Keyword: bounce

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  • USC Poll: Trump's lead expands after debate.

    09/28/2016 8:14:58 AM PDT · by dangus · 48 replies
    46.7-42.6 (4.1%). Was 46.2-42.7 (3.3%).

    07/29/2016 10:13:27 AM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 112 replies
    Regated ^ | July 29, 2016 | Sam Wenkert
    JULY 29: A new election poll released this morning (conducted on July 28) by the USC Dornsife / LA Times Presidential Election Poll shows that Donald Trump has 46.7% of the total popular vote, while Hillary Clinton lags behind with 40.6% of the popular vote. 2,188 people were surveyed. This is a very surprising result, considering that the Democratic National Convention usually gives the Democratic candidate a large boost in the polls. It did not seem to be the case this year for Hillary Clinton....
  • Even after a convention that critics panned, Trump got a big bounce. Will Clinton gain now too?

    07/28/2016 9:03:23 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 18 replies
    The Los Angeles Times ^ | July 28, 2016 | David Lauter
    Donald Trump has gotten a significant boost from his party’s nominating convention last week; now, Hillary Clinton will try for her own. Clinton and her supporters won’t know for several days how much Thursday’s acceptance speech will improve her standing with voters — polls lag behind the events they measure because gathering accurate data takes time. In Trump’s case, the post-convention bounce started to show up in a significant way on Sunday in the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll of the presidential race. The boost continued to build for several days and Trump now holds a 7-percentage-point lead,...
  • No Joe-mentum

    10/13/2012 9:08:38 AM PDT · by COUNTrecount · 22 replies
    Breitbart ^ | Oct. 12, 2012 | David Bossie
    Coming out of Thursday’s one and only Vice Presidential debate, the one thing that remains perfectly clear is that Joe Biden did nothing to stop the Romney-Ryan momentum. “The Big Mo” for the Republican ticket began with a bang almost 10 days ago due to the excellent performance delivered by Governor Romney at the first debate. At points Thursday night, a split screen was featured to show close-ups of both candidates at the same time, and the contrast could not have been more dramatic. In the left screen we saw the past. We saw an arrogant, liberal machine politician way...
  • Bounce continues in new swing-state polling

    10/11/2012 6:53:57 AM PDT · by RobinMasters · 13 replies
    Hotair ^ | OCTOBER 11, 2012 | ED MORRISSEY
    Plenty of new swing-state polling this morning, and almost all of it looks bad for Barack Obama. Business Insider looks at NBC/Marist and CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac polling and concludes, “President Barack Obama has lost his advantage across the electoral map.” Let’s start with the NBC take on their swing-state polling: Romney saw his largest gain in Virginia, where he now edges the president 48 percent to 47 percent, a 3-point reversal from last week’s poll, released the day of the first presidential debate. The spread is within the poll’s margin of error. In Florida, before the debate, it was a 1-point race...
  • First Post-Debate Poll Brings FIVE POINT Bounce for Romney

    10/06/2012 4:35:22 AM PDT · by Reaganite Republican · 17 replies
    Reaganite Republican ^ | October 6, 2012 | Reaganite Republican
    Whoomp there it is: polling results just up at the National Journal, comparing samples taken on Tuesday vs Thursday, book-ending the debate night: Tues Oct 2: Obama 49   Romney 45    Obama +4  Thurs Oct 4: Obama 46  Romney 47   Romney +1  (Clarus Research/590 Likely Voters/4% margin-for-error) Anxiously awaiting more of the same... Another interesting development is absentee ballot requests: as noted at Ace of Spades, Iowa is running a D+77,000 margin at this point in time. Yet while the media keeps telling us this is gonna be 2008-The-Sequel, ballot requests were at D+100k just a week ago, and the trend ain't their friend  Democrats enjoyed a +150k...
  • Romney polling bounce from debate?

    10/05/2012 11:28:25 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 11 replies
    Hotair ^ | 10/05/2012 | Ed Morrissey
    Did Mitt Romney score a debate bounce in polling? Two separate pollsters show Romney improving in key swing states after Barack Obama's debacle on Wednesday evening. First, We Ask America surveyed 1200 likely voters in three key swing states, and found Romney slightly ahead in all three:Note the sample splits. Obama supporters will have issues with the R+5 in Florida and the R+2 in Virginia. In 2008, Florida was D+3 and Virginia D+6, and in 2010, Florida was R+1 (Virginia didn't have a statewide race for exit polling in 2010). However, that Ohio sample has a D+4, almost precisely between...
  • Rasmussen Reports (O46 R45); Bounce fades to nil

    09/12/2012 6:19:53 AM PDT · by Ravi · 48 replies
    rasmussen reports ^ | 9/12/12 | rasmussen
    see above
  • Fear Not the Obama Bounce

    09/11/2012 7:02:54 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 24 replies
    National Review ^ | 09/11/2012 | The Editors
    Conservatives may have this objection or that when they see a poll with Obama in the lead: They oversampled Democrats! They’re not screening for likely voters! Yet the general picture they are giving of the race seems accurate enough: The president got a bounce from his convention, and a tight race with a slight lead for him has become a tight race with a slightly bigger lead. The Obama campaign has long been invested in the idea that his reelection is inevitable, and has spun much of a political press happy to agree. (By the way, shouldn’t Democratic press aides...
  • Reuters poll: No bounce yet for Obama

    09/06/2012 5:10:05 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 32 replies
    Hotair ^ | 09/06/2012 | AllahPundit
    Not sure how useful this is but I subjected you to an eeyorish "no bounce yet" post about Romney during the convention so I owe you a tentative high-five. Mitt ended up with the most modest possible bump after the GOP shindig ended; maybe this new poll is a sign that O won't fare any better.Major, major caveat: The poll was conducted (via online interview) from September 2 through today, which means the sample contains lots of people who hadn't yet heard Michelle Obama or, especially, Bill Clinton speak. As I say, not that useful, but worth flagging as a...
  • No Bounce, No Problem (The Romney campaign isn't worried)

    09/05/2012 7:46:03 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 26 replies
    National Review ^ | 09/05/2012 | Robert Costa
    In 1984, Walter Mondale famously asked, “Where’s the beef?” This year, Mitt Romney may be wondering, “Where’s the bounce?” A week after the Republican National Convention, Romney still hasn’t seen a significant bump in the polls. Post-Tampa, Gallup’s daily tracking poll shows President Obama leading Romney by one point, 47 percent to 46 percent. That is, essentially, where the race stood before Republicans convened. It had a “minimal impact,” says Gallup’s Frank Newport. Romney’s high command, however, isn’t sweating. Neil Newhouse, Romney’s pollster, tells National Review Online that if Beltway politicos look beyond Gallup, they will see that the convention...
  • Romney takes lead over Obama with convention "bounce": Reuters/Ipsos poll (44-42 likely voters)

    08/30/2012 8:26:52 PM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 45 replies
    Reuters ^ | 08/30/2012 | Steve Holland
    (Reuters) - Mitt Romney has moved into a narrow lead over U.S. President Barack Obama in a small bounce for him from the Republican National Convention, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found on Thursday. Romney entered the week four points behind Obama in the first installment of a Reuters/Ipsos rolling poll, with Obama leading 46 percent to 42 percent. But the most recent daily rolling poll gave Romney a two-point lead of 44 percent to 42 percent among likely voters. The former governor of Massachusetts has been in the spotlight at the convention in Tampa, Florida, and was to make his acceptance...
  • CONVENTION BOUNCE: Mitt Romney Swings 6 Points And Leads Obama In A New Poll

    08/30/2012 8:20:12 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 14 replies
    Business Insider ^ | August 30, 2012 | Brett LoGiurato
    Mitt Romney has swung 6 points in three days in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll as he prepares to give his big speech accepting the Republican nomination for president, now leading President Obama 44 to 42 percent in the poll among likely voters. The results suggest evidence of the traditional "bounce" a candidate typically enjoys from coverage of the party's convention. "I'd say the convention is going very well for him," Ipsos pollster Julia Clark told Reuters. The poll also shows some measures of Romney's personal attributes improving, though they're still not very good. Romney's likability is up to 30...
  • The Obama Bounce Test

    04/30/2012 5:52:09 PM PDT · by The Looking Spoon · 12 replies
    The Looking Spoon ^ | 4-30-12 | The Looking Spoon
    I received a tip from someone about how checks can be purchased online with the Obama design on them. He thought I could do something with it... At first I thought I would make a graphic spoofing it, but then I thought of something that was more unusual, and potentially more fun. It's an interactive Flash graphic (my first one, hopefully not the last). So I can't post here, I can only put it put it up at the original post (here.)
  • Polling bounce for Obama?

    11/02/2011 9:21:52 AM PDT · by SeekAndFind · 20 replies
    Hotair ^ | 11/02/2011 | Ed Morrissey
    Until now, there hasn’t been much indication in national polling that Barack Obama’s embrace of class-warfare rhetoric had gained him much standing with the electorate. On September 8, when Obama gave his jobs speech to a joint session of Congress and kicked off his new populist strategy, the Real Clear Politics poll average for Obama’s job approval was 43.8/51.6. Yesterday’s was 44.0/50.9, hardly any change at all, and the chart shows a more stable period than anything preceding it this year.Today, however, Quinnipiac reports a moderate boost in Obama’s standing to 47/49, up from last month’s 41/55: President Barack Obama’s...
  • What Happened to Obama's bin Laden Bounce?

    06/10/2011 6:34:55 PM PDT · by The Looking Spoon · 22 replies
    The Looking Spoon ^ | 6-10-11 | Jared H. McAndersen
    Even in polls like The Washington Post's Obama's are numbers back under 50%...the reason is simple...
  • Obama's Osama Bounce Fading Fast

    05/09/2011 2:02:03 PM PDT · by library user · 33 replies
    FOX Nation ^ | May 9, 2011 | Staff
    Pew had found a 9-point Osama bounce (47% to 56%) last week. Today, Pew reports, two-thirds of that bounce is already gone. Obama's approval rating is already down to just 50%.
  • Gallup: Bush Got Bigger Bounce for Catching Saddam Than Obama Got for Killing Bin Laden

    05/09/2011 12:29:44 PM PDT · by Sub-Driver · 19 replies
    Gallup: Bush Got Bigger Bounce for Catching Saddam Than Obama Got for Killing Bin Laden Monday, May 09, 2011 By Terence P. Jeffrey ( - President George W. Bush got a bigger bounce in his Gallup job approval rating for capturing Saddam Hussein than President Barack Obama got for killing Osama in Laden. Obama got a 6-point bounce in his Gallup job approval after he announced that U.S. Navy SEALS had raided a compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan and killed al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden. Bush got either a 7-point or a 9-point bounce—depending on the day you calculate from...
  • The Hill Poll: Voters see president's ratings bounce vanishing soon

    05/09/2011 5:28:30 AM PDT · by Dubya-M-DeesWent2SyriaStupid! · 28 replies ^ | 05/09/11 06:07 AM ET | Niall Stanage
    Most voters believe the popularity boost President Obama has received following the killing of Osama bin Laden will disappear quickly, according to a new poll conducted for The Hill. Almost three in five likely voters think the “bin Laden bounce” will vanish within three months, the poll indicates. Only one in four believes that Obama will still be benefitting in six months’ time. Obama is currently enjoying a major spike in his approval ratings: A New York Times/CBS poll last week showed an 11-point jump in his approval rating compared to two weeks before. Gallup’s daily tracking poll showed Obama’s...
  • Local check bouncers told to take class or face prosecution (York, Pennsylvania)

    06/13/2010 3:58:55 PM PDT · by Virginia Ridgerunner · 17 replies · 726+ views
    York (PA) Daily Record ^ | June 10, 2010 | Rick Lee
    Call it "scared straight" for bad check writers: a holistic approach delivered with a barking threat of legal action to get and keep their finances in order. The York County District Attorney's Bad Check Restitution Program has been in operation since June 2007. More than $267,225 in restitution has been returned to area merchants because of it. And more than 800 defendants have avoided a bad check charge on their records by making good on their bounced checks and paying for a financial accountability class that makes the program no cost to the county. But one Spring Grove man got...
  • Obama’s Dead Cat Bounce From Speech

    02/05/2010 11:32:28 AM PST · by Slyscribe · 9 replies · 584+ views
    IBD's Capital Hill ^ | 2/5/2010 | Ed Carson
    Just 46% of Americans approve of the job that Barack Obama is doing vs. 53% who disapprove, according to the latest Rasmussen poll. That’s almost equal to the 46%-54% disparity just before his State of the Union address. Earlier this week, Obama got as high as 50% support vs. 49% opposed. The rise and fall isn’t a surprise. State of the Union speeches often give presidents a short-term lift but no meaningful lasting benefit.
  • Skydiver Falls to Death near Murrieta

    11/12/2009 8:43:39 AM PST · by Chet 99 · 28 replies · 1,647+ views
    MURRIETA -- Two people watched in horror as a 40-year-old skydiver fell to his death during a jump near Murrieta, according to authorities. The man, from Boston, Massachusetts, landed on the driveway of a home in the 38000 block of Calle de Lobo near Avenida Arboles in the rural La Cresta area shortly around 4:50 p.m. Wednesday and was pronounced dead a short time later, according to the Riverside County Sheriff's Department. Two witnesses were standing less than 100 feet away at the time of the fall, said Sgt. John Kaiser, of the Riverside County Sheriff's Department. The man's parachute...
  • Rally monkey or a dead cat?

    03/10/2009 6:32:14 PM PDT · by TigerLikesRooster · 38 replies · 1,209+ views
    FT Alphaville ^ | 03/10/09
    Rally monkey or a dead cat?Posted by Tracy Alloway on Mar 10 17:56. You decide. (Note, the DJIA currently ahead +321.22 points).
  • McCain Has the Advantage Over Obama in Post-Convention Polls (Barone)

    09/16/2008 1:30:41 PM PDT · by Dawnsblood · 66 replies · 391+ views
    US News and World Report ^ | 9/16/08 | Michael Barone
    The post-convention national polls mostly show John McCain with a small lead over Barack Obama. But what's been happening in the states? I've been looking at the post-convention state polls at,, and and find some significant differences from pre-convention polls. They tend to suggest that the battlefield is shifting, with more states within McCain's reach and fewer within Obama's. Some caution is in order: We're talking about only one or two polls in some states but as many as eight in ultracritical Ohio. I haven't included the Zogby Internet polls in my analysis. I've rounded off the...
  • McCain-Palin seeing a 'Gibson Bounce'?

    09/14/2008 2:03:13 PM PDT · by mathprof · 46 replies · 235+ views
    American Thinker ^ | 9/14/08 | C. Edmund Wright
    Could it be that the McCain-Palin ticket is seeing a "Charlie Gibson bounce" in their poll numbers? Perhaps. In today's Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll, McCain broke out of a week or more or less being tied with Obama to show a 3% point lead at 50-47%. It also marked the first plus 50 day for the McCain Palin ticket. Now, the signficance of this poll vis a vis Gibson is tdoay's Rasmussen tracking poll includees surveys taken Thursday, Friday and Saturday. In other words, this was the first poll including only surveys conducted after the first excerpts of the...
  • How Far Will McCain's Bounce Go?

    09/12/2008 2:34:59 PM PDT · by fightinJAG · 16 replies · 129+ views
    (Hartford, CT) Courant ^ | Sept 12, 2008
    A new Ipsos/McClatchy poll finds the race between Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama is a dead heat, with less than two months until the election. "The race has tightened," said Clifford Young, senior vice president of Ipsos Public Affairs, which conducted the poll Sept. 5-9. "McCain got a very good bump from his convention and now it's a real race." Bounces up in polls immediately following conventions are no guarantee of victory in November. Candidates who got higher post-convention poll bounces than their opponents and went on to lose include Barry Goldwater in 1964, Jimmy Carter in 1980,...
  • In N.C., polls find no convention bounce

    09/12/2008 3:25:28 AM PDT · by NCDragon · 21 replies · 282+ views
    Raleigh News& ^ | September 12, 2008 | Ryan Beckwith
    Maybe political conventions don't matter. That seems to be the conclusion from Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, and the conservative Civitas Institute, which both released new poll results this week. Officials with both groups said their latest polls showed that the presidential candidates got little or no bounce with North Carolina voters as a result of the recent national conventions. The Civitas poll shows that Republican John McCain was the choice of 43 percent in a survey of 600 registered voters and that Democrat Barack Obama was the choice of 42 percent. When leaners were included, McCain's numbers were...
  • Fox News poll: McCain leads by three, gains 16 points among independents since last month

    09/10/2008 12:55:20 PM PDT · by Free ThinkerNY · 11 replies · 78+ views ^ | September 10, 2008 | Allahpundit
    Obama hasn’t lost ground since last month — he was at 42 then and he’s at 42 now — but McCain’s gained six points since, thanks mainly to that surge among indies. If the CW is right and independents are currently overrepresented by conservatives disgruntled with the GOP but sympathetic to its principles, then the convention was a huge success in drawing them back. Current favorable ratings among indies: McCain 67/21, Palin 55/25, Obama 50/39. 40 percent of them say they’re more likely to vote for McCain after the Palin pick versus 31 who say less, again suggesting a rightward...
  • Palin bounce has Democrats off balance

    09/09/2008 11:29:31 PM PDT · by Plutarch · 31 replies · 164+ views
    Los Angeles Times ^ | September 9, 2008 | Peter Wallsten and Janet Hook
    Some fear Obama's more aggressive tone could enhance her appeal among white, blue-collar voters.The emergence of Sarah Palin as a political force in the presidential race has left many top Democrats fretting that, just two weeks after their convention ended on an emotional high, Barack Obama's campaign has suddenly lost its stride. Obama has responded aggressively this week to Palin's presence on the Republican ticket, using TV ads and campaign rallies to attack her contention that she is a political reformer who will take on the Washington establishment -- a role Obama has long claimed as his alone. But some...
  • McCain leaps ahead in NC

    09/09/2008 6:19:17 PM PDT · by pjsbro · 9 replies · 192+ views
    WTVD-TV Raleigh-Durham ^ | 09/09/2008 | WTVD`
    In an election for President of the United States in North Carolina Tuesday, Republican John McCain suddenly and breathtakingly surges to a 20-point win over Democrat Barack Obama, 58% to 38%, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA election poll conducted for ABC11-WTVD.
  • WSJ/NBC News Poll: Palin Boosts McCain’s Ticket

    09/09/2008 2:21:41 PM PDT · by NewMediaFan · 27 replies · 67+ views
    Wall Street Journal ^ | September 9, 2008, 5:00 pm | Susan Davis
    John McCain’s selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate has given the Republican ticket a boost, according to the latest Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. More than one-third of respondents, 34%, said Palin makes it more likely for them to vote for McCain. However, 25% of likely voters said the selection of the Alaska governor makes it less likely they will vote for McCain, while 40% said it makes no difference at all. On the Democratic ticket, the choice of Delaware Sen. Joe Biden as vice president, has less of an impact, with 58% of voters saying...
  • Poll Position: Be Very Afraid

    09/09/2008 3:47:30 PM PDT · by Zakeet · 26 replies · 212+ views
    Radar Online ^ | September 9, 2008 | Peter Feld
    Oh no! The polls! They suddenly don't look good for Barack Obama! But does it really matter at this point? Should the campaign—and its supporters—start to panic? We checked in with two Democratic strategists who have different opinions on the situation. Here's the case for pessimism. The jobless rate is up, home sales are down, and the Democrats have an appealing, history-making nominee. So that rash of McCain red, spreading like measles over the polling chart, is nothing to worry about—a temporary Republican sugar high, right? Not so fast. Yes, this year's trends should favor the Democrats, with a...

    09/09/2008 9:03:15 AM PDT · by bobsunshine · 89 replies · 500+ views
    New York Post ^ | September 9, 2008 | Kirsten Powers
    YESTERDAY'S Gallup poll had John McCain ahead of Barack Obama by an astonishing 10 points among likely voters. A Washington Post poll had that lead at only two points, but clearly showed a McCain surge - especially among women. This wasn't what Democrats were expecting when they left Denver - yet they have nobody to blame but themselves. Obama's toughest challenge has always been to connect with working-class swing voters. So attacking the poster child for small-town values, Sarah Palin, was a bad strategy. No, Obama didn't engage in the mass sneering at Palin - but he did fall into...
  • Independents flock to McCain after convention, Support up 12 points

    09/08/2008 8:21:05 PM PDT · by NewMediaFan · 51 replies · 375+ views
    The Washington Times ^ | Tuesday, September 9, 2008 | S.A. Miller
    Republican presidential nominee Sen. John McCain has gotten a jolt of support right where he wanted it - from the independent voters whom he courted so aggressively at last week's convention - and now holds a healthy lead over his Democratic rival, Sen. Barack Obama, in the chase for that key constituency. A Gallup Poll to be released Tuesday shows that Mr. McCain's backing among independent voters jumped 12 percentage points in recent days, providing welcome news for a Republican candidate who has been torn between nurturing his maverick appeal to independents and trying to appease the party's conservative base......
  • 2 new polls: Obama-McCain tied, but McCain-Palin surge among women

    09/08/2008 7:42:15 PM PDT · by pissant · 24 replies · 243+ views
    LA Times ^ | 9/8/08 | staff
    Suddenly, it's Poll City around here today. As The Ticket reported earlier, the new Gallup/USA Today poll found a significant post-convention bounce for the John McCain-Sarah Palin ticket, a turnaround of 8 points to give the M-S ticket a 4-point lead over Barack Obama-Joe Biden. A new political button for the Republican presidential ticket of Senator John McCain of Arizona and Governor Sarah Palin of Alaska But now this afternoon come two more national polls essentially confirming the same trends with some significant subterranean changes: -- the ABC News/Washington Post national poll of registered voters, which shows Obama's 6-point August...
  • Dead Heat: John McCain, Barack Obama Even in Post-Convention Poll [ABC/WaPo Shocker]

    09/08/2008 3:01:59 PM PDT · by Zakeet · 54 replies · 571+ views
    ABC News ^ | September 8, 2008 | Gary Langer
    White Women Shift to McCain as Republican Erodes Obama Lead on Change, Enthusiasm John McCain's taken the better boost from the presidential nominating conventions, eroding Barack Obama's advantage on change, improving on enthusiasm, moving away from George W. Bush -- and advancing among white women with help from his surprise vice presidential pick. Some of McCain's biggest gains in this ABC News/Washington Post poll are among white women, a group to which "hockey mom" Sarah Palin has notable appeal: Sixty-seven percent view her favorably and 58 percent say her selection makes them more confident in McCain's decision-making. Among those with...
  • Gallup Daily: McCain’s Bounce Gives Him 5-Point Lead

    09/08/2008 10:36:47 AM PDT · by notes2005 · 74 replies · 423+ views
    Gallup ^ | September 8, 2008
    PRINCETON, NJ -- John McCain leads Barack Obama, 49% to 44%, in the immediate aftermath of the Republican National Convention, according to the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking results.
  • 9/8/08 McCain Blogette: RNC Convention Day 4

    09/08/2008 11:07:19 AM PDT · by word_warrior_bob · 13 replies · 199+ views
    McCain Blogette ^ | 9/8/08 | Meghan McCain
    I have never experienced four days like this in my life. So much of the Convention had been planned for months and dreamed of for years, but nothing prepares you for the actual experience. Add to that the craziness of the week, and it made for an experience of a lifetime. The last night was very special to me because it featured both of my parents and allowed our entire family to share in the moment. People don't always see or understand the challenges that a political family encounters; there are some difficult times along the way. But on Thursday...
  • In-trade takes a 5 point over night bounce!!!

    09/08/2008 7:24:22 AM PDT · by politicalmerc · 29 replies · 479+ views
    Real Clear Politics/Intrade ^ | 09/08/2008 | Intrade
    Look at the Intrade numbers that have been holding at roughtly 60/40 for Obama until two nights ago. Last night they took a 10 point shift. This is one of the most predictive indicators of anything. People put their money where their polling is.
  • Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (USA Today/ Gallup: McCain by 10)

    09/08/2008 2:37:02 AM PDT · by markomalley · 28 replies · 278+ views
    USA Today (link in article) | 9/8/2008 | Susan Page
    This article is a link only. Link to article here. The upshot: the numbers are now 54%-44% +/- 3%, per the USA Today/ Gallup poll.
  • Gallup: McCain 54%, Obama 44%?

    09/07/2008 6:52:14 PM PDT · by Brookhaven · 87 replies · 1,066+ views This is a site that accumulates polling results. They are showing a Gallup poll of likely voter, covering a time period of 9/5-7. It shows McCain with a 10 point lead. 54% vs 44%. Can anyone verify this? Have they gotten a hold of the poll early and updated their site before they were supposed to? The only thing I can find on USA-Today is a Gallup poll of registered voters that shows McCain 50% and Obama 44%. It doesn't say anything about likely voters. Can anyone confirm this site's data. I'm trying not to get too excited,...
  • New Gallup Poll: Convention lifts McCain over Obama (54%-44% among Likely Voters)

    09/07/2008 5:39:09 PM PDT · by LdSentinal · 571 replies · 1,947+ views
    Gallup | 9/7/08 | Susan Page,
    Can't link directly.
  • CNN poll of polls: Obama's lead shrinks to just one point

    09/07/2008 2:48:30 PM PDT · by 2ndDivisionVet · 38 replies · 208+ views
    CNN ^ | September 7, 2008 | CNN Political Producer Kristi Keck
    Sen. Barack Obama’s lead in national polls has shrunk to one point, according to CNN’s latest “poll of polls.” Sunday’s poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain 44 to 43 percent. Obama held a three-point lead in Saturday’s poll of polls. The senator from Illinois was leading McCain 45-42 percent. "All of the surveys included in our national polling average were conducted at least in part during the Republican Convention," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "It's still too early to know exactly how much of a bounce McCain has received. That said, the daily tracking numbers indicate...
  • Palin bump revealed: McCain leading Obama in new poll

    09/07/2008 3:23:47 PM PDT · by markomalley · 31 replies · 184+ views
    Kansas City Star ^ | 9/7/2008 | Matt Schofield
    Whether it was John McCain's speech or the presence of Sarah Palin, or whatever, the GOP tickets has emerged from two weeks of convetions with a slight lead in the latest Gallup daily tracking poll. The 48 percent for McCain, 45 percent for Obama lead represents the first time McCain has led in the poll since mid-August. The 48 percent ties his largest base among registered voters being polled since this poll began in March. Again, and as always, poll numbers in September do not determine the outcome of an election, and this is state by state. but it does...
  • Gallup/Zogby on McCain/Palin

    09/07/2008 2:30:18 PM PDT · by Mongeaux · 25 replies · 308+ views
    Constitution Club ^ | Sunday, September 07, 2008 | The Hairy Beast
    The Beast’s predictions from Friday of a dead heat in the average and +2 McCain by Wednesday are looking pretty feasible. The race has shrunk to +.08 Obama in overall polls at, which is a 6 point shift in as many days. Expect it to continue on this way a little more as McCain’s convention sleigh coasts to a stop at the bottom of the hill. On Gallup (McCain +3): This is the most, but not all of convention bounce - expect it to maybe even tick up a point or two then drop back down somewhat. By...
  • Rasmussen Poll- McCain and Hussein Tied at 48 w/ Leaners (HtMMN was up 3 Yesterday)

    09/07/2008 6:35:58 AM PDT · by NYC Republican · 82 replies · 295+ views
    Rasmussen ^ | 9/7/08 | Rasmussen
    The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday, September 7, shows the race for the White House is tied. In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%. Tracking Poll results are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day and a FREE daily e-mail update is available. This past Tuesday, Obama’s bounce peaked with the Democrat enjoying a six-percentage point advantage. Before the two conventions were held, Obama had consistently...
  • Rassmussen finally puts it at a tie, big convention bump erases Obama's lead to nada.

    09/07/2008 5:06:30 AM PDT · by sunmars · 70 replies · 217+ views
    In the first national polling results based entirely on interviews conducted after Sarah Palin’s acceptance speech, Barack Obama gets 46% of the vote and so does John McCain. When "leaners" are included, it’s all even at 48%.
  • Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

    09/07/2008 10:46:42 AM PDT · by sunmars · 52 replies · 322+ views
    PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows John McCain moving ahead of Barack Obama, 48% to 45%, when registered voters are asked for whom they would vote if the presidential election were held today.
  • Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

    09/07/2008 10:06:04 AM PDT · by jokyfo · 223 replies · 840+ views
    Gallup Poll ^ | 9/7/08 | Self
    John McCain has moved ahead of Barack Obama in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking, 48% to 45%, following last week’s Republican convention. This is McCain’s best showing since May.More ...

    09/07/2008 5:53:56 AM PDT · by Bulldawg Fan · 21 replies · 174+ views ^ | 9/7/08 | Zogby
    UTICA, New York - Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin left St. Paul, Minnesota, with a smallish bounce overall and some energy in key demographic groups, as the race for the presidency enters a key stage and voters begin to tune in to the contest, the latest Zogby Interactive poll finds. The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure. The Ticket Horserace 9-5/6 8-29/30 McCain-Palin 49.7% 47.1% Obama-Biden 45.9% 44.6% Others/Not sure 4.4% 8.3%