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Is Intelligent Design a Bad Scientific Theory or a Non-Scientific Theory?
Tech Central Station ^ | 11/10/2005 | Uriah Kriegel

Posted on 11/10/2005 4:43:24 AM PST by Nicholas Conradin

In an election in Pennsylvania this week, voters tossed out eight members of the Pittsburgh school board who wanted Intelligent Design theory to be taught alongside evolution in school. But should Intelligent Design -- the theory that living organisms were created at least in part by an intelligent designer, not by a blind process of evolution by natural selection -- be taught in public schools? In one way, the answer to this question is simple: if it's a scientific theory, it should; if it's not, it shouldn't (on pain of flaunting the Establishment Clause). The question, however, is whether Intelligent Design (ID) is a scientific theory.

Opponents dismiss ID's scientific credentials, claiming that the theory is too implausible to qualify as scientific. But this reasoning is fallacious: a bad scientific theory is still a scientific theory, just as a bad car is still a car. There may be pedagogical reasons to avoid teaching bad scientific theories in our public schools, but there are no legal ones. The Constitution contains no interdiction on teaching bad theories, or for that matter demonstrably false ones. As long as theory is science and not religion, there is no legal barrier to teaching it.

To make their case, opponents of teaching ID must show not just that the theory is bad, but that it's not science. This raises a much more complicated question: What is science? What distinguishes genuinely scientific theories from non-scientific ones?

In one form or another, the question has bothered scientists and philosophers for centuries. But it was given an explicit formulation only in the 1920s, by Karl Popper, the most important 20th century philosopher of science. Popper called it "the problem of demarcation," because it asked how to demarcate scientific research and distinguish it from other modes of thought (respectable though they may be in their own right).

One thing Popper emphasized was that a theory's status as scientific doesn't depend on its plausibility. The great majority of scientific theories turn out to be false, including such works of genius as Newton's mechanics. Conversely, the story of Adam and Eve may well be pure truth, but if it is, it's not scientific truth, but some other kind of truth.

So what is the mark of genuine science? To attack this question, Popper examined several theories he thought were inherently unscientific but had a vague allure of science about them. His favorites were Marx's theory of history and Freud's theory of human behavior. Both attempted to describe the world without appeal to super-natural phenomena, but yet seem fundamentally different from, say, the theory of relativity or the gene theory.

What Popper noticed was that, in both cases, there was no way to prove to proponents of the theory that they were wrong. Suppose Jim's parents moved around a lot when Jim was a child. If Jim also moves around a lot as an adult, the Freudian explains that this was predictable given the patterns of behavior Jim grew up with. If Jim never moves, the Freudian explains -- with equal confidence -- that this was predictable as a reaction to Jim's unpleasant experiences of a rootless childhood. Either way the Freudian has a ready-made answer and cannot be refuted. Likewise, however much history seemed to diverge from Marx's model, Marxists would always introduce new modifications and roundabout excuses for their theory, never allowing it to be proven false.

Popper concluded that the mark of true science was falsifiability: a theory is genuinely scientific only if it's possible in principle to refute it. This may sound paradoxical, since science is about seeking truth, not falsehood. But Popper showed that it was precisely the willingness to be proven false, the critical mindset of being open to the possibility that you're wrong, that makes for progress toward truth.

What scientists do in designing experiments that test their theories is create conditions under which their theory might be proven false. When a theory passes a sufficient number of such tests, the scientific community starts taking it seriously, and ultimately as plausible.

When Einstein came up with the theory of relativity, the first thing he did was to make a concrete prediction: he predicted that a certain planet must exist in such-and-such a place even though it had never been observed before. If it turned out that the planet did not exist, his theory would be refuted. In 1919, 14 years after the advent of Special Relativity, the planet was discovered exactly where he said. The theory survived the test. But the possibility of failing a test -- the willingness to put the theory up for refutation -- was what made it a scientific theory in the first place.

To win in the game of science, a theory must be submitted to many tests and survive all of them without being falsified. But to be even allowed into the game, the theory must be falsifiable in principle: there must be a conceivable experiment that would prove it false.

If we examine ID in this light, it becomes pretty clear that the theory isn't scientific. It is impossible to refute ID, because if an animal shows one characteristic, IDers can explain that the intelligent designer made it this way, and if the animal shows the opposite characteristic, IDers can explain with equal confidence that the designer made it that way. For that matter, it is fully consistent with ID that the supreme intelligence designed the world to evolve according to Darwin's laws of natural selection. Given this, there is no conceivable experiment that can prove ID false.

It is sometimes complained that IDers resemble the Marxist historians who always found a way to modify and reframe their theory so it evades any possible falsification, never offering an experimental procedure by which ID could in principle be falsified. To my mind, this complaint is warranted indeed. But the primary problem is not with the intellectual honesty of IDers, but with the nature of their theory. The theory simply cannot be fashioned to make any potentially falsified predictions, and therefore cannot earn entry into the game of science.

None of this suggests that ID is in fact false. For all I've said, it may well be pure truth. But if it is, it wouldn't be scientific truth, because it isn't scientific at all. As such, we shouldn't allow it into our science classrooms. At least that's what the Constitution says.

The writer teaches philosophy at the University of Arizona.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Philosophy
KEYWORDS: crevolist; evilution; evolution; goddoodit; id; idiocy; ignoranceisstrength; monkeygod; popper; science; theory
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To: P-Marlowe
Exodus 21:16 actually refers to kidnapping.

Yeah, right. I missed the word kidnap anywhere in there. "Steal a man" is an awfully strange way of referring to kidnapping, and a completely natural way of referring to the stealing of slaves. I don't get why you are trying to twist it? You are completely comfortable with God having approved of slavery, right?

501 posted on 11/10/2005 11:22:49 PM PST by Thatcherite (Feminized androgenous automaton euro-weenie blackguard)
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To: blue-duncan
You are still dealing in the area of self interest, not altruism or common good. The Carnegies, Rockefellers, Fords, Soros, Gates, Stalins, Pol Pots, China, North Korea, Iran, Saudi Arabia all use cooperation to suit their selfish ends but when necessary they, at heart, are ruthless self monopolists right out of the Ayn Rand school of the strong individualist survives because there is nothing greater than themselves or a transcendant being they must one day answer to.

Principles, my friend. Principles. An ad-hoc, self-serving moral "code" is a contradiction in terms. Any moral system must be applied consistently every time in similar contexts. For example, if my code is to only deal with businesses that treat me fairly, openly praise the ones that go beyond that basic standard, and openly denounce the ones that fail to live up to it, then I must accept that others should be allowed to do the same WRT doing business with me.

Whatever rules I make up for myself that I think will give me an advantage in life, I must also allow other people to treat me in the same ways in their dealings with me.

That is only fair, and I contend that if you follow any self-interested principle consistently like that, you'll never end up acting in a manner that we would consider predatory or unfair.

502 posted on 11/10/2005 11:31:38 PM PST by jennyp (WHAT I'M READING NOW: Art of Unix Programming by Raymond)
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To: Thatcherite; AndrewC
"Steal a man" is an awfully strange way of referring to kidnapping, and a completely natural way of referring to the stealing of slaves.

It may be a "strange way " of referring to kidnapping, but that is what it refers to.

Deu 24:7 If a man be found stealing any of his brethren of the children of Israel, and maketh merchandise of him, or selleth him; then that thief shall die; and thou shalt put evil away from among you.

But we know that the law is good, if a man use it lawfully; Knowing this, that the law is not made for a righteous man, but for the lawless and disobedient, for the ungodly and for sinners, for unholy and profane, for murderers of fathers and murderers of mothers, for manslayers, For whoremongers, for them that defile themselves with mankind, for menstealers, for liars, for perjured persons, and if there be any other thing that is contrary to sound doctrine; According to the glorious gospel of the blessed God, which was committed to my trust. (1Ti 1:8-11 KJV)

You are completely comfortable with God having approved of slavery, right?

By what standard do you judge God? Are you holier than God?

503 posted on 11/10/2005 11:39:40 PM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: jennyp; blue-duncan
That is only fair, and I contend that if you follow any self-interested principle consistently like that, you'll never end up acting in a manner that we would consider predatory or unfair.

Rational righteousness. Interesting premise. Has it worked anywhere?

504 posted on 11/10/2005 11:42:04 PM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: Thatcherite
"Steal a man" is an awfully strange way of referring to kidnapping

"Kidnapping" means Child stealing. It also refers to "man stealing".

Word History: Appropriately enough, kidnapper seems to have originated among those who perpetrate this crime. We know this because kid and napper, the two parts of the compound, were slang of the sort that criminals used. Kid, which still has an informal air, was considered low slang when kidnapper was formed, and napper is obsolete slang for a thief, coming from the verb nap, “to steal.” Nap is possibly a variant of nab, which also still has a slangy ring. In 1678, the year in which the word is first recorded, kidnappers plied their trade to secure laborers for plantations in colonies such as the ones in North America. The term later took on the broader sense that it has today. The verb kidnap is recorded later (1682) than the noun and so is possibly a back-formation, that is, people may have assumed that a kidnapper kidnaps.

505 posted on 11/10/2005 11:45:46 PM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: Thatcherite

In the Old Testament there is much that is unique to that covenant, but has no counterpart in the New Testament.


506 posted on 11/10/2005 11:53:02 PM PST by HiTech RedNeck
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To: Pete from Shawnee Mission
"Maybe we should have a little more free thinking in education land and challenge the forces of convention. If nothing else we should do this because it's fun to irritate the conformists in the NEA and the parrots of the MSM."

Freedom is the issue. Interesting how the "gods" of Darwin practice both Freudian and Marxist designs in maintaining status, and has nothing to do with the promotion of freedom but slavery to their ideology.
507 posted on 11/11/2005 12:04:28 AM PST by Just mythoughts
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To: P-Marlowe
Maybe you should start a thread.

I have no interest in such a thing. And it's obvious enough without anyone having to start a thread on it.

508 posted on 11/11/2005 12:58:21 AM PST by Ichneumon
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To: blue-duncan
You are still dealing in the area of self interest, not altruism or common good. The Carnegies, Rockefellers, Fords, Soros, Gates, Stalins, Pol Pots, China, North Korea, Iran, Saudi Arabia all use cooperation to suit their selfish ends but when necessary they, at heart, are ruthless self monopolists...

You make a good point. Self-interest always prevails in man; it's his nature.

All men are either led by God for His purpose or they're not.

509 posted on 11/11/2005 1:28:16 AM PST by Dr. Eckleburg ('Deserves' got nothing to do with it.)
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To: Thatcherite

In other words, God fails the job description of "Mr. Nice Guy." If that offends you, well so sorry.


510 posted on 11/11/2005 1:43:38 AM PST by HiTech RedNeck
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To: furball4paws
I didn't think you had it in you.

Just something I came across while in the chapel at Darwin Central. [Gasp!]

511 posted on 11/11/2005 3:33:28 AM PST by PatrickHenry (Expect no response if you're a troll, lunatic, retard, or incurable ignoramus.)
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To: YHAOS

Hell, I'm taking cheap shots at a young man who is running the family business. (his daddy started the church) and I don't have to justify his operating expenses. I think they are sitting on his wife's finger.


512 posted on 11/11/2005 4:33:39 AM PST by PokeyJoe (There are 10 kinds of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those that don't.)
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To: P-Marlowe

Are you saying the Goen Rule doesn't work?


513 posted on 11/11/2005 5:05:14 AM PST by From many - one.
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To: From many - one.
Are you saying the Goen Rule doesn't work?

If you mean "Golden Rule" then I would say that the Golden Rule is an example of self sacrifice not self interest. For the Golden Rule to work to your interest, those to whom you would treat in such a way must be committed to treat you that way. Jesus expected us to treat others that way without any expectation that others would treat us that way.

Christ's disciples were tortured and killed despite their own adherence to the Golden Rule.

514 posted on 11/11/2005 5:13:38 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: blue-duncan
" Individual rights are promoted, exercised and protected from a position of strength, not cooperation or weakness. "

No it doesn't. It comes out of a the moral certainty that the initiation of force is always wrong. I doubt you have ever read any of her work.

"As for capitalism, Rockefeller, Carnegie, Ford and Gates have nothing to do with it. Their empires were built on ruthless monopolistic tactics."

Their businesses were built out of hard work and the willing exchange of goods and services. I am sorry you hate capitalism so much, though not surprised.

"Lives were ruined and businesses destroyed in their lust for power. They were no different in their tactics than Stalin and Pol Pot except the latter killed with violence rather than with banks and lawyers."

No, people's lives were made better, even yours. Gates has forced nobody to use his products, he has no monopoly; that's just a left-wing myth. Your hatred for individual rights and capitalism is out of place here. Your views are more in line with Marx than Adam Smith.
515 posted on 11/11/2005 5:13:56 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: xzins

" I'm thinking that the sentiment is in regards to the liberal foundations started by these men."

No, he actually hates their business practices.


516 posted on 11/11/2005 5:15:52 AM PST by CarolinaGuitarman ("There is a grandeur in this view of life...")
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To: Ichneumon
I have no interest in such a thing.

Then why did you bring up the accusation?

I dare say it is a false accusation. I was kind of hoping you were willing to put it to the test.

517 posted on 11/11/2005 5:18:06 AM PST by P-Marlowe
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To: ml1954
"Do you think slavery is OK with God?"

Oh absolutely. I am bondslave to Christ sold into slavery for Him. We are either slaves of righteousness leading to eternal life or slaves of sin leading to death.

JM
518 posted on 11/11/2005 5:19:14 AM PST by JohnnyM
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To: highball; P-Marlowe
What does that have to do with....

It's a side conversation.

However, one result of atheistic materialism is that there is no moral code to which anyone can appeal. Everyone can "do what is right in his own eyes."

519 posted on 11/11/2005 5:35:56 AM PST by xzins (Retired Army Chaplain and Proud of It!)
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To: P-Marlowe

I don't see where it says those words were placed on stone tablets.


520 posted on 11/11/2005 5:46:47 AM PST by js1138 (Great is the power of steady misrepresentation.)
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