Posted on 10/12/2018 9:41:51 AM PDT by SMGFan
I never put much stock in generic polls. It is cumbersome but I go District by District. Last I looked there were several the Dems looked to flip that have moved into the safe R column.
By the same author just two short years ago.
Trump’s path to an electoral college victory isn’t narrow. It’s nonexistent.
By Stuart Rothenberg
October 18, 2016
You under estimate the power of higher taxes, open borders, a 1% growth in GDP, record unemployment, and the impeachment of both Kavanauth and President Trump to sway the American Voter. Oh and Soros controls the voting machines.
It’s a Blue Wave!
Ignore this and follow LS. 95% of the political punditry is strongly infected with inside the beltwayitis and is incapable of critical thinking.
Pickups in both chambers is what I expect as well. Most people are ignoring the number of union members, minorities and blue collar worker currently employed thanks to Trump’s “magic wand”.
Apparently good economic policies are all we need, or as Democrats call it, a magic wand.... ;)
BTW
They had 8 years and could not find a magic wand, much less a good economics policy amongst them.
The House isn’t going Democrat wither.
Why predicting Senate seat pickups accurate but not House seats GOP is in danger of losing?
When was the Senate considered to be in play?
The Rats defending 26 Seats versus the GOP defending 8 Seats gives the Rats an edge?
I guess not having a Political Science Degree is working against me.
They said Hillary would win by a landslide and two years later, according to fhem, the Rats have the House in the bag.
Maybe.
We Will Keep BOTH Houses of Congress! No Doubt About it!
I think all that they need to win are 21 seats ...
If the Dimms win 21 seats, that puts them at 218. For each seat that the Dimms pick up, the GOP loses one. So the GOP loses 21 seats, that puts them at 217.
Somebody please correct me if my math or "figgering" is off ...
>>>Let me get this straight. Currently, in the HOUSE, the GOP has 238 and the Dimms have 197. This Dude is predicting that the Dimms are going to win 42 seats?<<<
They only need to flip 21 Seats, not 42.
Almost every election cycle that I can remember Republicans have either lost seats in both Senate and House or gained seats in Senate and House. The few elections that the Republicans lost House seats and gained Senate seats the House losses were less then 20 seats each time, usually much less then 20.
If we gain 5-6 Senate seats then I believe it unlikely we would lose very many house seats, certainly not more then 20.
21, not 42. Each Rat win also counts as a GOP loss. The magic number of seats for majority is 218.
42 is the difference. If Dems pick up 22 then 197 + 22 = 219 while Repubs 238 - 22 = 216
If we keep the House, the Rats reaction will make the Kavanaugh meltdown look like a Toddlers Temper Tantrum.
They are so invested in thinking the House belongs to them it may be comparable to Hillary’s loss if their Wet Dream of a Speaker Pelosi doesn’t materialize.
The Dems only have to flip 21 seats to get a majority. I
The house will not flip
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