010 7:04:09 PM PDT by reagan4palin
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To: Uncle Miltie

Yes. With each passing day, I have the distinct impression that they are deliberately piling on the indignities, almost just for the entertainment value of seeing how high the straws can go before the back breaks.


25 posted on 04/05/2010 7:06:06 PM PDT by rlmorel (We are traveling "The Road to Serfdom".)
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To: Lurker

It is difficult to swallow some of this and at this point I’m choking on it.

Generations have failed us.

WE must deal with the result. The question is can they be humanly deprogrammed? If not, then what?


26 posted on 04/05/2010 7:08:46 PM PDT by EBH (Our First Right...."it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it,")
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To: rlmorel

“Yes. With each passing day, I have the distinct impression that they are deliberately piling on the indignities, almost just for the entertainment value of seeing how high the straws can go before the back breaks.”

You, too?


27 posted on 04/05/2010 7:09:22 PM PDT by The Antiyuppie ("When small men cast long shadows, then it is very late in the day.")
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To: EBH
Just wait until your Form 1040 has a box next to your Social Security number that asks your weight. Then directs you to adjust your amounts on a Carbon Schedule.

(Tax credits for Ethiopians, pygmies and Haitians.)
28 posted on 04/05/2010 7:10:50 PM PDT by BIGLOOK (Keelhaul Congress!)
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To: Parley Baer
I had to check twice to make sure this was not satire. Please people wake up.

We are awake. It's the people who aren't on FR who are asleep. People will need to suffer and suffer a lot before they realize the mistake they made in Nov 2008. I'm not sure even then things will improve. I think the average American IS that stupid.
29 posted on 04/05/2010 7:11:53 PM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach; AdmSmith; Berosus; bigheadfred; Convert from ECUSA; dervish; Fred Nerks; ...
The agency incorporated a preliminary price of $21 for every ton of carbon dioxide expelled from vehicles to help reach its new standard of 35.5 miles per gallon in 2016. That amounts to about 20 cents per gallon or, as two economists claim, a level that's "far too small a price incentive to prompt substantive mitigation measures."
I wonder how many economists thrown down elevator shafts it would take to have the entire profession STFU about the global warming hoax?
30 posted on 04/05/2010 7:12:14 PM PDT by SunkenCiv ("Fools learn from experience. I prefer to learn from the experience of others." -- Otto von Bismarck)
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To: EBH

According to costco.com, the right price is $20.21 + s/h

31 posted on 04/05/2010 7:12:17 PM PDT by kittycatonline.com
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To: rlmorel

It all depends on the form and the purity. Carbon dioxide in pure and solid form typically sells for over $1 per pound.


32 posted on 04/05/2010 7:13:29 PM PDT by Qout
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To: rlmorel
With each passing day, I have the distinct impression that they are deliberately piling on the indignities, almost just for the entertainment value of seeing how high the straws can go before the back breaks.

Yes I agree. The man is insane and will not stop. The people who pushed the D-Button back in Nov 2008 have brought this upon us. Elections have consequences and we are in real danger now. Obama knows he will lose House in fall and he plans to jam as much through as possible no matter what. He's deliberately trying to destroy the US economy just to see if he can and what will result. It's part of the "bring it all down man" attitude this madman has. I told people I know that he was a dangerous man back in the fall of 2008. I told people I know who supported him that they would regret it. I told them that the decision to vote for this clown would haunt them the rest of their lives. They were fools and now we are suffering for their stupidity.
33 posted on 04/05/2010 7:17:34 PM PDT by truthguy (Good intentions are not enough!)
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To: EBH

This is madness. Sheer utter madness. If these kinds of idiotic bullshit don’t stop by newyears, there’s gonna be hell to pay. I am thoroughly fed up and I really don’t care what happens anymore.


34 posted on 04/05/2010 7:18:54 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: EBH

If you let the greens tell you what they really think, rather than what they think they can shove down our throats and get away with, it would be about a billion dollars a gallon.


35 posted on 04/05/2010 7:20:33 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: truthguy; Qout; The Antiyuppie

The Cloward-Piven Strategy of Economic Recovery

36 posted on 04/05/2010 7:29:03 PM PDT by rlmorel (We are traveling "The Road to Serfdom".)
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To: The Antiyuppie

Yeah. And I know I am not alone in feeling this way.


37 posted on 04/05/2010 7:32:00 PM PDT by rlmorel (We are traveling "The Road to Serfdom".)
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To: Lurker

If you want to know what you’re up against, click the link and read some of the comments there.


38 posted on 04/05/2010 7:33:04 PM PDT by mamelukesabre (Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum (If you want peace prepare for war))
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To: donhunt

Can promises to plant trees in your property be sold that way?


39 posted on 04/05/2010 7:33:33 PM PDT by tbw2 (Freeper sci-fi - "Humanity's Edge" - on amazon.com)
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To: EBH

“What Is the Right Price for Carbon?”

What an odd choice of words. There is no “price” under socialism. At least, not in the conventional sense. Things still cost us, in one way or another. But there is no calculation based on price in terms of dollars. Rather, we valuate things according to how much goodwill, poltical grease, and/or violence we have to go around.


40 posted on 04/05/2010 8:07:49 PM PDT by Tublecane
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