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Vegas Oddsmaker Predicts GOP Upset
Townhall.com ^ | November 5, 2018 | Wayne Allyn Root

Posted on 11/05/2018 2:26:44 PM PST by Kaslin

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To: Sarah Barracuda

It’s a double-whammy if they #WALKAWAY and then vote Republican.


21 posted on 11/05/2018 2:56:23 PM PST by E. Pluribus Unum (Democracy dies when Democrats refuse to accept the result of a democratic election they didn't win.)
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To: JPJones

Fox should contract megan Kelly for tomorrow’s election night reporting.


22 posted on 11/05/2018 2:57:01 PM PST by cnsmom
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To: TMA62

Don’t forget to add an increase in black and latino votes for Trump.


23 posted on 11/05/2018 2:59:42 PM PST by Rebelbase
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To: Kaslin
Remember when there were last-to-report precincts with >120% turnout and 99% voted for IT?

Still not enough.

Watch for fraud on an epic level, more people voting for the (D) than even live in some districts.

And nary a peep from the never-Trumpers in protest.

24 posted on 11/05/2018 3:00:14 PM PST by null and void (Leftards don't know what 12000 illegal aliens marching thru Mexico know - America's a Great country!)
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To: Flavious_Maximus

Romney was no Trump, but a few days before the election he and Paul Ryan had a rally in some small town in Pennsylvania that no one ever heard of and drew a crowd of about 3000. The same day Obama had a rally in Cleveland, OH, a Democrat stronghold and only drew 300.

I still think that election was lost to voter fraud.


25 posted on 11/05/2018 3:01:05 PM PST by gspurlock (http://www.backyardfence.wordpress.com)
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To: discostu
Oddsmakers don’t make predictions. They spread the betting to make sure they always win.

Ugh. So then he'd be pushing the cover.

26 posted on 11/05/2018 3:01:59 PM PST by Fido969 (In!)
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Good comment, Sarah. Wayne Root’s arguments are persuasive and yet he didn’t even mention factor such as the anger over the Kavanaugh hearings... or North Korea.

Trump has accomplished so much, it’s tiring talking about it all!

If the country doesn’t support Trump, they don’t deserve a president like Trump.


27 posted on 11/05/2018 3:10:15 PM PST by poconopundit
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To: Kaslin
Here, when Trump was in Fort Myers FL, Obama was in Tampa...Trump had people being turned away, Obama was in a gym...and it looked empty...

The media will have egg on it's face tomorrow...

28 posted on 11/05/2018 3:14:07 PM PST by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable Family...even the dog is, too. :-))
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To: poconopundit

The blue wave will sweep across the already blue parts of the country. No where else.


29 posted on 11/05/2018 3:15:46 PM PST by rickomatic
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To: Fido969

Yup. That’s his job. Get the betting spread evenly, make money no matter what.


30 posted on 11/05/2018 3:22:05 PM PST by discostu (Every gun makes its own tune.)
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To: null and void

I suspect Trump will do more than peep.


31 posted on 11/05/2018 3:26:16 PM PST by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: Kaslin

Bloomberg { link only on FR} article on a gambler who went to England to lay a large bet on the Rs keeping the House:
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-11-05/midterm-elections-why-one-punter-thinks-democrats-will-lose
Interesting summary of polling problems.


32 posted on 11/05/2018 3:26:24 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: Kaslin

I know it upsets people to go contrary, but here goes.
I attended a huge, swarming, wildly enthusiastic rally for Bush Sr. After which he lost the state and reelection. Crowds aren’t everything.
The problem with the House is the vulnerable seats are mostly in states where our state wide candidates are not expected to win, like PA & NJ.
If Trump can’t bring Senate candidates in those states to victory, no real reason to believe he is winning moderate House districts.
I certainly hope we add many Senate seats and handily hold the House. But we are preaching to the choir here, and outside the gate many are singing a different tune.
My humble analysis is, the Trump vote will turn out he’s energized his base. But maybe this time the Democrat base is energized as well (Hillary was a dud). So that spells a tossup with some reverses from 2016.
Senate +3
House -15 to 30.


33 posted on 11/05/2018 3:27:03 PM PST by Williams (The New Democrat Slogan: Choke It Down!)
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To: Ancesthntr

Mr. Tidy Bowl got flushed.


34 posted on 11/05/2018 3:28:30 PM PST by seawolf101 (Member LES DEPLORABLES)
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To: gspurlock

Romney had a nationwide computerized get out the vote system which totally crashed on election day. Probably hacked by the democrats or sabotaged from within. That probably did him in.


35 posted on 11/05/2018 3:30:27 PM PST by Williams (The New Democrat Slogan: Choke It Down!)
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To: wastoute

Yeah. And Fox will cover it between the Bigfoot and UFO stories.


36 posted on 11/05/2018 3:35:56 PM PST by null and void (Leftards don't know what 12000 illegal aliens marching thru Mexico know - America's a Great country!)
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To: Kaslin

I’m putting the finishing touches on my new election prediction software, and will be plugging data into it over the next couple days. I expect the answers to pop out in a few days.... and it will be the best prediction software ever!


37 posted on 11/05/2018 3:37:39 PM PST by Cementjungle
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To: Red Badger

38 posted on 11/05/2018 3:37:48 PM PST by IndispensableDestiny
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To: dirtymac

My thought exactly.


39 posted on 11/05/2018 3:39:46 PM PST by Roccus (When you talk to a politician...ANY politician...always say, "Remember Ceausescu")
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To: Kaslin

I like his sense of logic, and believe he is quite correct in his analysis. dates. I personally felt in 2016 exactly what he says about the crowds the candidates attract.

The dems are the ones responsible for making polling worthless in their shaming efforts or outright violence towards anyone conservatives and their candidates.

We’ll see come Wednesday.


40 posted on 11/05/2018 3:41:13 PM PST by redfreedom
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