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Newt Gingrich will not be the Republican nominee — even if it means a brokered convention
The Washington Post ^ | 12/09/2011 | Ezra Klein

Posted on 12/09/2011 5:56:49 PM PST by katiedidit1

Silver doesn’t quite go so far as to say that it makes a brokered convention or a late-breaking establishment candidate likely, but I’m willing to go that far. There’s just no way the Republican establishment lets Gingrich become their nominee. As Andrew Sullivan pointed out today, you’re already seeing the anti-Gingrich mobilization among conservative thought leaders: Here’s George Will, Charles Krauthammer, David Brooks, Ross Douthat, Tom Coburn and Ann Coulter, just for starters. There’s this Politico story about all the Washington Republicans who hate Gingrich.

Now, I think it’s more likely that this mobilization leads to a Romney win then a brokered convention or a new entrant. But I think it makes a Gingrich win almost impossible to imagine. And if something once considered so impossible begins to look likely, then correspondingly extraordinary events — again, like a brokered convention — will become likely, also.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: andrewsullivan; anncoulter; backstabbingrinos; charleskrauthammer; davidbrooks; desperaterinos; dncspawnedrinos; ezraklein; georgewill; mittromney; natesilver; newt2012; newtgingrich; patheticrinos; politico; rickperry; romneysrinos; rossdouthat; saboteurrinos; stagemanaged; tomcoburn; whiningrinos
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To: Longbow1969
"If Newt continues improving as a candidate and wins the nomination, the "establishment" will fall in line."

Unfortunately, several of the republican elites and know-it-alls are in control of PACs with lots of bucks, like Rove. I'm not so certain they will fall in line and release the money unless the nominee is Romney.

I hope my suspicions are wrong.

61 posted on 12/09/2011 7:06:32 PM PST by JustaDumbBlonde (Don't wish doom on your enemies. Plan it.)
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To: katiedidit1

Do that and the GOP is done. If true, it proves that the game is rigged.


62 posted on 12/09/2011 7:08:38 PM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: katiedidit1

Do that and the GOP is done. If true, it proves that the game is rigged.


63 posted on 12/09/2011 7:08:51 PM PST by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: JustaDumbBlonde

If that happens, they will sink all their money into trying to take control of the Senate.


64 posted on 12/09/2011 7:12:05 PM PST by ez ("Abashed the Devil stood and felt how awful goodness is." - Milton, "Paradise Lost")
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To: katiedidit1
Newt is the candidate that will turn Ameirca around and back to prosperity

Even if he wins, he will have a Democrat controlled House and Senate, (I consider Crybaby Boehner a Democrat plant). If he were to push conservative programs, he will get nowhere. The only thing he will be successful at would be his usual "reaching across the aisle" and getting progressive programs, like amnesty, passed. This, of course, would end any chance of turning the Country around.

Gingrich will have short coattails. There will be no surge of enthusiastic conservative voters to support Gingrich. A lot of those voting for him will be "holding their nose". This does not portend well for congressional races.

If it has to be Gingrich, the real question is what will he try to, or be able to, do to improve the mess we're in. Which Gingrich will be dominant, the big idea, big government Gingrich or the new conservative sounding Gingrich.

No matter what happens, scary times ahead.

65 posted on 12/09/2011 7:12:05 PM PST by Prokopton (.)
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To: katiedidit1; All
This writer is The Journolist (he started and propagated the Journalist, he probably does it in another form today), the one who sponsors the memes against conservatives, the one who destroys all good things about this country in service of his God of liberal Marxism. He's a young punk who knows nothing but smarminess, and really, rally hates us.

Why in the world would anyone on FR believe a word he says?

66 posted on 12/09/2011 7:17:22 PM PST by Lakeshark
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To: PapaNew
Thanks, here's a clicksable link.

It's only a minute long.

We are yearning for another Reagan

Thanks for the link, it did delight my heart.

67 posted on 12/09/2011 7:30:28 PM PST by Indy Pendance
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To: FrankR

Holy Crap, can anyone say, “Light in the loafers!” I’ve seen faggy looking AH’s before but this guy takes the prize!


68 posted on 12/09/2011 7:32:46 PM PST by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: rockinqsranch

Some of the posters here and the writer are just wrong. If I recall correctly delegates MUST vote for who their state chose, in the event that after 1 or 2 ballots no one is picked then the delegates are released and then the real fight starts.

For example, if a lot of delegates were TEA Party types they could vote for Sarah.


69 posted on 12/09/2011 7:51:11 PM PST by stockpirate (Our republican leadership are all part of the left-wing fascist new world order movement.)
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To: katiedidit1

If You are anti-Newt and pro tea party then expect the others to not drop out until the voting begins if that. Newt would have to really run away for them to drop. I think many are waiting to see what happens because if Newt implodes then they all have a chance. Not just my opinion, Rush said this as well. He said the candidates aren’t ready to drop because they feel Newt might implode.


70 posted on 12/09/2011 8:06:31 PM PST by Mozilla
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To: katiedidit1

The Left is scared sh*tless and is starting to get hysterical.


71 posted on 12/09/2011 8:31:23 PM PST by MNnice
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To: katiedidit1

This makes me like Newt a little more.


72 posted on 12/09/2011 9:36:25 PM PST by pallis
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To: katiedidit1
This time is excessively anxious or seems that way from our over-politiced perspectives.
73 posted on 12/09/2011 9:57:55 PM PST by X-spurt
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To: katiedidit1

Newt made a lot of enemies in his own party while the Speaker. A take-no-prisoners attitude may win in the short run, but???


74 posted on 12/10/2011 12:28:45 AM PST by gleeaikin
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To: preamble

Just think of how much money Palin is saving by waiting ‘till the convention to declare her candidacy.


75 posted on 12/10/2011 1:20:44 AM PST by NavVet ("You Lie!")
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To: katiedidit1

The results of a brokered convention?

Jeb Bush for President.

Sarah Palin for Vice-President.


76 posted on 12/10/2011 3:26:02 AM PST by bigoil (Study Thy Nixon)
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To: katiedidit1

Go Sarah Go


77 posted on 12/10/2011 4:03:41 AM PST by The Wizard (Madam President is my President now, and in the future)
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To: bigoil

Jebbie Bush/Palin: that’s a ticket I could definitely reject.


78 posted on 12/10/2011 7:55:52 AM PST by Theodore R. (I'll still vote for Santorum if he is on the March 6 ballot.)
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To: katiedidit1

Nice try schmuck but brokered conventions went out in the 1950s. Nobody will be even remotely close enough to Newt to have anyone but Tokyo Rove dreaming about one. Gingrich was not my first choice but the reality is that unless they come up with a video of Newt with a sheep there is no way Willard can catch him and we KNOW none of this stupid wishful thinking is about getting Perry, Bachmann or Santorum the nod.


79 posted on 12/10/2011 8:05:05 AM PST by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: katiedidit1

LOL. As if WAPO really knows anything about anything. Their articles are all anti-conservative psy-ops and wishful thinking posing as news.


80 posted on 12/10/2011 8:10:00 AM PST by Antoninus (Take the pledge: I will not vote for Mitt Romney under any circumstances. EVER.)
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