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How Obama's immigration push could hand the House to Democrats
The Week ^ | July 4, 2014 | By Bill Scher

Posted on 07/04/2014 8:46:53 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Everyone assumes that Republicans will easily hold the House in November. The dominant storyline among the chattering classes centers instead on the possibility that Republicans could seize control of the Senate from Democrats. But the rapidly escalating immigration face-off between President Barack Obama and House Republicans raises the possibility that Democrats could win back the House — even if Republicans do take the Senate

How is that possible? It's simple: There are more competitive House races than Senate races in areas with significant Latino populations.

Last year, David Damore, a polling analyst for the firm Latino Decisions, found that there are 44 congressional districts with Republican incumbents that could be ousted if their Latino constituents flex their electoral muscle.

That may not seem like a lot for a body with 435 representatives. But Democrats only need to flip 17 seats to take over the House. While most observers see that as a bridge too far for Democrats this year, the political terrain in these Latino-strong districts may look different in the fall. Just as we head into the midterms' final two-month sprint, Obama will likely have followed through on this week's pledge to use executive orders to help keep immigrant families together in America.

Obama can't fix the entire immigration system by fiat. He can't unilaterally bestow citizenship on the undocumented. He can't even ensure his executive orders will stay on the books once he vacates the Oval Office in 2017. There will still be a need for Congress to act. And immigration advocates may well turn all their fire on obstructionist House Republicans once Obama has shown he has done all he can without them.

(Excerpt) Read more at theweek.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: aliens; amnesty; election2014; hispanics; illegalaliens; illegalsinvasion; invasion; latinos
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Bill Scher is the [delusional] executive editor of LiberalOasis.com and the online campaign manager at Campaign for America's Future. He is the author of Wait! Don't Move To Canada!: A Stay-and-Fight Strategy to Win Back America.
1 posted on 07/04/2014 8:46:53 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Could? Won’t this time around but in 2016 ... all bets are off.


2 posted on 07/04/2014 8:47:57 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

He needs to get off of whatever he is on.


3 posted on 07/04/2014 8:48:19 AM PDT by JPG (Yes We Can morphs into Make It Hurt.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Why would this idiot think Latinos in this country legally want illegals to come in and take their jobs? Why would they automatically want more poor in this country?

Everything this guy says is counter factual.


4 posted on 07/04/2014 8:51:36 AM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Let me guess.

All the "unaccompanied children" are going to vote.

Multiple times.

I'm right, aren't I?

5 posted on 07/04/2014 8:52:22 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("The more numerous the laws, the more corrupt the government." --Tacitus)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I get it. American citizens of Hispanic descent WANT all of these invaders to come in, take what THEY have worked for, and infect THEIR children with diseases.

Typical deluded libtard thought process.


6 posted on 07/04/2014 8:52:37 AM PDT by 43north (BHO: 50% black, 50% white, 100% RED.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Obama's pushing the illegal alien children is angering Americans. As the stories of them being bused, far away from the borders, and foisted upon the states and the stories our hospitals and schools overloaded come almost daily. The drips and drabs will tear at the Democrats/Progressives who have foisted this upon us through their dream act.

The Democrats have opened Pandora's box and they will not be able to control the consequences.

7 posted on 07/04/2014 8:53:39 AM PDT by sr4402
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

This dude is diffusional. All we want is our laws enforced on every matter...including immigration. The House of Reps is in place to check and balance the executive branch. Obama is getting checked and balanced. He needs to stop whining and work with the House. His inability to work with people he does not agree with is one of his major flaws....amongst many flaws.

By the way, Obama likes to compare himself to Lincoln...a man going against the evil tide of humanity. The problem is, Lincoln actually was going against the evil tide of humanity. Obama is just going against a congress who hates Obamacare and wants the budget responsibly balanced...hardly the stuff of tyranny...as I’m certain Obama sees it.

2.5 more years of this jack-ass. God help us.


8 posted on 07/04/2014 8:55:15 AM PDT by Mustangman (The GOP)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

9 posted on 07/04/2014 8:55:37 AM PDT by kcvl
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

https://mobile.twitter.com/billscher

Bill Scher (@billscher) tweeted at 8:33am - 4 Jul 14:

Dems need to gain 17 seats to win back the House. Obama’s immigration order may gave them 19. My take @TheWeek theweek.com/article/index/… (https://twitter.com/billscher/status/485053807932739584)


10 posted on 07/04/2014 8:57:00 AM PDT by kcvl
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To: Jim from C-Town

Just anecdotal evidence, but I have worked with a number of legal Mexican Americans, who are working in maintenance and housekeeping type jobs.

Every single one of them is against illegal immigration, or granting amnesty. They see companies paying people under the table, and breaking other laws, to accomodate illegal workers, and they are very much against that.

It’s really over simplifying the issue, and somewhat bigoted in my opinion, to just assume that Hispanics welcome all this illegal immigration, and favor amnensty, and favor Democrats and liberalism when they go to vote.


11 posted on 07/04/2014 8:59:33 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego (s)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Bill Scher (@billscher) tweeted at 7:39am - 3 Jul 14:

MT @ddiamond: So much for “job-killing health law.” Since Obamacare passed private sector has added 9.6 million jobs—and every month (https://twitter.com/billscher/status/484677711525203968)


12 posted on 07/04/2014 9:00:48 AM PDT by kcvl
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

‘Hispanics Sour on Obama as Young Illegals Surge Across Border’

“the president’s job approval among Hispanics has been falling sharply. He got 71 percent of their votes in 2012, but fewer than half approve his performance today.”

Read more: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2014/06/24/hispanics_sour_on_obama_as_young_illegals_surge_across_border_123087.html#ixzz36W3r1IkV
Follow us: @RCP_Articles on Twitter


13 posted on 07/04/2014 9:00:59 AM PDT by Fantasywriter (Any attempt to do forensic work using Internet artifacts is fraught with pitfalls. JoeProbono)
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To: sr4402

I disagree. It has angered some Americans. I like in CA and while I too have found some anecdotal evidence that Latinos are none too fond of illegal immigration, they loathe the GOP and will turn out to vote for Dims in droves. The GOP is DOA here because of that voting block.

Just because they don’t like it doesn’t mean it turns into a vote for us. What did ODmwit get last election ... 75% of the Latino vote?

We’re in trouble.


14 posted on 07/04/2014 9:02:32 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: Dilbert San Diego

Interesting observation.

Even Caesar Chavez, the farm worker advocate, was opposed to illegal immigration. I saw him speak many years ago when I was a college dude in Los Angeles.


15 posted on 07/04/2014 9:05:24 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (I don't want to feel "safe." I want to feel FREE!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

DRUGS! That’s the only explanation for stupidity like this.


16 posted on 07/04/2014 9:05:56 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Scher should stick to something he knows inside and out, defending gay marriage, gay pride and anything gays do.


17 posted on 07/04/2014 9:08:01 AM PDT by Grampa Dave ( Herr Obozo, the Sunni Won-Doer, will not divert $'s from his war on Americans to help our Veterans!)
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To: kcvl

Scher looks like pajama boy.


18 posted on 07/04/2014 9:08:17 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (I don't want to feel "safe." I want to feel FREE!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

People are being too dismissive of this. The Spanish-language media depicts opposition to immigration reform as anti-Latino bias, full stop, and the adoption of amnesty as a key way for Latinos to flex their muscles. That amnesty might personally hurt them is disregarded.


19 posted on 07/04/2014 9:13:41 AM PDT by only1percent
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To: sr4402
The Democrats have opened Pandora's box and they will not be able to control the consequences.

Huh? consequences? LOL. Obama and the evil GOPe is laughing as they literally destroy our Republic.

By the time Obama's is out of office we likely will have another 20M third world anti-English, anti-American third world criminals illegal cross our borders.

Once they bring friends and families over, its another 100M.

If this illegal invasion is not physically stopped very soon it will truly be checkmate for our Republic.

Our Republic will forever be destroyed -- we cannot survive 140M third worlders being among us who have no sense of our culture, our language or our history.

20 posted on 07/04/2014 9:21:11 AM PDT by sand88 (We can never legislate our way back to Liberty)
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