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ARG Iowa: Huck 23%; Romney 21%; McCain 17%
American Research Group ^ | December 24, 2007

Posted on 12/24/2007 2:48:03 PM PST by Plutarch

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TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: huckabee; ia2008; romney
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ARG isn't the greatest poll, but useful for trends.

Mitt up 4%.
Huckabee down 5%. The Huckabust has begun!
Giuliani hanging around.
Ron Paul in double digits.
McCain unsurging 3%
Hunter registering at 2%.
For Thompson not so good.

1 posted on 12/24/2007 2:48:05 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

The Huckabee Boys need to break out those blue and white stripped “shirts” in order to get another bump in the poles.

Yes, poles as in circus tent poles.


2 posted on 12/24/2007 2:51:37 PM PST by trumandogz (Hunter Thompson 2008)
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To: Plutarch

Freddy is falling faster than a rock.


3 posted on 12/24/2007 2:52:31 PM PST by Dane ("Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall" Ronald Reagan, 1987)
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To: Plutarch

Those numbers seem really off for Thompson in Iowa. This race is so volatile I am beginning to believe that you cannot know what is really going on from the polls.


4 posted on 12/24/2007 2:52:51 PM PST by LWalk18
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To: Plutarch

Thompson 3%. lol.

It was great that Thompson campaigned in Iowa so people had the opportunity to get to know him. It works this way every time.

I guess it is fair to wait the “3% club” to intensify their attacks against Mitt in the coming days. I’m sure DNC provides material.


5 posted on 12/24/2007 2:53:58 PM PST by tompster76 (Amnesty: No aspirations of citizenship to illegals - ever!)
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To: LWalk18

Thompson 3%, that is totally unbelievable, Gallup just had him at 16%.


6 posted on 12/24/2007 2:54:50 PM PST by traderrob6
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To: Plutarch
Freepers are mostly in Thompson’s or Hunter’s corner yet Iowans are highly for Romney, Guillani, and Huckabee. Are Freepers that far off the national thought? If we are this country is headed to the sooey hole.
7 posted on 12/24/2007 2:59:17 PM PST by vetvetdoug
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To: LWalk18

That’s for sure.


8 posted on 12/24/2007 3:01:29 PM PST by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: tompster76

One wonders what Fred’s numbers would be if Rep. King hadn’t endorsed him.


9 posted on 12/24/2007 3:01:30 PM PST by JCEccles
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To: Plutarch

Apparently part of their determining if one is a likely caucus goer was the logic “if they support Fred they must not be likely”.


10 posted on 12/24/2007 3:02:03 PM PST by festus (Fred Thompson '08)
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To: Plutarch

Those are some pretty wild swings over a single month. I wonder where it’s going to be when the actual voting takes place.


11 posted on 12/24/2007 3:02:11 PM PST by samtheman (Fred Thompson '08)
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To: Plutarch

Fred is doing much better than this.


12 posted on 12/24/2007 3:05:46 PM PST by commonguymd (Move it to the right -Vote for Fred!)
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To: LWalk18

“Those numbers seem really off for Thompson in Iowa. This race is so volatile I am beginning to believe that you cannot know what is really going on from the polls.”

I agree. I find it hard to believe that only 3% support Thompson, and I’m a Huckabee guy. This has got to be flawed.

I will be curious what Rasmussen shows when he starts polling again after the Christmas holiday. No pollster is perfect, but I tend to find Rasmussen a little more credible.

Thompson is spending a great deal of time on the ground in Iowa. That has got to bring his numbers up.


13 posted on 12/24/2007 3:06:26 PM PST by Sola Veritas (Trying to speak truth - not always with the best grammar or spelling)
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To: traderrob6

“Gallup just had him at 16%.”

No it did not. Strategic Vision had one poll (before Fred went to Iowa) showing him at 16%. Other polls are pretty consistent. He is around 8-10% in Iowa and sinking fast (trend is down). His most recent mistake was to show up in Iowa. His numbers go down every time he shows up somewhere. He should stay away from voters if he want to gain votes.


14 posted on 12/24/2007 3:07:12 PM PST by tompster76 (Amnesty: No aspirations of citizenship to illegals - ever!)
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To: Sola Veritas

“Thompson is spending a great deal of time on the ground in Iowa. That has got to bring his numbers up.”

Actually, this is the reason he is sinking in Iowa. He was surging in early summer when he was hiding somewhere. As soon as he went to see voters and campaigned his poll numbers went down. Similarly, every time he got “major endorsement” (like NRLC), his numbers went down.

Apparently, there is some sort of inverse logic: exact opposite is happening all the time. He has great message. It is just that the messenger is wrong.


15 posted on 12/24/2007 3:11:02 PM PST by tompster76 (Amnesty: No aspirations of citizenship to illegals - ever!)
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To: Plutarch

Now that Thompson is “living in Iowa” and is practically a native son, you’d think his numbers would be much better. I guess the results are just a little slow in coming... :^)


16 posted on 12/24/2007 3:12:18 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it.)
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To: traderrob6

Team Willard is a little cranky...they’ve had a bad week.


17 posted on 12/24/2007 3:14:45 PM PST by Petronski (Willard Myth Romney: 47% negatives)
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To: Plutarch

Thompson is ALWAYS way down in ARG polls. Their previous poll had him at 5%, and at 8% in October. They also always show McCain higher than other polls.

My guess is they sample independents higher than other polling groups do.


18 posted on 12/24/2007 3:15:20 PM PST by Mr Rogers (Huckabee - the Republican John Edwards)
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To: Plutarch

Romney is going to win IA, NH and MI.


19 posted on 12/24/2007 3:15:59 PM PST by Signalman
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To: Sola Veritas
I agree. I find it hard to believe that only 3% support Thompson, and I’m a Huckabee guy. This has got to be flawed.

That and Paul going from 4% in the previous poll to 10%? I would not put too much stock in this poll.

20 posted on 12/24/2007 3:16:24 PM PST by LWalk18
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