Posted on 06/15/2020 3:55:43 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Mounting evidence suggests the coronavirus is more common and less deadly than it first appeared.
The evidence comes from tests that detect antibodies to the coronavirus in a person's blood rather than the virus itself.
The tests are finding large numbers of people in the U.S. who were infected but never became seriously ill. And when these mild infections are included in coronavirus statistics, the virus appears less dangerous.
"The current best estimates for the infection fatality risk are between 0.5% and 1%," says Caitlin Rivers, an epidemiologist at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security.
That's in contrast with death rates of 5% or more based on calculations that included only people who got sick enough to be diagnosed with tests that detect the presence of virus in a person's body.
And the revised estimates support an early prediction by Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and a leading member of the White House coronavirus task force. In an editorial published in late March in The New England Journal of Medicine, Fauci and colleagues wrote that the case fatality rate for COVID-19 "may be considerably less than 1%."
But even a virus with a fatality rate less than 1% presents a formidable threat, Rivers says. "That is many times more deadly than seasonal influenza," she says.
The new evidence is coming from places such as Indiana, which completed the first phase of a massive testing effort early in May.
(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...
Greatest medical hoax in history
My son and his girlfriend picked the Covid up in Belgium just after Christmas last year. He said it was the worst flu he ever had, but he’s 24 years old and healthy.
Ping.
I almost never get flu, but was very sick in Feb, and took a while to get over it.
Demorats and media hit hardest film at 11.
He'll be fine. I have no class, and look at me.
/bingo
it is long past time to end this charade and open up. The longer the self inflicted wounds go on the worse it gets
Well duh
CDC set a lower bound estimate of 0.26% IFR. Johns Hopkins believes the IFR to be 0.5% - 1.0%.
This information is weeks old. It looks like NPR published this at the end of May. Nothing new here really. Worth noting that with the CDC IFR, we’re still nowhere near the end number of deaths for this. It could easily hit 600,000 - 750,000 total deaths by the end of it depending on how the R0 changes (which governs when we reach herd immunity).
I have two coworkers who had all of the symptoms back in Decmember/January. Right down to the loss of smell.”
Add lack of taste to the above, and that was one of my many symptons, 2 days before Thanksgiving
IOWs it’s less deadly than the seasonal flu but possibly a bit more contagious.
In other shocking news; rumor has it there’s gambling at Rick’s.
Me too FRiend.
Anybody know the death rate of seasonal flu?
Last I read, the CDC estimated a .26 fatality rate for those infected with the virus. But like everything else in this mess, there are numerous models trying to determine the actual fatality rate and those guesstimates range anywhere from .2 - 1.5%.
As it is with global warming, I think the models depend a great deal on your political agenda.
Reminds me of another study: “IQ tests point to stupidity among democrats”.
Greatest Medical hoax in history!
“I almost never get flu, but was very sick in Feb, and took a while to get over it.”
You described our younger son, age 52. He is one of the most healthy and in shape guy we know.
He got something a couple of weeks after Christmas.
RE: Anybody know the death rate of seasonal flu?
It is around 0.1%
Source: https://heavy.com/news/2020/02/coronavirus-death-rate-vs-flu/
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