Posted on 11/08/2006 2:08:36 AM PST by CheyennePress
Right now, Tester is up 4,032 votes. If Burns can finish at 55% (6% less than Bush in 2004) in Yellowstone County, he's going to win, assuming voter turnout was about the same. And really, that's all that matters. The others look like they can fluctuate.
I did some rough calculations and assumed that county total would be equal to what they had been to this point. I also subtracted 5% from the percentage Bush won in 2004.
So far, those counties unaccounted for are:
Lincoln (71% accounted for) 56% Burns 3,544 40% Tester 2,534
(~+300 more)
Meagher (0% accounted for) Bush took 72% of 972 in 2004
(~+300)
Cascade (61% accounted for) Tester 52% 10,894 Burns 46% 9,633
(-400)
Fergus (25% accounted for) Burns 61% 861 Tester 36% 504
(+1000)
Gallatin (22% accounted for) Burns 50% 9,937 Tester 48% 9,718
(+800)
Glacier (50% accounted for) Burns 53% 1,214 Tester 45% 1,030
(+200)
Lake (91% accounted for) Tester 49% 4,265 Burns 47% 4,176
(-10)
Lewis & Clark (98%) Tester 55% 14,453 Burns 43% 11,376
-60
Yellowstone (0% accounted for) Bush won with 61% of 66,000 votes
+7100
If those last two counties continue to vote as they have, the pubs will win. It will be close however. Talk about some close races overall.
Oops. Calculation error. Burns needs to do better in Gallatin.
Why can't those last counties report? I want some good news.
Do you know when Yellowstone is expected to be in?
Either way it will be within 2,000 votes. Recount is coming.
1507 votes ! STILL! And 4% need to be counted! That´s pretty close!!
Well, that was quick. This just in.
Tester 183,386
Burns 181,879
Burns now only 1,507 votes behind. 96 percent of precincts reporting.
94% of Yellowstone are in,
33% of Gallatin are in,
91% of Lake are in,
0% of Meagher in.
You beat me posting by seconds!
94% for Yellowstone already?
Montana could be the Florida of 2006.
Virginia is NOT LOST. The absentee ballots have not been counted yet, there are a lot of military absentee votes left to count and they tend to be strongly GOP.
Yes. Burns leading by 50-47 to Tester in Yellowstone so far.
Really? I voted absentee, so my vote hasn't been counted. Aren't the number of absentee votes pretty high this year?
What about absentee ballots in Montana? Are they counted in these tallies?
Hell... with that title...I thought this was a suggestion that we should all move there. ;^)
any links to official montana sites with results
the Fox state pages are no longer working...
Look, let´s assume the military has 200,000% soldiers abroad who voted. VA has 7,2 m people, = ca. 2,5% of the US population. So let´s even say that 5% of the US soldiers are from VA - that makes 10,000 votes. Let´s assume 25% of them vote Dem, 75% vote GOP, that makes 7,500 votes for the GOP, but 2,500 votes for the Dems, so VA is still lost. The race is more close in MT!
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