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Secret of Scotland's Shrinking Sheep Solved
ScienceNOW Daily News ^ | 2 July 2009 | Nayanah Siva

Posted on 07/04/2009 2:18:03 PM PDT by neverdem

Enlarge ImagePicture of sheep

Slimming down. Sheep on the remote Scottish isle of Hirta have been getting smaller.

Credit: A. Ozgul/Science

Call it the case of the shrinking sheep. On the remote Scottish island of Hirta, sheep have been getting smaller, shrinking an average of 5% over the last 24 years. Don't blame evolution, though. Researchers say climate change is the real culprit.

The Hirta sheep belong to a breed known as Soay, after the remote Scottish island where they arose. One of the most primitive forms of domestic sheep, Soays first came to Hirta in 1932. Because Hirta is a remote island, its sheep have remained genetically isolated, and no other sheep have been brought in for breeding. That's made Hirta's Soays ideal subjects for scientific study.

In 2007, scientists first reported that the sheep were smaller than they had been in the past. This prompted biologist Arpat Ozgul of Imperial College London and colleagues to analyze body weight data going back 24 years. The researchers confirmed that the Soays had indeed been getting smaller. And, as they report online today in Science, the reason appears to be climate change.

In the past, Hirta's sheep gorged on grass during their first summer, the team notes, piling on the weight in order to make it through the island's typically harsh winters. But over the past quarter-century, Hirta has had unusually short and mild winters. As a result, Ozgul and colleagues propose, grass has become available for more months of the year, meaning the Soay sheep do not have to bulk up as much. In addition, Hirta's harsh winters used to kill small ewes born to young mothers. But now these small ewes survive--and because of their low birth weight, they never get as big as normal sheep. That drives down the average size of the entire population, the team reports. Further mathematical modeling allowed the researchers to propose that natural selection has played little--if any--role in the shrinkage of the Hirta sheep.

Malcolm Gordon, an ecologist and evolutionary biologist at the University of California, Los Angeles, praises the study. But he says that other mechanisms may be at work. "Changing [environmental] conditions on the island ... [may] have led to changes in the chemical composition and nutritional value of the plant foods the sheep eat," he says, and that may have shrunk the sheep. Though at the end of the day, he says, climate change could still be the root cause.

Related Site

The Dynamics of Phenotypic Change and the Shrinking Sheep of St. Kilda


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: agw; carboncult; climatechange; globalwarming; godsgravesglyphs; greenreligion; hirta; sheep; soay; stkildaarchipelago
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To: 3niner
Island (Insular) Dwarfism is a well known phenomenon.

OK . . .

. . .but don't forget about Island Gigantism !!


Galapagos Giant Tortoise

21 posted on 07/04/2009 3:29:24 PM PDT by skeptoid (AA, UE, MBS [with oak leaf clusters])
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To: neverdem

“But over the past quarter-century, Hirta has had unusually short and mild winters. As a result, Ozgul and colleagues propose, grass has become available for more months of the year, meaning the Soay sheep do not have to bulk up as much. In addition, Hirta’s harsh winters used to kill small ewes born to young mothers. But now these small ewes survive—and because of their low birth weight, they never get as big as normal sheep”.

Dman that global warming! It’s going to give us milder winters and longer growing seasons. Ctap! We’re all gonna die.


22 posted on 07/04/2009 3:33:16 PM PDT by saganite (What would Sully do?)
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To: umgud

That is hilarious!!!!!

parsy, who has lived thru a few of these changes


23 posted on 07/04/2009 3:40:41 PM PDT by parsifal ("Knock and ye shall receive!" (The Bible, somewhere.))
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To: neverdem
They should study Key deer for wer


24 posted on 07/04/2009 3:45:12 PM PDT by bert (K.E. N.P. +12 . The boy's war in Detriot has already cost more then the war in Iraq.)
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To: Dixie Yooper
Yes, rodent sized creatures with foot long hair!

Woolbearing rats ~ the mind boggles.

25 posted on 07/04/2009 4:06:27 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: neverdem

On Islands off of the coast of Southern California the skeletons of Mammoths have been discovered in, Identical in every respect to their larger kin they were only 4 ft tall. Must have been the SUVs driven by the Clovis Indians.


26 posted on 07/04/2009 4:09:04 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (We have nothing to fear but Obama himself.)
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To: neverdem
Are these wild sheep or domestic ones? If they are being farmed, there is always the chance for selective breeding and or eating. If everyone in London wants large mutton shanks, then the big sheep are slaughtered while the smaller ones lead their happy sheep lives of bleating, mating and occasional body shaving.
27 posted on 07/04/2009 4:15:45 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, AIG, Chrysler and GM are what Marx meant by the means of production.)
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To: magslinger
I wonder if any of these jeenyuses had enough sense to do a study on what foods the sheep were eating, what were available 24 years ago and in what relative abundance versus today?

Hmmm, introduced from somewhere else to a place where they were not native? To be a valid indicator of GW wouldn't all populations of those sheep have to be shrinking alike? Not just the transplanted population. Have they never heard of adaptive radiation?

28 posted on 07/04/2009 4:20:30 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (We have nothing to fear but Obama himself.)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

The leftists fools want to believe, so they decide to believe lies. The actual global temp scale shows a decrease globally over the last decade, IIRC. It’s like Al Goreghoul has been selected to be a guru for no reason other than arbitrary choice, so he will be believed even if the scientific evidence is contradictory. It’s magic thinking ...


29 posted on 07/04/2009 4:29:08 PM PDT by MHGinTN (Believing they cannot be deceived, they cannot be convinced when they are deceived.)
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To: neverdem

So these “scientists” never heard of Scotland’s Shetland Islands? Shetland sheep, Shetland ponies and Shetland sheepdogs...all small.


30 posted on 07/04/2009 8:01:52 PM PDT by LibFreeOrDie (Obama promised a gold mine, but he will give us the shaft.)
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To: neverdem; rdl6989; Little Bill; IrishCatholic; Normandy; According2RecentPollsAirIsGood; ...
 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

31 posted on 07/07/2009 3:36:09 AM PDT by steelyourfaith ("The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money" - Lady Thatcher)
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To: neverdem
The meat of the article

As a result, Ozgul and colleagues propose, grass has become available for more months of the year, meaning the ....... Further mathematical modeling allowed the researchers to propose that natural selection has played little--if any--role ....

In other words they haven't a clue.

32 posted on 07/07/2009 11:43:31 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: StayAt HomeMother; Ernest_at_the_Beach; 1ofmanyfree; 21twelve; 24Karet; 2ndDivisionVet; 31R1O; ...

· join list or digest · view topics · view or post blog · bookmark · post a topic ·

 
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This topic is from July 4th.
The Hirta sheep belong to a breed known as Soay, after the remote Scottish island where they arose. One of the most primitive forms of domestic sheep, Soays first came to Hirta in 1932. Because Hirta is a remote island, its sheep have remained genetically isolated, and no other sheep have been brought in for breeding. That's made Hirta's Soays ideal subjects for scientific study.
To all -- please ping me to other topics which are appropriate for the GGG list.
GGG managers are SunkenCiv, StayAt HomeMother, and Ernest_at_the_Beach
 

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33 posted on 08/04/2009 1:59:20 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: 3niner; SunkenCiv
Thanks for the point on island (insular) dwarfism. A professor of environmental biology should be on to this, but his politics/religion seem to be blinding him.

His argument makes no sense on it's face. Milder winters would lead to putting on less body fat during the summer, not lead to smaller overall body mass.

34 posted on 08/04/2009 2:24:51 PM PDT by colorado tanker (I'd like to trade in this clunker - President Obama.)
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To: neverdem; SunkenCiv
Further mathematical modeling allowed the researchers to propose that natural selection has played little--if any--role in the shrinkage of the Hirta sheep.

A new study, to be released as soon as I can find a journal to publish it, finds that Climate Change/AGW leads to more and more biased modeling.

My models predict that we are at a tipping point, and that if something isn't done immediately, then in the next ten years, there will be a catstrophic dearth of scientific findings whose conclussions are NOT related to Climate Change/AGW.

35 posted on 08/04/2009 2:40:00 PM PDT by ApplegateRanch (The mob got President Barabbas; America got shafted)
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To: neverdem
Did somebody say sheep ? Image and video hosting by TinyPic
36 posted on 08/04/2009 2:56:38 PM PDT by ComputerGuy (Williams/Sowell 2012 -or- Sowell/Williams 2012)
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To: neverdem

I figured the Scots had developed a height & distance game throwing ‘em into the ocean.


37 posted on 08/04/2009 2:58:18 PM PDT by Deb (Beat him, strip him and bring him to my tent!)
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To: neverdem

Isn’t this the well known phenomenom of genetic drift in isolated island populations?


38 posted on 08/04/2009 3:56:10 PM PDT by JerseyHighlander
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To: 3niner

I didn’t read the comments before posting my own comment. You hit it on the head, I think we have here researchers of an extremely peculiar bent, Anthropological Global Warming Alarmists who are also Anti-Darwinists.
These guys don’t get invited to any of the science conferences after hours cocktail parties.


39 posted on 08/04/2009 4:00:53 PM PDT by JerseyHighlander
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To: neverdem

It’s definitely global warming:

1) Warmer weather means warmer winters, with Fall running later and Spring beginning earlier.

2) More temperate weather means shepherds are out among the sheep more.

3) The stress and caloric output of running away from amorous Scottish shepherds reduces sheep weight.

There. Global Warming strikes again, can there be any doubt?


40 posted on 08/04/2009 5:09:07 PM PDT by RightOnTheLeftCoast (I love my country, but I fear it, for it does not love me.)
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