Free Republic

According to the latest Rasmussen state polls, Mitt Romney is in position to win the presidency; he should win at least 279 electoral votes. Romney leads in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and New Hampshire; Obama leads in Nevada. Wisconsin and Iowa are tied. Were Romney to win both Wisconsin and Iowa, he’d secure another 16 electoral votes, putting him at 295 electoral votes...

New reports indicate that the 2012 presidential campaign is coming to Pennsylvania. After a spate of advertising during the summer, Pennsylvania — in a break from tradition — has largely avoided the volume of campaign commercials that states like Ohio and Virginia have seen. But beginning Tuesday, Restore Our Future, a “super-PAC” supporting Mitt Romney, will blanket Pennsylvania with about $2 million worth of advertisements. President Obama’s advisers greeted that news on Monday by saying that the Obama campaign would also spend advertising money in the Keystone State between now and Election Day. In fact, Pennsylvania is the only state...

Generic Congressional Ballot: #Republicans 46%, #Democrats 43%.. Rasmussen Republicans now lead Democrats by three points on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending October 28, 2012. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey shows that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 43% would choose the Democrat instead.

All registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for [ROTATED: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats (or) Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans]?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan and their leanings are incorporated into the results.

The race for Ohio’s Electoral College votes remains very close, but now Mitt Romney now has a two-point advantage. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters shows Romney with 50% support to President Obama’s 48%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, while another one percent (1%) remains undecided.

Rather prescient again, Twitter. A Rasmussen poll out today indicates that Romney is ahead in Ohio!OHIO!!! First poll shows Romney up by 2 bit.ly/XLaHVZ— Eric Dondero (@ericdondero) October 29, 2012 #Ohio: #Romney 50%, #Obama 48%… tinyurl.com/75qmbns— Scott Rasmussen (@RasmussenPoll) October 29, 2012 #Romney takes the lead in #Ohio for the first time, with a 12 point lead in voter trust over Obama. rasmussenreports.com/public_content… #Nobama #tcot— theFinancialSkinny (@FinancialSkinny) October 29, 2012 Romney pulls ahead in Ohio in latest polling – increases lead with independent voters. Its going to be close!— Jon Harrison (@JonHarrison6) October 29, 2012 Momentum! RT @ByronYork: New...

The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent. While Obama can close the gap with a strong voter turnout effort, “reports from the field would indicate that not to be the case, and Mitt Romney may well be heading to a decisive victory,” says pollster Ed Goeas. Should Romney win by 5 percentage points, it would increase Republican chances of gaining control of the Senate....

Supporters of Barack Obama may be breathing a little easier this morning as Public Policy Polling show the president with a 51-47 advantage over Republican challenger Mitt Romney. The new numbers come a day after Ohio news organizations showed a dead heat at 49-49 according to their data. What the previous poll did not show was the result of the third, and final, debate between the two men who are battling for residency for four years in the White House. Last week, PPP showed Obama leading only 49-48. [Snip] PPP surveyed 718 likely voters throughout the Buckeye State. The...

Yesterday morning I believe, in a thread, at least twice it was posted that Rasmussen has moved from a D+3 to D+6 partisan model. I took it that the second post was from a Rasmussen paid subscriber. Do we have confirmation or denial of this? ... Wouldn't normally interrupt into main threads, but this is a pretty important factoid, question about veracity came up on another thread tonight. (I searched ... but without searching body of threads, can't locate it to see if it was confirmed later in the thread.)

There's no shortage of their kind in the politically bluest parts of California. Liberals so freaked out about the prospect of President Obama losing his re-election bid that they can't sleep at night. Can't talk about anything else. Can't stop parsing the latest polls. David Plouffe, one of President Obama's top campaign strategists, has a word for supporters he feels are needlessly fretful: bed wetters. "Oh, I think I'm worse than that," Kay Edelman said. For the past several weeks, the 60-year-old San Francisco resident has frequently bolted awake in the middle of the night, in "a panic attack," she...

On Fox News Sunday, Brit Hume said the poll would show Romney +5. He was very wrong.

MARION, Ohio — With eight days to go until the election, President Barack Obama has recaptured a narrow national lead over Mitt Romney, riding increased support from women and an edge in early voting. A new POLITICO/George Washington University Battleground Tracking Poll of 1,000 likely voters — taken from last Monday through Thursday — shows Obama ahead of Romney by 1 percent, 49 to 48 percent. That represents a 3-point swing in Obama’s direction from a week ago but reflects a race that remains statistically tied. Obama leads by 8 points among those who have already voted, 53 to 45...

The bipartisan Battleground Poll, in its “vote election model,” is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent. The poll also found that Romney has an even greater advantage among middle class voters, 52 percent to 45 percent. While Obama can close the gap with a strong voter turnout effort, “reports from the field would indicate that not to be the case, and Mitt Romney may well be heading to a decisive victory,” says pollster Ed Goeas. Should Romney win by 5 percentage points, it would increase Republican chances of gaining control of the Senate....

Per Twitter WaPo/ABC tracking poll has Romney up 1, 49-48. Sample moved from D+4 Fri to D+6 Sat to D+7 today. Romney up 15 w/ indies. WaPo/ABC tracking Thur-Sat has same turnout adv for Dems as 08. In 08 Obama won by 7%, today he loses by 1. Yep... moved from D+4 two days ago to D+7 today. Yet Romney maintained 1 point lead even through the shift.

Republicans are in position to extend their recent gains among governors as they compete for seats they haven't won in a quarter-century. Of the 11 states with gubernatorial elections in November, eight are now led by Democrats, and each of the most competitive races is a GOP pickup opportunity. The numbers suggests that Republicans soon will claim 30 to 33 governorships after holding just 22 a few years ago - an advantage not reflected in the divided Congress or competitive presidential race. 'It says that when people are choosing the government closest to the people, they're choosing Republicans,' Virginia Gov....

PPP (D) National Tracking Poll - R 49%, 0 48% (poll samples 71% whites) Actual 2008 white voter turnout was 76% For period of 10-26 to 10-28

Looking at the polls, this presidential election season is poised to give birth to the most racially polarized electorate in U.S. history. Whites are backing Mitt Romney in historic numbers, while Obama is garnering historic levels of support among blacks, Latinos and Asians. While the latest NBC/Wall Street Journal poll has the president in a dead heat with his GOP opponent, recent surveys show wide swings in support based on race. In other words, it looks like white voters versus everyone else. Looking at a composite of polls, Obama’s white support averages 37.9 percent, ranging from 35 percent to 41...

As the presidential race tightens across the country, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found that it is narrowing here as well, with President Obama holding a 3-point lead and Republican Mitt Romney making gains in the state. The poll shows Obama with support from 47 percent of likely voters and Romney earning backing from 44 percent -- a lead within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. Last month, Obama had an 8-percentage point advantage in the Minnesota Poll. Romney has apparently cut into the Democrat's advantage among women since then and picked...

According to a new Associated Press survey, more Americans believe President Barack Obama is Jewish than believe that the president is a Muslim; while a plurality of the surveyed individuals believe he has “no religion.” The survey, conducted using 1,071 random adults during the first week of September, asked, “Do you happen to know the religion of [Barack Obama]?” The results were as follows:Protestant — 28% Catholic — 5% Mormon — 0% Jewish — 18% Muslim — 10% Other religion — 2% No religion — 35% Don’t know — 2% Refused/Not Answered — 28%Interestingly, the percentage of Americans who believe...