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Obama Leading North Dakota by 3 Points in Aug 23-27 Poll. [ALERT! POLL BIAS]
dakotapolitics.com ^

Posted on 09/06/2008 3:18:17 AM PDT by tomymind

A poll conducted from August 23-27 by DFM Research of 400 likely voters shows Obama leading 43% to 40% with 5% Other and 12% Unsure (margin of error +/- 5%).

This is the first ND Poll since February showing Obama Leading in North Dakota. (Real Clear Politics has McCain up +3, +1, and +6 in the last 3 polls and Obama up +4 in February)

I spoke with Dean Mitchell of DFM Research Today and he stated that the poll was conducted during the DNC Convention with polling ending the day prior to Obama's speech.

The full results are listed below and it includes some polling on the Governors Race and the Insurance Commissioner Race. Hoeven leads Mathern by 44 Percentage Points (63 to 19) and Kelly Schmidt leads Mitch Vance in the treasurer race by 22% to 17% with 59% Unsure.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: North Dakota
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008dncconvention; 2008polls; bias; bounce; election; electionpresident; elections; mccain; mccainpalin; nd2008; obama; obamabiden; palin; poll; vote
This kind of polls makes me lough: Obama is up in ND?! So, I don't mind how much polls are biased towards Rats. We'll know the real numbers on election day.
1 posted on 09/06/2008 3:18:17 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: tomymind

August 23-27? Why not last year?

Only polls after 9/15/08 count.


2 posted on 09/06/2008 3:21:28 AM PDT by Mikey_1962 (Obama: The Affimative Action Candidate)
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To: tomymind

It will be BREAKING NEWS on mslsd.


3 posted on 09/06/2008 3:22:44 AM PDT by screaminsunshine
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To: tomymind

Obama has about as much chance of carrying N. Dakota as he does Utah. = 0


4 posted on 09/06/2008 3:24:28 AM PDT by Old Retired Army Guy (tHE)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

They asked 400 people, thats like not even a full sample, its not a very reliable poll.


5 posted on 09/06/2008 3:29:29 AM PDT by sunmars
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

Don’t let Obama’s camp know about this. Perhaps they will spend their ‘hard earned’ money there.


6 posted on 09/06/2008 3:31:57 AM PDT by paudio (Can you tell me a single thing Obama has done in the senate?)
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To: tomymind

Only polls AP, After Palin, count.


7 posted on 09/06/2008 3:39:22 AM PDT by AmericaUnited
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To: tomymind
the poll was conducted during the DNC Convention with polling ending the day prior to Obama's speech.

The poll ended before the Obambi's speech. It's a whole different race now.

8 posted on 09/06/2008 3:40:41 AM PDT by hsalaw
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To: tomymind

DFM=Democrat Funded Misinformation


9 posted on 09/06/2008 3:44:26 AM PDT by paddles
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To: tomymind

If McCain has to worry about North Dakota the election is lost for him. Is there some huge demographic shift that would make this so?


10 posted on 09/06/2008 3:45:35 AM PDT by MSF BU (++)
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To: tomymind

Get the word out as much as possible:

Don’t listen to the polls. Act as if there are no polls.

If you’re going to donate, donate.
If you’re going to volunteer, volunteer.
If you’re going to vote, vote.

Don’t pay attention to any polls, except the final polls, the election day polls.

Everything else is subject to left-wing manipulation.


11 posted on 09/06/2008 3:52:52 AM PDT by samtheman
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To: tomymind
This poll story does not jive .... North Dakota is not Homeboys from the Hood Chicago.
12 posted on 09/06/2008 4:02:05 AM PDT by Prophet in the wilderness (PSALM .53 : 1 The FOOL hath said in his heart, there is no GOD.)
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To: tomymind

Yeah right.


13 posted on 09/06/2008 4:07:22 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: MSF BU
"If McCain has to worry about North Dakota the election is lost for him."

He doesn't.


"Is there some huge demographic shift that would make this so?"


Yes ... The polling was done in the homeless shelters, under bridges, and behind Home Depot and Lowes. IE: Where bums & illegals hang out.

14 posted on 09/06/2008 4:08:15 AM PDT by G.Mason (Duty, Honor, Country)
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To: tomymind

Welcome to FR!!

You do an excellent job of digging up the democrat funded polls. Keep up the good work!


15 posted on 09/06/2008 4:08:36 AM PDT by frankjr (Had better days, Lois. Had better days.)
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To: Prophet in the wilderness
This poll story does not jive .... North Dakota is not Homeboys from the Hood Chicago.

400 people from Fargo, Grand Forks and Minot (Eastern North ?Dakota) who are going to work in the 5 new Obama campaign offices, were polled. North Dakota is full of their whining, socialist Democrat Non Partisan League pukes.

16 posted on 09/06/2008 4:11:02 AM PDT by Lion Den Dan
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To: tomymind
Obama leading in ND...
Talk about hallucenogens...
The only times ND went 'Rat since 1920 were the LBJ and FDR lanslides... (1964,1936)
17 posted on 09/06/2008 4:16:19 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Let's get serious - there is only one choice - McCain/Palin 2008)
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To: tomymind

Old polling data is irrelevant.


18 posted on 09/06/2008 4:30:06 AM PDT by DB
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To: tomymind

Re: the poll was conducted during the DNC Convention

Even then, I don’t trust the numbers. LOL!


19 posted on 09/06/2008 4:35:59 AM PDT by Red in Blue PA (Does it get any better than Sarah Palin?)
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To: Red in Blue PA

Too Funny. That is Sarah Palin Country.


20 posted on 09/06/2008 4:44:59 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: tomymind

I’m not good at predicting. But I’ll go out on a limb. This election will see a record turnout and McCain wil carry all 57 states.


21 posted on 09/06/2008 4:52:29 AM PDT by Waco ( G00d bye 0'bamba)
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To: Lion Den Dan
Big deal, I conducted a poll in a bar in Illinois last night and McCain leads Obama by 11 points. If Obama loses Illinois he's probably in serious trouble!!!
22 posted on 09/06/2008 5:11:12 AM PDT by skimbell
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To: skimbell

You polled citizens in a bar, but not those living resident of a graveyard. There you’ll find Obama voters overwhelming McCain’s


23 posted on 09/06/2008 5:29:24 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: tomymind

This ‘news’ is about as fresh as homemade potato salad made on August 23rd. I wouldn’t eat the potato salad and I’m not believing an old, biased poll. They’re both stale and rotten.


24 posted on 09/06/2008 5:31:33 AM PDT by mplsconservative
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To: tomymind
“This kind of polls makes me lough: Obama is up in ND?! “

Agree, no way.
The probably polled the 4 people browsing in the GLBT section of the Barnes and Noble in Fargo for the poll data.

25 posted on 09/06/2008 5:31:47 AM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Help fight the left's anointed candidate, contribute and work for McCain/Palin..)
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To: tomymind
Dang! We can kiss those three electoral votes goodbye.

</sarc>

26 posted on 09/06/2008 5:35:10 AM PDT by Yo-Yo
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To: tomymind

Republicans need:
Ohio 20, Florida 27,Virginia 13,Nevada 5, north Carolina 15, Indiana 11

total of 91 add to what he will get for sure: 174 = 265

He needs: Colorado 9
I don’t think he will get new Mexico 5

265 + 9 = 274 He really needs Colorado and the ones above..


27 posted on 09/06/2008 5:45:17 AM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: forYourChildrenVote4Bush

CO + NV + OH

or

CO + NH + OH

I bet (and hope) on the first...


28 posted on 09/06/2008 5:47:31 AM PDT by tomymind
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To: Old Retired Army Guy

I would not be so sure about ND. Ed Schultz originates his program from Fargo and the Eastern side of ND along the Red River has over half the population of ND. Also, Fargo is the second largest site for Microsoft in the US and most of those people are Obama supporters. Add the two Universities and the influence of the Minnesota media on the area and it is not hard to see why it is becoming closer. Remember that both Senators and the lone representative are Democrats. McCain needs the active support of the popular Republican governor.


29 posted on 09/06/2008 5:48:43 AM PDT by georgiarat (You can get so well educated in America that your thoughts become detached from common sense. PN)
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To: tomymind

30 posted on 09/06/2008 5:54:04 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (I've left Cynical City... bound for Jaded.)
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To: georgiarat

The Republican governor has a hudge lead and was (gasp)
endorsed by the NDEA, North Dakota Education Association.
I lived in ND most of my life and was somewhat active in
Republican politics.
The state Democrat party is well organized but Obama carrying ND seems very unlikely.
Fargo is the home of NDSU-it has its share of left-wing professors in the hummanities department but it has strong programs in engineering and agricultural sciences. Over the years the district that includes NDSU has provide good conservative legislators.


31 posted on 09/06/2008 5:55:47 AM PDT by Maine Mariner
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To: tomymind
Isn't this about as newsworthy as it was when the Bush Campaign claimed that Hawaii was in play back in 2000?

nObama has already pulled money from Georgia and given up on the south and they want us to believe that he is moving that money to buy ads in ND?

I hope it were true, but I don't even think Bob Shrum would have done something that stupid, let along David A$$holdRod.

32 posted on 09/06/2008 6:01:38 AM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (OBAMA: He was a flop before he became a flipper.)
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To: tomymind

The Indonesian is inexperiened and shallow...

In the dark voting booths across America, people will inform the street hustler their opinion/

The MSM is in freefall after Palin...


33 posted on 09/06/2008 6:07:33 AM PDT by wac3rd (Carter80/Obama08)
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To: tomymind

No fear!! With Sarah on the ticket, McCain will win ND by 10-15 points!!


34 posted on 09/06/2008 6:15:40 AM PDT by kenmcg
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To: tomymind

They probably polled mostly in Fargo and Grand Forks. That’s where their two largest universities are located. It’s likely overloaaded with educators’ opinions.


35 posted on 09/06/2008 6:16:33 AM PDT by Gumdrop
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To: tomymind

We were taught in the old days that any poll having a confidence factor of 5% or more was hardly valid and should be tossed out.


36 posted on 09/06/2008 7:13:25 AM PDT by Melchior
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To: tomymind

This poll is a joke.

The latest Rasmussen Poll for ND has McCain up +14 over Odumbo. 55-McCain, 41-Odumbo.


37 posted on 09/17/2008 8:59:36 AM PDT by Signalman
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