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| Locked on 08/28/2005 2:39:50 PM PDT by Admin Moderator, reason: |
Posted on 08/28/2005 9:35:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico. Mandatory evacuation of New Orleans is finally underway. Louisiana officials are warning of complete failure to levy systems, and pleading with people to leave low lying areas. For those who choose to stay, they are recommending picks and axes for breaking through to access their roofs during flooding.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be rushing hurricane preparations to completion.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
http://www.wjbo.com - BR radio station. Callers calling in and describing traffic etc.
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
you're welcome ;)!
I can't find the exact thread now (every site discussing this is updating so fast I can't keep up) but the folks at the Eastern US Weather Forum said they expected landfall between about 2-5am. The storm has sped up.
That was really good - thanks
fyi - .pdf alert
OMG!!
I'm utterly horrified by any hurricane, but this is incomprehensible....
He's gonna' wish he was back in Baghdad.
The meteorologist woman on Fox said this storm is so big it probably will make its own path and ignore any outside influences. YIKES!!!
there is this one too, showing the port:
http://www.portno.com/webcamnew_out.htm
OMG
What can be more scary than to be on that causeway with no possible way out. Prayers.
Well, if it does that, then may it move west a little bit so we can get some rain in east Texas.
There you go again, comparing the energy of 10 to 15 atomic bombs to a tiny sonic boom. Next thing you'll be comparing the weight of a sonic boom to millions of pounds of flood water.
Knock off all personal attacks and cursing now!
Otherwise you will be given a time off
So do I. I just can't believe that they don't have every bus, car, train, wagon, etc. filled and getting those people out of there. How terribly sad.
It's just unbelievable. We have been talking precisely about this for several days and the only unresolved issue was whether or not Katrina might make Cat 5 status before landfall. There was every indication that she'd at least reach Cat 4 status.
That New Orleans was ground zero wasn't in dispute to those of us who were watching all the models reach unusual agreement.
New Orleans cannot survive a Cat 4 hurricane. That is not an opinion, that is a fact. There's no point in even modeling what a Cat 5 storm will do.
I hope the New Orleans politicians responsible for this ride the storm out downtown. I really do.
That very well could be. We'll have to wait and see. However, whether or not the river diverts then Katrina will probably see to it that New Orleans will no longer exist.....at least, not as it does today.
Stop, you're making sense....
The Yahoo site is the primary site where status updates are posted. Last time we crashed, our Canadian brethren offered up their site. Don't know if that offer was a one time event.
Then, click on this link to install the National High Resolution (1km) Radar Refectivity Mosaic from NSSl/U of Oklahoma. This is updated every 2 minutes and is overlayed onto the United States portion of Google Earth. It is truly awesome. You can zoom in and see exactly what is in the eye of the storm down to the building. (No, the satellite and aerial photos are not updated in real time). Try it!
For updated Tropical Data and NHC Storm Forecast Models click here and install this Dynamic Data Layer into Google Earth. It includes forecast plots as well as the latest satellite imagery and diagrams and such from various sources. These are all automatically overlayed on Google Earth and each layer can be switch on and off or combined with other layers.
Then, in your Layers pane in Google Earth open up User-Supplied Collections and check the box next to Webcams. Zoom in on a particular populated area and all of the known outdoor webcams pop up in your view. You can click on any of them then click on the link in the caption and you will be watching a live webcam of that area. Remember, during a major storm with power outages many of these cams and their connecting ISPs will be down. However, when Katrina passed over Florida, I was able to look at live webcams showing palm trees whipping in the wind, large waves, driving rain, etc. Some cams even let you control them so you can view what you want. While it was true that Florida had dozens of webcams, I see very few in New Orleans and surrounding areas.
Basically what this means is that unless something interacts with the storm or the eye begins contracting, she will maintain her current intensity and there will be no furthur eyewall replacements. IOW, all indicators are she is coming in at her present strength and there is almost nothing to stop that.
Even scarier, she is now over the coldest water she will encounter, the water temps only get higher as she approaches the coast.
CNN is now calling her a Once in 500 YR storm.
Thanks
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