Posted on 05/31/2016 8:19:11 AM PDT by usafa92
West Long Branch, NJ – Hillary Clinton holds a narrow lead over Donald Trump in an early read of New Jersey registered voters five months before the general election.
The Monmouth University Poll finds that neither candidate has solidified support among core constituent groups. With the top of the ticket taking shape for both parties, speculation has turned to a couple of Garden State office holders as potential running mates. The poll finds that one name in particular – the state’s own governor – may actually put New Jersey electoral votes further out of reach for Trump.
In a head-to-head contest, Clinton currently has the support of 38% of New Jersey registered voters and Trump has the support of 34%. Another 11% volunteer that they will vote for a third party or independent candidate even though the poll question did not include that option, and 15% say they are undecided. The poll also presented registered voters with a four-way race including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. In this matchup, Clinton leads Trump by a slightly wider margin of 37% to 31%, with Johnson at 5% and Stein at 4%. Another 6% say they will vote for some other candidate and 14% remain undecided. New Jersey has voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in every election since 1992.
(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...
That's one way to put it.
Another way to put it is this: Hillary Clinton, Smartest Woman In The World, is just barely ahead of the Republican candidate she once thought was a joke and wouldn't even deign to respond to, in one of the most reliably liberal states in the most reliably liberal region of the country.
Those statistics are not accurate. Come election day DONALD TRUMP will win every state by a landslide.
If Clinton is fighting to win NJ now...
Landslide for Trump in the fall...
Again a poll of “registered voters”.
If NJ is the battleground, it’s over. PA, OH, FL, AZ, CO, already went Trump.
Yuge trouble for Hitlery. A Republican is COMPETITIVE in liberal Jersey?? I like it.
Just goes to show how corrupt democrats are in general.
You are 100% correct. This is a “whistling past the graveyard” article is I ever did see one.
I’ve been telling folks this since last year.... Hillary has NO SHOT against Trump in a general election.
Trump will win states no one in the “establishment” or “punditry” remotely thought would be in play, let alone go blue.
Hillary’s highest possible result is about 15 states and about 180 EC votes.. reality is she will likely get 10 or less, and under 100 EC votes.
The states that pundits claim are the battleground will be locked up by Trump by September if not August. By October, the democrats will be spending insane amounts of money and effort just to keep what they and the pundits think are solid blue states in the fold.
Trump will take most if not all of the Rust Belt... WI and MN likely being the only holdouts.. since the GOPe poisoned WI during the primary with their nevertrump crap there. IL may even wind up blue as the combination of a horrible democratic candidate and all the problems in Chicago will likely suppress turnout there. Trump will take states in NE and I fully expect NJ to go Trump and I’d say at least 50/50 that NY itself may go Trump when its all said and done.
The classic map that has been the makeup of most of the last 7 elections is meaningless this cycle.... Dems are on their way to a routing.
LMAO. Obama beat Romney in NJ by 18 points.
It’s one of the bluest states.
Bye, Hillary.
There we have the reason that the polling has The Hag supposedly leading. The Poll is run by Hagsters,
A bunch of never-employed college hipsters led by tenured university agitators/professors, illegals, union thugs, and inner-city zombies supporting her.
I believe Trump will win the general fairly easily, but he has no shot of carrying NY or NJ.
She should be + 12 to + 18 in NJ. This is very bad news for her.
These polls are a real waste of money at this point. Them when Hillary is the nominee and selects her VP and use a likely voter model. Until then all the polls are just angry Bernie people pretending they won’t vote for her in order to give him a talking point. Just like the Cruz pole who wouldn’t vote for Trump for the same reasons. True there are the hardcore Beckties but for the most parts Dems vote Clinton and Repubs vote Trump
I’m a bit worried about CO.
The GOP stopped paying attention to CO other than Colorado Springs back in 2000.
Locals have been working hard to rebuild but the Pot Push has made it more difficult.
Gun Control is the way to win CO plus a strong Trump presence.
Problem with that theory is that Cruz is a republican but Bernie isn’t a democrat and neither are his supporters.
Bernie was elected running as an independent. He never ran as a democrat and is only pretending to do so now to destroy it from within.
I believe that as things now stand Trump could beat Hillary in an honest election.
But as democrats have once again shown throughout this 2016 primary season, where their mad desperation to push Hillary White House is concerned, there will be no honest elections.
4% lead with registered voters in NJ of all places from a pretty decent pollster...
Yeah, if you’re in the Hillary! camp, you have to be worried. If NJ goes to Trump, it’s over.
“I believe Trump will win the general fairly easily, but he has no shot of carrying NY or NJ.”
I think he can win NY. He will get upstate and if he can tie Clinton to Deblahblah he can win NYC.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.