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Hurricane Ike Live Thread III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 12 September 2008 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 09/12/2008 5:12:09 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Large and dangerous Hurricane Ike approaching the Upper Texas coast. Mandatory evacuations began in earnest Thursday as an estimated one million coastal residents headed inland. There were widespread reports of gas stations running out of fuel.

The National Weather Service posted dire storm surge predictions of 20-25 ft storm surge along the coast and bay heads. Hurricane warnings covered a 400 mile swath of the Gulf of Mexico.

Wholesale gasoline prices spiked 30 percent Thursday, or nearly $1 a gallon, out of fear of what Ike might do.

Public Advisory Updated every 3 hours

Discussion Updated every 6 hours

Buoy data: Western Gulf of Mexico

Forecast Models

Houston/Galveston Long Range Radar
Corpus Christi Long Range Radar
Brownsville Long Range Radar
Lake Charles Long Range Radar

Ike
Single Image Image Loop
Lat/Lon No Lat/Lon Short Long
Visible Visible Visible Visible
Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave Shortwave
Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor Water Vapor
Infrared Channel 4 Enhancements
None None None None
AVN AVN AVN AVN
Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak Dvorak
JSL JSL JSL JSL
RGB RGB RGB RGB
Funktop Funktop Funktop Funktop
Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow Rainbow

Additional Resources:

Navy Tropical Cyclone
Storm Pulse Very cool site

KHOU Houston
ABC 13 News Houston
FOX News Houston

KPLC Lake Charles
KFDM 6 Beaumont/Port Arthur
KKBMT 12 Beaumont
KRIS-TV Corpus Christi
KZTV Corpus Christi

Brazoria County Emergency Management
Galveston County Emergency Management
Chambers Country Emergency Management
Liberty County Emergency Management

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Ike Live Thread II
Hurricane Ike Live Thread I
TS Hanna, Hurricane Ike & TS Josephine [Other than that, the tropics are calm]
Tropical Storms Hanna, Ike and Josephine, TD Gustav (Other than that, the tropics are calm)


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Arkansas; US: Louisiana; US: Oklahoma; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: arkansas; california; crude; desiel; drill; flordia; florida; galveston; gasoline; gulf; hurricane; ike; louisiana; offshore; oil; oklahoma; prices; refineries; rigs; storm; texas; weather
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To: BurbankKarl

1,121 posted on 09/12/2008 2:40:12 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: AFPhys

Most places are out of gas.


1,122 posted on 09/12/2008 2:41:42 PM PDT by Terry Mross
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To: AFPhys

40% of all Galvestonians remained behind for the storm...I guess the ones that survive will have interesting stories...others won’t.


1,123 posted on 09/12/2008 2:42:15 PM PDT by antivenom (Obama's parsed and lawyerly language is empty of any credible meaning...)
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To: rwfromkansas

It’s going to be a tricky forecast for surge. What passes for the eye is probably 60-70 miles across. I think the computer models for the surge work with a much smaller eye. Only one way to find out what will really happen from here. Hopefully the experts are wrong on the low side, or Ike takes a bit of a wobble in the next few hours and goes a bit more eastward.


1,124 posted on 09/12/2008 2:43:25 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: antivenom

Some 20,000 people from what they said.


1,125 posted on 09/12/2008 2:43:56 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: Royal Wulff

I don’t blame her. I would have done the same. In fact I as going to suggest she do so before she did!


1,126 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:10 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: antivenom

Geraldo says he’s not so sure about the “certain death” predictions...unsual for him to be DE-hyping...

What do the locals think about the San Luis? Is it good for the duration? He said it’s 30 plus feet above...


1,127 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:15 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet-McCain/Palin 08)
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To: Syntyr

Are you sure about the Kemah Dairy Queen? I don’t live far from there and that is scary to me.


1,128 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:23 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Out of La Porte, TX now, just waiting and watching and freeping...)
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To: Abigail Adams

As I sit here looking at a map of the Houston area, it sure looks like the storm surge (combined with high tide) is gonna send a sh**load of water up Galveston Bay and into every bayou and creek.

The east side of Galveston Bay (to me) looks relatively unpopulated but the west side looks like it has a lot of industry and residences.

It looks like the same kind of thing could happen to Sabine Pass leading up to Beaumont/Port Arthur.

This isn’t looking good at all...


1,129 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:49 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Eaker

Wow — that’s one heck of an Opus, E!

;-)


1,130 posted on 09/12/2008 2:44:59 PM PDT by L,TOWM (Mcwhatshisname/PALIN, '08!!!)
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To: Abigail Adams

Water will come around the backside of the island. It will get the worst of the surge according to hurricane center guy.


1,131 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:01 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: MplsSteve

KPRC reporting via laptop camera....trying to head to the yacht fire.

http://www.click2houston.com/video/10903347/index.html


1,132 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:47 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Terry Mross
Sitting just south of Tomball knowing we’ll be getting hurricane force winds all night. And more than likely will lose electricity which means it’ll be hot and muggy for weeks. Lost electricity this morning....power company said it was a “line fuse”. Took ‘em 3 hours to fix it. I can only imagine how long it will take when 3,000,000 households are without. And that’s what they’re predicting. This is a bad storm!

They did a pretty good job after Rita. We lost power for about 10 hours. With all the outages they were faced with that was pretty quick.
1,133 posted on 09/12/2008 2:45:49 PM PDT by OC_Steve (The hatches are battened down here in Cypress.)
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To: MplsSteve

Hurricane center guy says: Rise of water 15-20 feet with waves on top. If people remember Miss coast after Katrina, homes damaged or removed completely, that’s what will occur on Galveston and inland. Yikes.


1,134 posted on 09/12/2008 2:46:34 PM PDT by Abigail Adams
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To: Terry Mross

Where? There’s plenty of gas here in Central NY.


1,135 posted on 09/12/2008 2:46:51 PM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: antivenom
My mom just called me and told me our friends in Texas are claiming they are getting OFFICIAL Warnings that the Tidal Surge could TOP 50 FEET.

Has Anyone else heard this cause Mom is fretting something fierce over our friends safety and I would like to be able to calm her down a bit.

50 Feet is like a Tidal Wave. It just sounds too fantastic to be true.

1,136 posted on 09/12/2008 2:47:21 PM PDT by Mad Dawgg ("`Eddies,' said Ford, `in the space-time continuum.' `Ah,' nodded Arthur, `is he? Is he?'")
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To: NautiNurse
YIKES hip boots may be in order.

I got family down on Braes Bayou... how about YIKES canoes?

1,137 posted on 09/12/2008 2:47:58 PM PDT by glock rocks (The American presidency is not supposed to be a journey of personal discovery. -Sarah Palin)
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To: Xenalyte
Thanks, Xena. I'll be here till the power goes out.
1,138 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:28 PM PDT by ishmac
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To: spectre

Those people on the freighter make me think of the men on the boat in tge film Perfect Storm. I hope and pray they aren’t killed.


1,139 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:35 PM PDT by dougherty (I saw the angel in the marble and carved until I set him free. - Michelangelo)
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To: Texas_shutterbug

Why wouldn’t the officials tell the public about evaluations?


1,140 posted on 09/12/2008 2:48:59 PM PDT by DrewsMum (Out of La Porte, TX now, just waiting and watching and freeping...)
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