QUESTION: Will the Republicans hold the House? If yes, by how many seats?

09/09/2018 | Blackfemalearmycaptain

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

I want so badly for POTUS to have a majority in the House and Senate in November. I believe we’ll hold both, but I’m a little nervous about the House. Poll watchers, how are we looking? I will be praying!

[mrsmith]

Polls aren’t much good yet. At least the ones media show us.

Funniest thing: the Dems lead in generic polls (as they always seem to)... yet don’t mention their Party in their advertising. Seem the two things contradict...

[mountn man]

I fry my bacon first.
Remove bacon to paper towels.
Leave bacon grease in pan.
Fry eggs in pan w/ bacon grease.

No need for butter.
Bacon grease isn’t wasted.

[freedom1st]

Lose 9 in house, but still retain majority. Gain 3 in the Senate.

[editor-surveyor]

.
Butter is vastly healthier!

[tired&retired]

Sabato lists the House race as:

Dem 206

Rep 200

Toss Up 29

[editor-surveyor]

.
Gop will gain in both houses.

Ed Rollins seems to agree with this.

[onona]

Damn. You had me at Kerrygold

[Jane Long]

Now, here’s a poster we haven’t seen for a couple of years.

Where’ve you been??

[Mears]

Bacon grease is YUMMY for eggs.

.

[mrsmith]

Not an unreasonable guess at this point. But it is early.

Heck, China’s currency and stocks are getting hammered again tonight- they may not be able to hold out another 2 months and Trump will have a HUGE win in trade.

[Louis Foxwell]

Butter tastes better.

[editor-surveyor]

.
I don’t disagree, but butter is wayyyy healthier than any other oil for eggs.

[editor-surveyor]

.
In my opinion!

[Reverend Wright]

NYT is polling swing districts, and showing the results live.

One thing, if you click thru on the individual district results, you see just how much turnout assumptions vary what the estimate is.

Personally, I look at 2014 turnout and 2016 turnout and pick a number between the two.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-polls.html

(also, response rates are between one and two percent. So plenty of room for non-response bias)

[lonestar67]

I got banned during the Trump/Cruz wars.

I have been granted a recent reprieve.

[Fungi]

Why even pose the question if you are not a conservative? Are you envious of a RAT takeover?

[Slingwing]

LMFAO! Where did you come up with that dream list?

[Jane Long]

Welcome back. The ride on the Trump Train is awesome! Climb aboard.

[mkleesma]

Yes, Kerry Gold Irish butter - world’s best butter.

[atc23]

Then fry up some biscuits in that butter and bacon fat - that’s a Sunday breakfast right there