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Washington Post-ABC News Poll (Fred Thompson surging in Iowa!)
The Washington Post ^ | Tuesday, November 20, 2007

Posted on 11/21/2007 11:56:00 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

This Washington Post-ABC News poll was conducted by telephone November 14-18, 2007, among a random sample of 400 Iowans likely to vote in the Republican caucus. The results have a five percentage point margin of sampling error. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa. *= less than 0.5 percent --snip--

4. (FOR SCREENING PURPOSES) If the caucuses were being held today, would you attend the (Democratic Party caucus) or the (Republican Party caucus) in your precinct? Democratic caucus Republican caucus 11/18/07 0 100 7/31/07 0 100

5. If the Republican caucus were being held today, and the candidates were: (Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo, Ron Paul, and Fred Thompson), who would you support? NET LEANED VOTE: (Continued)

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: advertising; caucuses; conservatives; election; electionpresident; elections; endorsements; fredthompson; gop; ia2008; nrlc; nrtl; polls; republicans; righttolife; valuesvoters
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Fred Thompson is now in third place in Iowa. I am guessing that the National Right To Life Committee endorsement plus the two ads he is running there, plus the mailer he sent to almost everyone are doing their work.
1 posted on 11/21/2007 11:56:01 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

But, but, but......the media is constantly saying that Fred’s campaign is collapsing.


2 posted on 11/21/2007 11:57:46 AM PST by Wonder Warthog (The Hog of Steel-NRA)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fred can take about half of Huckabee’s support and siphon off a little of Mitt’s and Rudy’s and win this thing.


3 posted on 11/21/2007 11:58:31 AM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Go Fred Go!


4 posted on 11/21/2007 11:59:41 AM PST by Ditter
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Don’t care for the methodology, but the trend is nice. ;)


5 posted on 11/21/2007 11:59:41 AM PST by kevkrom ("Should government be doing this? And if so, then at what level of government?" - FDT)
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To: Wonder Warthog
"But, but, but......the media is constantly saying that Fred’s campaign is collapsing."

That's because they want a RINO versus Hillary/Obama matchup in November 2008.

6 posted on 11/21/2007 11:59:44 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: Politicalmom; jellybean; Josh Painter; ejonesie22; papasmurf; Bobbisox; DesScorp; thefactor; ...
Fred surging in Iowa ping!!
7 posted on 11/21/2007 12:01:16 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Since when is a two point gain to 15 percent a “surge.” Ron Paul has gained even more as has Huckabee.


8 posted on 11/21/2007 12:01:31 PM PST by Captain Kirk
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To: RockinRight
Fred can take about half of Huckabee’s support ...

Wow! That must be some great stuff you are smoking. Want to share?

9 posted on 11/21/2007 12:01:37 PM PST by TexasRedeye (Eschew obfuscation)
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To: kevkrom
"Don’t care for the methodology, but the trend is nice. ;)"

Spiff ought to be along any minute now to tell us why this poll is an outlier and doesn't mean anything...

10 posted on 11/21/2007 12:02:30 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Your "dirt" on Fred is about as persuasive as a Nancy Pelosi Veteran's Day Speech)
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To: TexasRedeye

Why couldn’t he?

All he has to do is expose that Huck’s a socialist fraud and he’s well on his way to doing that.


11 posted on 11/21/2007 12:02:34 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The ads are good ones... and he looks great, which is important given his health concerns.


12 posted on 11/21/2007 12:02:55 PM PST by WhistlingPastTheGraveyard
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To: TexasRedeye

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1928529/posts


13 posted on 11/21/2007 12:03:23 PM PST by RockinRight (Just because you're pro-life and talk about God a lot doesn't mean you're a conservative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Go Fred go!


14 posted on 11/21/2007 12:04:20 PM PST by Reagan Man (FUHGETTABOUTIT Rudy....... Conservatives don't vote for liberals!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

70% of Romney supporters say they may change their mind.

Of course, there is also a 70% chance that Romney may change his mind on any issue.


15 posted on 11/21/2007 12:04:59 PM PST by iowamark
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To: Wonder Warthog
"But, but, but......the media is constantly saying that Fred’s campaign is collapsing."

Yeah, along with those on this forum who won't let go of their "favorites" and post the anti-Fred talking points.

We're a year away from the actual election, and more than half of Americans aren't even watching the "campaigns".

Huckabee and Fred jump up when those who ARE watching start listening to what is offered and who is "electable". Stay tuned, as Fred is still the one who would rally the flyover country voters in a general election more than any other candidate.

16 posted on 11/21/2007 12:05:04 PM PST by traditional1
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To: Captain Kirk

psst, did you look. Your guy went down 2 points


17 posted on 11/21/2007 12:05:38 PM PST by Kaslin (Peace is the aftermath of victory)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Fred Thompson is now in third place in Iowa”

He was in third place in the comparative survey on 31st July, when he was 13 points behind Mitt Romney.

In the latest survey he is still in 3rd place and still 13 points behind Romney.

Meanwhile Huckabee has tripled his support and gone from joint 4th to 2nd.

It would be more accurate to characterise that as a surge than Thompson’s numbers, wouldn’t it?


18 posted on 11/21/2007 12:05:47 PM PST by UKTory
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sticking to the plan guys, sticking to the plan...

Doesn’t hurt that the “Conservative” Mitt Romney is getting a few holes worn in him...

19 posted on 11/21/2007 12:06:11 PM PST by ejonesie22 (Mitt Romney, Republican Conservative?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
NET LEANED VOTE:
11/18/07 7/31/07
Mitt Romney 28 26
Mike Huckabee 24 8
Fred Thompson 15 13
Rudy Giuliani 13 14
John McCain 6 8
Ron Paul 6 2
Tom Tancredo 2 5
Duncan Hunter 1 1
20 posted on 11/21/2007 12:06:21 PM PST by Petronski (Reject the liberal troika: romney, giuliani, mccain)
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