Posted on 09/22/2008 9:37:01 AM PDT by tatown
Obama 51%, McCain 45% LV 38%-Dem, 33%-Rep, 22%-Ind
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
I’m no expert, but I’m skeptical of this poll.
An outlier.
38% dem and 33% GOP.
Barack soundly ahead, and a 15-point-ish swing in VA in one Election?
unlikely.
ARG has McCain up by 2 so the polls are all over the place.
Its going to come down to GOTV and enthusiasm.
SurveyUSA is sometimes volatile.
The race is very close in Virginia.
My opinion, don't be a poll wonk, your blood pressure will thank you.
Mr. Obama is spending a lot of many in VA and is convinced the Old Dominion is winnable.
This business on Wall Street is good for Mr. Obama and not Good for Mr. McCain.
Mac can make up the ground at the debate this Friday, but he’s got to be super sharp.
It would appear that he is spending tons of money on TV adds in Northern Virginia.
I have seen other polls showing Mc Cain up by 5, 3, 2 and even. These state polls are all over the board. Saw two polls from Michigan the other day. One had Obama up by 1 the other by 12. I have seen polls from FL showing Mc Cain by 7 and others showing them even. Same in MN, WI and it goes on and on. It gets to the point where you can’t put any credibility in these polls.
Never mind....the internals are even bigger crap.
McCain/Palin only gets 39% of VIRGINIA women? And loses EVERY age group? (check that, statistical tie among Elderly....LOL)
Seriously, internals are crap here.
VA is still up for grabs, but I'm still expecting McCain/Palin to carry the state by 5-6 points.
Bush won VA with 8.2% lead in 2004. McCain might not come close to that but has a pretty good chance.
Mark Warner is very popular there and his coattails are giving Obama a decent chance there but 30% of his voters are voting for McCain so think MCcain will pull it out in VA
Please note, all of the participating stations are ABC affiliates, which we all know, are completely in favor of Obama in November. Charles Gibson, anyone?
Another factor in this “poll” is that there are significant amounts of African American voters in those cities listed, so the reality is that this poll is probably closer to a McCain lead, in reality.
The press uses many types of psychology via images, semantics and spatial arrangement to convey their biases. Clearly, their strategy is to pump the idea that Barack Obama is winning everywhere, so why vote or why not join the Marxist Party and cheer for the predetermined “winner”?
i campaigned in prince william county in northern virginia this past weekend. we have nothing to worry about. virginia will go for mccain.
Here’s what barack mcgovern needs to win Virginia:
A) hold all of the White vote frenchie got in 2004
B) getting 95% of Black vote ( no poll anywhere has soon he is getting this )
C) an increase in Black turnout of 30%
This is as per Washington Post July 27, 2008.
If you believe he can do all three than you have to believe he will win Va. I have to ask which end of Va, was polled and how this lines up with the 70% base support the democrat ticket is suffering from as reported today by AP/PEW. Something is wrong here.
I hope you are right. SUSA’s accuracy record is mixed, as I recall. If these numbers are correct though then it is a real worry. Even if McCain manages to pick off PA, he still loses without CO, IA, NM, and especially VA.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
I agree. McCain/Palin are actually leading by 3 among indies, yet still losing by 6 in a right-leaning state? I don't think so.
What happened to the other 7%?
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