CNN poll of polls: Obama's lead shrinks to just one point

CNN ^ | September 7, 2008 | CNN Political Producer Kristi Keck

[2ndDivisionVet]

Sen. Barack Obama’s lead in national polls has shrunk to one point, according to CNN’s latest “poll of polls.”

Sunday’s poll of polls shows Obama leading John McCain 44 to 43 percent.

Obama held a three-point lead in Saturday’s poll of polls. The senator from Illinois was leading McCain 45-42 percent.

"All of the surveys included in our national polling average were conducted at least in part during the Republican Convention," noted CNN Senior Political Researcher Alan Silverleib. "It's still too early to know exactly how much of a bounce McCain has received. That said, the daily tracking numbers indicate that the [Sarah] Palin pick has clearly energized the GOP's base. We have an extremely tight race for the White House on our hands."

CNN’s most recent poll of polls consists of three surveys: CBS (September 1-3), Gallup (September 4-6), and Diageo/Hotline (September 2-4). The poll of polls does not have a sampling error.

[2ndDivisionVet]

With all the economic, scandal and foreign policy troubles of this administration in much of the public's mind, ANY democrat should be at least 10-15 percentage points ahead. The fact that the two campaigns are virtually tied, and truth be told, since they sample heavily towards democrats, McCain is probably actually leading in reality, this shows how weak a candidate Obama really is. Does anyone here think that Hillary & McCain would be tied at this point had she been nominated?

[KevinDavis]

First let me say this: Ruh Roh Shaggy...

If Hillary was the nominee, then I think McCain would be losing...

[Tarpon]

Obama needs to be ahead by 15% the day before elction day ...

[pangaea6]

The MSM will start grasping for any straws they can in these polls. Now they are down to polls of polls. Agree hillary would probably be ahead. But I don’t think McCain/Palin just rallied the base either.

[BunnySlippers]

It is just amazing to me that anyone is planning on voting for him.

[pugmama]

They are already showing up at our doors. Be ready for them. The two that came to my door were very very sorry they bothered me.

[goldstategop]

MSMspeak for its really gone! That guy is no longer in the lead whatever CNN might seek to claim.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[icwhatudo]

Not sure about 15% but there always is the curious last minute “uptick” in GOP support. Either that or the pollsters, like Zogby, have to tell the truth the day before election day so then they can claim they were so exact year after year.

[Ciexyz]

I was upset about the latest hit piece on Sarah Palin that appeared on the MSNBC homepage - eight screens telling anecdotes about the time she carried the baby in her arms in an official car instead of using the baby's car seat, about copying her husband with an email about her work situation - I'm telling you, it was sickening.

[ari-freedom]

I call it a clear abuse of statistics.

[CSI007]

Can I get special sauce with that? Oh wait...Never mind.

[quantim]

I agree it certainly would not look like the slaughter it just might be.

[pollwatcher]

[KingofZion]

Obama is actually down by 6 points in the latest poll I saw. This is just incredible. It’s going to be a landslide soon if he doesn’t get his act together. But they really don’t get it. Thankfully Carville is out of the picture, at least until 2012.

[flyfree]

That Diageo/Hotline has been an outlier poll lately.

[comebacknewt]

Hillary! probably would have won. AlGore would have won a landslide.

Thankfully, the RATs are idiots.

Don't count them out yet though. We need to keep working as if we were ten points down.

[Paisan]

Obama is actually down by 6 points in the latest poll I saw.

If CNN is reporting a 1% lead, you can be sure that Nobama is actually behind by about 15%

[paudio]

Diageo/Hotline (September 2-4)

I never heard of this one. Anybody knows their track records?

[andymin]

Also, the CBS poll should be thrown out because some of the polling took place before Palin and McCain spoke. The three most recent polls show a Rasmussen tie, Zogby shows McCain ahead by four points (and it, it seems, includes Barr and Nader), and Gallup shows McCain with a three point lead (including, it seems, Barr and Nader).

[clee1]

And the Zerobama is TOAST!