Posted on 08/18/2009 8:30:21 PM PDT by dangus
The Democrats attained domination over the US House of Representatives not by convincing America that conservative beliefs were wrong, but by individualizing each Republican incumbent as part of a block of corruption and political tone-deafness. Dozens won Republican-leaning district while promising to vote conservatively. The Republican losers weren't so much those in the most moderate-to-left-leaning districts, but those to whom insinuations of scandal, incompetence and detachment most easily stuck. The result is an astonishing number of Democrats in otherwise Republican-leaning districts.
The Cook Political Report publishes the Cook Partisan Voting Index, measuring whether districts are more Democratic or more Republican than average. An incredible seventy-two Republican-leaning districts are currently held by Democrats. Twenty-seven more have Democratic margins of three percent or less. That's a total of ninety-nine districts which could be in play in a Republican tide.
The worst possible thing that could happen for these ninety-nine Democrats would be for the Democratic leadership to push through a health-care bill that would enrage the majority of voters. If that happened, their particular stance on health care wouldn't matter, only their vote for Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi. And that's exactly what the Democratic leadership is planning on doing.
D+3: 11 districts
D+2: 7 districts
D+1: 7 districts
D<1: 1 district
R<1: 3 districts
R+1: 7 districts
R+2: 10 districts
R+3: 4 districts
R+4: 5 districts
R+5 or more: 43 districts
Seats needed to win House: 40
Seats needed to reach '95 Republican dominance: 53
Rush has said that BO is destroying the rat party. HA
I know it’s fantasy but Boxer in Ca is only up 4 points. You know its bad when that seat is in play. 2010 will be a delicious year for a Dem bloodbath. A few whispers are being heard around by some Dems in the House that ObamaCare needs be junked and rewritten. Man bad and worse scenarios for the Kenyian, all pubbies have to do is not compromise on Obamacare and let the Dems shoot their own wounded.
Hear that Nancy? *poof* That is the speakership evaporating in front of your eyes. Enjoy!
No. Most of the Republican we lost in 2006 were good conservatives.
Can the Republicans finally fight back and convince the voters that the Democrats fooled them once in 2006, fooled them twice in 2008, but not again in 2010?
-PJ
You want me to give you every name? How’s this: a page with links to pages about each congressional district:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cook_Partisan_Voting_Index
>> No. Most of the Republican we lost in 2006 were good conservatives. <<
Actually, not really. A LOT were in solidly Republican seats, but most were very politically correct. Of the 180 sponsors of English as an official language, for instance, only a handful lost. 2008 was more damaging to conservatives, but only because their challengers ran still farther to the right.
I think I will just donate my salary to help the conservatives next year. Otherwise, our poor country.
Maybe we could make a Molon Labe flag ...
Some were. The house in general was fairly conservative, but with the ideologically incoherent Bush at the head of the party, they expanded government and did the opposite of what they claimed to stand for. They failed us and betrayed us. Very few, even the ‘good conservatives’ can truly say they weren’t guilty.
This is not a problem if your goal is to utterly destroy the system.
Those aren't snakes.
They're public serpents...
I mean even if the promise were to vault them from illegales to instant voting citizens, the bureaucrats can’t chew through that number of people.
You wanna see a real political revolt in this country? Pass an amnesty for illegals against the wishes of 80% of the entire American public.
Every time Americans have been polled about how they feel about another amnesty for illegals, the answer has been overwhelmingly, "NO WAY JOSE".
No problem. We’ll just call it a ‘Mexican Co-Op’. Problem solved.
Gee, I should be in the Dem leadership with ideas like these.
The Pelosi Nuclear Winter - coming soon to a corrupt party in power next election day.
I am already planning to take the following day off so I can watch the fallout.
Shades of the NAU...
Actually, not really. A LOT were in solidly Republican seats, but most were very politically correct. Of the 180 sponsors of English as an official language, for instance, only a handful lost. 2008 was more damaging to conservatives, but only because their challengers ran still farther to the right.
I don't agree.
All but one or two who lost in 2006 voted for the big anti illegal alien bill in the fall of 2005.
I've got a file somewhere that I created documenting the voting record of all the House Republicans who lost in 2006.
All but a couple were real RINO's.
L!
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