See the little red dot with the green arrow at about the 2010 mark. Dr Syun Akasofu
Posted on 03/13/2013 10:26:09 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
I’m not keen on short term trends at all, they have a habit of flicking in and out of statistical significance with each month’s new data, or even switching from cooling to warming. But for what it’s worth, and only time will tell, perhaps the world entered the downswing of the PDO cycle in temperatures circa 2005.
If the world was entering a gently cooling phase, this is what it would look like
Syun Akasofu pointed out that there was a simple 60 year oscillation of global temperatures (about 30 years of warming, about 30 years of mild cooling) on top of a long slow rise that started more than 200 years ago. He predicted that we were at the top of one of the cycles, and were about to see the beginning of a cooler cycle. This early data suggests he may be right.
See the little red dot with the green arrow at about the 2010 mark. Dr Syun Akasofu
The cooling for the last eight years is statistically significant in 4 of the 5 major air temperature datasets. One, UAH, shows a small (statistically insignificant) rise since 2005.
And here’s the political point: how many of the policy makers, the media, or the public are even aware of the current trend? Approximately no one. I’ll bet even most skeptics didn’t know it.
…
….
…
….
…
…
…
…
…
Cue critics who’ll tell me I’m cherry-picking data…
Note I’m not suggesting that this shows CO2 doesn’t cause warming, I’m not suggesting this is evidence (yet) that the models are wrong (they’re wrong, but for other reasons), I’m not even saying that the world is definitely cooling. I’m pointing out that if we were entering a cooler phase, this is what it would look like.
Perhaps the most important thing about these graphs is to juxtapose that claim the world is “still warming” in recent years. If statistical significance is where you hang your hat, the warming trend is not statistically significant, and yet (at the moment anyway) it is statistically significant to say the opposite about the last 8 years in 4 out of 5 datasets.
Btw, all five of the datasets have uncertainties of about 0.05 degrees C, so any change less than that is statistically insignificant.
UPDATE: Graph title corrected in the RSS graph.
The short killer summary: The Skeptics Handbook. The most deadly point: The Missing Hot Spot.
It is believed currently that a comet hit the residual ice sheat in Canada. The broken pieces then clogged the Gulf of St. Lawrence, and the massive fresh water runoff into the Atlantic actually brought the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation to a halt. Europe instantly returned to Ice Age glacial conditions.
I’d even agree to let Al Gore get up there and take credit for ending global warming if they promise that everyone else would just Shut Up Already.
The magnetic field strength of newly formed sunspots continues to decrease linearly. It appears the solar magnetic cycle has been interrupted. Livingston and Penn are predicting the sun will be spotless starting 2014, and a Maunder minimum for solar cycle 25
The most oft-cited example of a shutdown in sun spots is the so-called Maunder Minimum, a 70-year period that began around 1645. Sun spots virtually vanished from the sun's surface.
The decline coincided with a climate period known as the Little Ice Age, when temperatures fell substantially in various locations around the globe and different times during the time span.
No, NO!
Our admiral in the Pacific says our biggest enemy is global warming. Isn’t anyone listening? It’s the real deal, people! These scientists are all wrong!
The admiral says we should be planning to use our forces to combat the threat of changing climate challenges...to ARMS!
BTTT!
Global Warming on Free Republic
Thanks Ernest.
For Gormanda’’s sake, would you give it up with that chemtrail nonsense?
It is a proven scientificated factoid that spritzing a 50/50 mix of vinegar water at them nullifies their effects within the spritzitized spritsphere.
If everyone would just do their Gormanda mandated doodie, and spritz, we’d have nothing to worry about except worry itself!
“For Gormanda’’s sake, would you give it up with that chemtrail nonsense?”
_________________________________________________
Well, I did word my Chem-trail post to emphasis the pure absurdity of those that are convinced that every contrail is really a government conspiracy to poison everyone.
The only chem-trail that i know about is when that Stearman
dropped down to ten feet above my cotton crop to kill those pesky bowlweevels.
The vinegar spritz is straight from the Paulista’s Chemtail Counter-Ofensive Playbook.
It was offered in the same spirit as your original post, designed to pull the opposite leg, so readers would again be on an even stance.
Someone needs to start a blog on the best places to live during a Little Ice Age.
I’ll take “It’s the Sunspots” for $500 please, Alex.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.