The smart money says Sarah Palin won't run in 2012

The Guardian ^ | 05/18/2001 | Paul Harris

[Responsibility2nd]

The Republican race to get the 2012 nomination has barely begun, yet it already has its fair share of casualties who have fallen by the wayside.

First, there was Haley Barbour, the good ol' boy Mississippi governor, who was widely expected to run – even by his own staff – right up until the moment he pulled out. Then, Donald Trump's bizarre campaign fired itself. Finally, Mike Huckabee, who topped a lot of Republican polls and was favourite to win Iowa, declared: "All the factors say go, but my heart says no."

Which leads one to wonder: who might be next to take a dive and pull out before they even get in?

Sarah Palin looks a good bet.

[Responsibility2nd]

"Also, if she loses – either the nomination race or against Obama – she will seriously tarnish her credibility. America will forgive many things, but a two-time loser? Not so much. Better to be a might-have-been than a never-was.

Of course, she may surprise us all. Perhaps Palin will jump in to a contest in which she will be the undoubted rockstar. But my wager is no. She'll keep everyone guessing for a while longer and then join the list of Republican big names who have already decided to sit out this fight."

[Responsibility2nd]

Sorry, I forgot the barf alert.

Here’s more pukeage from the article....

She has little appetite for the nitty-gritty hardcore campaigning in Iowa and New Hampshire that the genuinely committed candidates – like Romney, Tim Pawlenty, New Gingrich and Rick Santorum – are already doing and which lasts for months on end.

[Virginia Ridgerunner]

It’s all a bunch of wishful thinking and nonsense by liberals and GOP hacks who have NO understanding of Governor Palin’s character, strength, and motivations.

[Hojczyk]

I hope she runs ...this bunch needs a little excitement...

[chris37]

Doesn’t matter what they are doing. None of them will beat Obama. They are all wimp, nobody, also-ran, non leader failures.

We need a bare knuckled brawler, one who is capable of clear communication, and one who can galvanize the base. The people you mentioned are none of those things.

The Barracuda would be a great place to start.

[screaminsunshine]

Smart money says Rove will trot out Jeb Bush as the RINO savior and Daniels as VP. In that case I vote Libertarian.

[Rational Thought]

With so many out of work, people are actually paid to write articles like this? Amazing!

[E. Pluribus Unum]

Sarah told me she is going to declare in November.

[JaguarXKE]

She has little appetite for the nitty-gritty hardcore campaigning...

My BS meter is pegged!

[FrankR]

Of course, I have no crystal ball to tell me if Sarah is going to run or not, but I do have my theories.

If she's planning it, she is playing it smart. She's standing in the wings watching the prospects fall like birds in a windmill farm.

She's listening to what they say, and how it resonates with both the people, and the media.

She sees the reaction everytime someone claiming to be a conservative says something "profound" and sheepish Americans start wanting that one-hit wonder to be president all of a sudden.

Why shouldn't she wait as long as possible? Wait until the others have spent loads of money, exposed all of their skeletons, and stepped on their own tongues?

She can then announce, come riding in fresh, and say all the right things while staying away from the words that are knocking out her opponents.

While the rest of the field will be hung up in repetitive rhetoric and will have let enough cats out of the bag to provide fodder for the press, she will ride into town on a fresh horse, with new things to say, and the enthusiam of someone who is not travel worn.

There's not much remaining that the left and the MSM hasn't already hurled at her, and she's got about two years experience handling the barbs, slings, and arrows. She won't be "couric'd" this time around.

Watching her on interviews and speeches, she seems to know as much about the Consitition, foreign policy, and such as any of the other candidates, and she is far ahead of all of them on ENERGY...which is a very, big deal to Americans.

I believe she will be an up-front, honest, and hard working president and will have no fear of her enemies, foreign or domestic.

I don't know that if there is anything to it, but if that is her plan, it's pretty smart.

[RED SOUTH]

If Palin does not run , her stock goes way down , interest in her declines. Noone will care about her facebook or tweets. That is why she is waiting as long as she can to announce.

[Responsibility2nd]

Sarah told me she is going to declare in November.

__________________________________________________

And I told her to tell you that.

But she’ll fool us by declaring on Labor Day.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

That is why she is waiting as long as she can to announce.

She's the front-runner whose name must not be spoken.

There is no reason for her to declare early. It's hers. EVERYBODY else is standing around waiting for her to make her move.

And BS polls are just a way to fill the time.

[RedMDer]

Game On!

[sand88]

Sarah told me she is going to declare in November.

Sarah told me it will be August 12th, 2011. Maybe she changed her mind. In any event, she will crush the competition. She has more energy and spunk that most who are running, or thinking of running.

[ardara]

I pray that Sarah does run. She will win.

[Wolfstar]

Palin really does show no sign at all that she’s running, and wishing won’t make it so. Someone here yesterday or the day before told me she’s got her PAC and a website up, but so do a great many politicians. PACs are to pols what charitable foundations and trusts are to wealthy people. Although they let the principle channel funds to causes and candidates of their choice, PACs and trusts are really nothing more than tax shelters.

The surest sign that Palin is unlikely to run is that she’s not building an organization state by state to handle the myriad things that go into an effective ground game. Could she change her mind? Sure, but the hour is growing late.

[Sarabaracuda]

A vote for anyone but the Republican nominee is a vote for Obama.

[moehoward]

"Also, if she loses – either the nomination race or against Obama – she will seriously tarnish her credibility."

Her credibility will take a good hit is she doesn't run.

[Two Kids' Dad]

Christmas will come early if she does.