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Battleground Polls: Could Obama Lose the Popular Vote but Win the Election?
ABC News ^ | Wednesday, September 19, 2012 | Chris Good

Posted on 09/19/2012 9:58:17 AM PDT by kristinn

George W. Bush did it in 2000. So did John Quincy Adams, Rutherford B. Hayes and Benjamin Harrison.

Could President Obama be next?

It’s not often that a presidential candidate wins the election while losing the popular vote, but polling suggests it could happen again in 2012 if the race tightens just a bit.

A handful of new polls today show President Obama leading in important battleground states. Surveys by CBS-New York Times-Quinnipiac rate him ahead in Virginia (50-46 percent) and Wisconsin (51-45 percent), while erasing a Romney lead in Colorado to pull ahead narrowly (48-47 percent).

The last batch of swing-state polls, released Thursday by NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist, showed Obama leading in Ohio (50-43 percent), Florida (49-44 percent) and Virginia.

That’s good news for Obama, and if the election were held today, they indicate that Obama would be the favorite.

But national polling remains very close. Since Romney secured his party’s nomination in April, neither candidate has gained much separation.

President Obama’s single-digit convention bounce has mostly evaporated. ABC News-Washington Post polling showed him leading Mitt Romney 50-44 percent after the conventions, and Gallup’s daily tracking poll concurred. Now, Gallup shows the two candidates virtually tied: Obama leads 47-46 percent, the exact same numbers Gallup reported as the GOP convention began in Tampa.

SNIP

But at various points in the election cycle, polls have shown Republicans more excited about voting in November 2012 than Democrats. If a lagging economy and a lack of excitement deflate Obama’s vote totals in safely Democratic states, boost Romney’s total in red states, and makes swing states more competitive, Obama could surpass 269 Electoral College votes while seeing Romney become the next Al Gore.

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; enemedia; obama; polls; romney
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MSM signals PLan B for Operation re-elect Obama.
1 posted on 09/19/2012 9:58:23 AM PDT by kristinn
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To: kristinn
It’s not often that a presidential candidate wins the election while losing the popular vote,

Richard Nixon, 1968.

2 posted on 09/19/2012 10:01:11 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: kristinn

The GOP Controls the House and if it were to come down to Romney winning the popular vote while losing the Electoral College vote, the House would have to take actions to follow the wishes of the majority of the voters.


3 posted on 09/19/2012 10:01:43 AM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: kristinn

Didn’t this happen to W in 2000?


4 posted on 09/19/2012 10:01:54 AM PDT by duckman (I'm part of the group pulling the wagon!)
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To: kristinn

I read it that way too. It’s a code,,for the MSM


5 posted on 09/19/2012 10:02:09 AM PDT by austinaero
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To: kristinn

I saw NBC and immediately stopped reading.


6 posted on 09/19/2012 10:02:16 AM PDT by Viennacon
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To: kristinn
It ain't even going to be close.

The Community Agitators Formerly Known As ACORN can't generate enough election fraud to overcome the tsunami headed Ubama's way.

7 posted on 09/19/2012 10:02:33 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the sociopath.)
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To: EGPWS

huh?


8 posted on 09/19/2012 10:02:33 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: kristinn

Notice how they cherry picked from the most leftwing polls and old polling to create this crappola.


9 posted on 09/19/2012 10:03:29 AM PDT by Proud2BeRight
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To: Perdogg

Did Humphrey not take the popular vote, yet lose the election?


10 posted on 09/19/2012 10:04:12 AM PDT by EGPWS (Trust in God, question everyone else)
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To: kristinn

11 posted on 09/19/2012 10:04:46 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: kristinn

Another leftist fantasy played out in print. Why do you never see articles about Romney winning the electoral college and losing the popular vote?


12 posted on 09/19/2012 10:06:05 AM PDT by WashingtonSource
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To: kristinn

Wait this race is over how could Mitt be more popular than barry?


13 posted on 09/19/2012 10:06:28 AM PDT by italianquaker (The 47 pct need to pay their fair share)
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To: kristinn

But, but....but the MSM have been saying that the election is over and the chair will win big time.

To me, this does not sound all that comforting from the media. This may be an early signal that they are seeing te chair is in big trouble.


14 posted on 09/19/2012 10:07:04 AM PDT by TMA62 (Al Sharpton - The North Korea of race relations)
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To: Uncle Slayton
"The GOP Controls the House and if it were to come down to Romney winning the popular vote while losing the Electoral College vote, the House would have to take actions to follow the wishes of the majority of the voters."

Only if Obama gets less than 270 electoral votes. 270 is the only number that matters. (Though the schadenfreude in me would love to see the GOP-controlled House decide it). The wailing and gnashing of teeth would be sweet to hear.

15 posted on 09/19/2012 10:08:36 AM PDT by RabidBartender (If pigs could vote, they'd vote for the guy holding the slop bucket.)
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To: kristinn

When Suck-Up ABC starts switching stories from “Romney is Doomed” to stories like this, you know there’s a problem for Obama.


16 posted on 09/19/2012 10:09:23 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: WashingtonSource

I noted some months ago that the NPV gang were silent as church mice this cycle.


17 posted on 09/19/2012 10:10:31 AM PDT by relictele
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To: kristinn
You don't have to donate money to the Romney campaign to make a difference. (You should donate money to FreeRepublic.)

If You Live in a Blue State, Here Is What You Can Do To Help Romney Beat Obama

I've made 1600 phone calls from home to New Hampshire in the last six days using the system set up by the campaign. Even 100 calls will make a difference. Who will join me?

18 posted on 09/19/2012 10:10:39 AM PDT by Ziva (Check out the great art blog at http://blog.RetroCollage.com/)
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To: EGPWS

That election was close but Nixon still won the popular vote and the electoral votes.


19 posted on 09/19/2012 10:12:13 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Perdogg

Must have meant 1960.


20 posted on 09/19/2012 10:12:13 AM PDT by SoCal Pubbie
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