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New Hampshire Poll: Trump 48% Crooked 43%
American Research Group ^ | 11/3/2016 | American Research Group

Posted on 11/03/2016 8:29:51 AM PDT by MountainWalker

The following results are based on 600 completed interviews among a statewide random sample of likely voters in New Hampshire (209 Republicans, 191 Democrats, and 200 undeclared voters). The interviews were conducted October 31 through November 2, 2016.

The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 600 likely voters is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.

Question wording and responses:

If the election for US President were being held today between Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, of the Green Party, for whom would you vote - Clinton, Trump, Johnson, or Stein? (names rotated)


TOPICS: Breaking News; Government; Politics/Elections; US: New Hampshire
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; 2016swingstates; clinton; donaldtrump; elections; hillary; hillaryclinton; newhampshire; nh2016; poll; polling; polls; trump
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1 posted on 11/03/2016 8:29:51 AM PDT by MountainWalker
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To: MountainWalker

Pushing or at 50% now.


2 posted on 11/03/2016 8:30:54 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: MountainWalker

Bah. Beat me by seconds!


3 posted on 11/03/2016 8:31:48 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

The surge is real and it’s YUGE!!! :)


4 posted on 11/03/2016 8:32:35 AM PDT by littleharbour
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To: MountainWalker

NV + NH + ME(2) = 270. I sure hope Trump adds a few more states, as this is too close.


5 posted on 11/03/2016 8:33:47 AM PDT by CatOwner
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To: littleharbour

It’s amazing to look back 18 months, and how Jeb Bush and Hillary were discussed to be here at the final week. Here we are, and Trump will end up with a landslide victory...something that would have eluded Jeb (both the landslide and the victory).


6 posted on 11/03/2016 8:35:13 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: MountainWalker

7 posted on 11/03/2016 8:36:03 AM PDT by eaglestar
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To: MountainWalker

What are the actual party splits in NH? This poll seems to give the edge to Republicans...


8 posted on 11/03/2016 8:36:57 AM PDT by sargon (The Revolution is ON! Vote Trump!)
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To: eaglestar

9 posted on 11/03/2016 8:37:19 AM PDT by eaglestar
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To: MountainWalker

I’m always worried that they’re playing with the polls to make Repubs complacent......Like little Timmy Russert and his white drawing board that called Gore the bore... the winner in Florida....a few times...


10 posted on 11/03/2016 8:37:29 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: CatOwner

Certainly encouraging!


11 posted on 11/03/2016 8:37:38 AM PDT by SeattleBruce (Pray 2 Chronicles 7:14! Tea Party like it's 1773! Repeal the Federal Reserve Act of 1913!)
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To: littleharbour

problem are the internals, numbers skewed to Republicans, hope its right but cautious.


12 posted on 11/03/2016 8:37:40 AM PDT by shoedog
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To: MountainWalker

ok...I have NOT been in the Trump landslide camp!

HOWEVER...if he wins NH by 5 or 6...in fact...we are looking at a landslide!


13 posted on 11/03/2016 8:37:56 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: All

FYI NH is a state with more GOP registered than Dem, so this poll’s mix is not incorrect.


14 posted on 11/03/2016 8:38:19 AM PDT by Owen
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To: littleharbour

YES, Yuge indeed!


15 posted on 11/03/2016 8:38:25 AM PDT by za_claws (Our President is the new Milli Vanilli)
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To: sargon

Those are the actual splits.

http://sos.nh.gov/NamesHistory.aspx


16 posted on 11/03/2016 8:39:11 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: MountainWalker

nate sliver, 10/14/2016: Election Update: Watch New Hampshire For Signs Of A Trump Comeback

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-watch-new-hampshire-for-signs-of-a-trump-comeback/


17 posted on 11/03/2016 8:39:13 AM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: shoedog

NH has more registered Republicans.


18 posted on 11/03/2016 8:40:27 AM PDT by LongWayHome
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To: MountainWalker

I always thought ARG sucked as a polling outfit.


19 posted on 11/03/2016 8:40:56 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: shoedog

Check post 16.


20 posted on 11/03/2016 8:41:01 AM PDT by Ravi
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