Posted on 09/25/2012 9:55:27 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
(MAP AT LINK)
Karl Rove's commentary on this week's Electoral Map updates:
"Seven states changed status since last week's Electoral College map, with four moving in Mitt Romney's direction and only three moving toward Barack Obama.
"Mr. Romney saw Georgia move from 'lean' to 'safe' Romney, New Hampshire change from 'lean' Obama to 'toss up,' and New Mexico and Pennsylvania both shift from 'safe' to 'lean' Obama.
"Mr. Obama saw Oregon shift from 'lean' to 'safe' Obama, Wisconsin change from 'toss up' to 'lean' Obama, and Arizona move from 'safe' Romney to 'lean' Romney.
"Mr. Obama is down to 196 'safe Electoral College votes with four states (51 EC votes) 'leaning' in his favor.
"Mr. Romney's 'safe' EC votes increased to 159, with three 'lean' states (32 EC votes) that are more than likely to be in his column on Election Day.
"It should be noted this is the first time since August 1st that Mr. Obama's 'safe' EC vote total decreased while Mr. Romney's grew.
"There are also eight 'toss up' states and a coveted 100 EC votes are up for grabs. These states remain too close to call and show little movement, even after a week of rigorous polling (52 surveys conducted in 18 states)."
Last week's Rove Electoral Map. For previous versions, click on "Electoral Map" in the Subject Categories to the right here...
(Excerpt) Read more at news.investors.com ...
but...but...he’s eye candy on the View.?
Rove is still a jerk!
We HEART Rove now!
I can not believe that my great state of Tennessee is not solid red. Even the home boy, Gore, did not win Tennessee, neither did Obozo.
Maybe they oversampled black Memphis.
“Mr. Romney saw Georgia move from ‘lean’ to ‘safe’ Romney, New Hampshire change from ‘lean’ Obama to ‘toss up,’ and New Mexico and Pennsylvania both shift from ‘safe’ to ‘lean’ Obama.
Hmmm... anything to do with Newt Gingrich and John Sununu?
PA is leaning Obama. Is Santorum on vacation?
Rove is a POS.
I trust his predictions about as much as TheToe Sucker.
Are they using the same numbers?
Draw your own conclusions as to the value of an average of all polls in a state.
RYMB!
Rove, You Magnificient Bastard!
I wouldn’t trust Rove if he told me I had feet. Rove pulled this same BS in 2008 and he was WAY off.
I just wish we’d get this debacle over with so we can focus on building Conservatism and not trying to claim that every pollster in the history of Mankind is involved in some wild conspiracy.
Based on a 30 day polling avg. not exactly current.
I still can’t believe people are even considering Obama. It should be a blowout for Romney. Where have people been for the last four years!
Romney will win Tennessee. McCain won Tennessee last time.
Incumbents in any political race normally enjoy a 12-15 point advantage from the onset of a campaign.
That usually settles to a 7-10 point margin by the time the debates roll around.
If the challenger scores heavily in the debates - that margin can evaporate easily.
As an example, Carter was ahead of Reagan by the typical margin at the time of the last debate. BUT, Reagan nailed him and Carter saw his lead evaporate in a week and got blown out on election day.
In this election, with the polls essentially tied, if I were with the Obama campaign - I would be extremely worried.
There are about 7-9 percent of the electorate “undecided” at this point - and the majority of them historically swing to the challenger [in this case, 4-6 percent].
If Obama gets nailed in the debates, 1-2 percent of those previously voting for him might even change their minds.
That may translate into a cumulative 5-8 percent swing to Romney.
Food for thought ...
That is true. Add this to Jim Messina (Obama campaign) telling people to ignore the polls, and Obama not being able to fill venues anymore, low enthusiasm among his base etc etc... It looks very bad for Obama.
Øbama is but a symptom of an illiterate electorate.
Our problem will remain after this turd is flushed.
Oct is coming the real polling will start.
Romeny will win the entire South.
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