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Posted on 12/22/2007 6:24:10 AM PST by Reaganesque
In a general election match-up, both Rudy Giuliani and Mitt Romney find themselves in a toss-up with Hillary Clinton. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone shows Giuliani with a statistically insignificant 45% to 44% advantage over Clinton. Romney enjoys the same margin, nominally leads Clinton 44% to 43%.
Both Republicans have a decided advantage with male voters. Clinton has the advantage with female voters (see crosstabs).
Clinton and Giuliani have been trading generally insignificant leads for months. In the last four polls, Clinton led twice, Giuliani led twice. Earlier in December, it was Clinton by three. Both candidates have been within four points of the 45% mark in nine consecutive surveys (see history of this match-up).
However, while Giuliani has been competitive with the Democratic frontrunner all year, the current poll represents the best performance yet for Romney. Clinton had held the lead over Romney in 11 out of 11 previous surveys. Earlier in December, he trailed the former First Lady by three percentage points(see history of this match-up).
Mayor Giuliani has expended relatively few resources on the earliest primary and caucus states and hopes to make a sweep of big states on Super Tuesday, coming up in February. He lags in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina—where Romney, Mike Huckabee and John McCain are drawing the most support.
In New Hampshire Romney attracts 31% support, McCain attracts 27%. In Iowa, Huckabee and Romney are virtually tied 28% to 27%; in South Carolina, they're exactly tied 23% to 23%. Huckabee has a very modest lead nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
Hillary Clinton, currently viewed unfavorably by 54% of all voters, has generally enjoyed a stronger lead in the Democrats' nomination race than Giuliani has in the GOP race. But she finds herself in very competitive early state races-- Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina are all too close to call among the Democrats.
Crosstabs are available to Premium Members only.
Romney’s holding up well going into the home stretch. He has the resources to make a final sprint. It will be interesting to see if Rush Limbaugh’s Friday commentary peels off a few percent of Huckabee’s support.
Well if it makes you feel any better, if given the chance to vote for some old bald fat geezer vs a young bikini model, men will go for the bikini model every time... lol
May the best man win.
Mitt Romney Lies About Father ‘Marching With Martin Luther King, Jr.’
Let's re-establish conservatism as the core value of the Republican Party and turn back this wave of "blue-blood Republicanism" espoused by the liberal troika of Romney, Guiliani and McCain.
Male chauvanist ping! Romney is handsome, and I will vote for him if he is nominated.
I am a woman and Fred is my choice. Nobody can say he is handsome--but he is more conservative than any other Rep. candidate. I like a Fred-Duncan Hunter ticket.
vaudine
In fact during that period William F. Buckley wrote a column telling Republicans that Reagan was doing a terrible job of running a campiagn. Buckley thought Carter looked like a sure winnner. But when they counted the votes on election day Reagan defeated Carter by 10 points.
It appears that the Media Polls were just 30 points wrong. Oh the polls did change over the course of the campaign.. On election day they polls showed the race was within the margin of error. But both the internal Democratic and Repubilcan polls showed Reagan a sure winner. That is why Carter conceded the race just 10 minutes after the polls closed on the East Coast.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll
Will the GOP make the mistake of nominating a candidate with negatives as high as Hillary?
Actually Mitt's dad DID march with MLK in Detroit. There's a thread on it. So maybe Mitt 'apologized' (clarified?) too soon.
"He spoke damn clear English. The plain sense of the passage is clear from the preceding and succeeding sentences."
"I said that his speech was misread. The lack of intelligence rests in the reader, not the speaker. Just because a fool misreads something someone writes or says doesn’t mean the fault rests with the speaker or writer... You have to be a Mitt-hater to read them the way you do."
.......................
You know, the salesman is always right theory. Mind your betters, little person, unwashed...and so forth.
Hey, I just posted the links, pard. Don’t shoot the messenger.
You are boring us.
Not you. I was quoting a Romney clean up artist. I didn’t make it clear.
Oh, wait a minute! No, it’s your fault! :)
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