Posted on 09/24/2012 6:41:05 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
On Hannity tonight Dick Morris confidently declared, barring any debate debacle, Romney will win by "4 or 5 points" and will win FL, OH, NV, VA and PA.
I never know if he is full of it or knows a lot that we haven't access to.
Morris wrote an article explaining why he doesn’t trust the polls. It has nothing to do with “sampling.” He explained how every poll has a sample skewed different ways, but the pollsters always adjust numbers based on a turnout model, predicting which groups will turn out in what proportion. And he says the 2008 model is the one the polls are using, which he thinks is wrong.
After pick of Palin as VP and convention he was bullish for McCain.. But when financial crisis hit and McCain suspended his campaign, he said he was done.
I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.
To paraphrase H. Ross Perot, what’s that sucking sound?
Oh great, Romney has no chance now.
That presents its own worry. I looked at all the Ohio gubernatorial data in September 2010 and the polls were generally accurate at that time - with Kasich leading anywhere from 2 to 7 points (Kasich won by 4).
Scary to contemplate. I understand the samples may be distorted but not all of the polls today can be wrong.
EMAW
He’s basing it on this:
Which is based on this:
Morris always leaves himself an out, but he is bound to have one of his predictions come true someday.
I hope this is the one.
Long term track record is bad about anything except the Clintons.
He does know the Clintons.
Morris was cheerleading for McCain, but at the end predicted Obama would win. He didn’t get the electoral vote exactly right, though.
Right after the election, he did correctly predict that Obama would be unpopular by 2012, and even by 2010. He also said that the Republicans would regain much of their lost power.
He was widely ridiculed for that, and was called the Worst Pundit in America. But, he was right about 2010. And on balance, Obama is certainly unpopular. We will see what how he does in 2012.
“I see his prediction has stirred up the rats here.”
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How dare he be optimistic! Doesn’t Morris know the wet blankets will not allow anything even remotely positive. Fuc*in aye, the Dems must laugh their a$$es off at us. We make their work too easy for them.
Like puddy in their hands. Freakin’ sad!
Dick Morris is a slimy shyster. Look for his fraudulent emails regarding “ads” he is supposedly running in the next month. It’s all lies. Don’t fall for it and don’t EVER send a single penny to any entity Morris endorses, nor sign his “petitions” if you don’t want that email address shredded by spam. You have been warned.
Thanks, that makes me feel better.
RE: Given his recent track record, however, I can’t get excited about it.
His recent track record was the 2010 Congressional elections. He was quite accurate. He predicted a 64 to 66 seat GOP sweep ( result was 63 ).
What other recent track record are you referring to?
Right if I recall he swore she would never run for Senate, which she did.
He promised she would lose, which she didn’t.
He guaranteed she wouldn’t run for President in 2008, which she did.
He gave his solemn oath she would win...
When he doesn’t suck toes, Morris calculates.
No one will want him on a gab show to repeat what the MSM is saying,
and what MSM’s official polls are saying.
Dickie then calculates what perdictions will result in
checks being sent to his bank account in Lichtenstein.
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