Posted on 11/20/2015 7:07:02 AM PST by Isara
In the Republican primary race, the newest NBC News/SurveyMonkey online poll shows Donald Trump has the frontrunner spot to himself, with 28% support among Republican and independent voters who lean Republican. Support for Ben Carson, who was tied with Trump in last month's online poll, has fallen off by 8 points and the former neurosurgeon is now tied with Ted Cruz at 18%. Trailing not too far behind is Marco Rubio, at 11%. The next tier of candidates has a lot of catching up to do, with Jeb Bush at 4% and Chris Christie and Carly Fiorina each with 3%.
During the volatile primary season, the attention that is gained from being the lead candidate in the polls can be a mixed blessing. The media tends to shift its focus to those candidates leading the race - and that spotlight can seem especially harsh to those who are newer to the political scene. At the same time, rival candidates are quick to target any apparent or imagined flaw of those in the lead. This is what happened to Ben Carson during the last two weeks, as he came under scrutiny for biographical details in his memoir and criticism for his lack of foreign policy expertise.
Carson and the other Republican candidates still have more than two months before the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary to gain traction. Looking at a number of subgroups may offer some clues as to how the early contests could go. The NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll was conducted nationwide of 5,775 adults, including 2,440 Republican and Republican-leaning voters, which allows for us to look at key voting blocs.
Ben Carson is still the preferred candidate of 25% of white evangelicals, but Donald Trump (23%) and Ted Cruz (22%) have clearly eaten away at what used to be the main pillar of Carson support. Among those who identify as very conservative, Ted Cruz now has the highest level of support, with 40%, overtaking both Carson (15%) and Trump (28%).
Carson has also seen his backing erode among both men and women, and their vote preferences are now being diverted to other candidates.
Among those with college degrees or more, the Republican race is utterly divided, with Trump, Carson, Cruz and Rubio getting nearly equal levels of support. Trump has regained his lead among leaned Republican voters with high school degrees or less. And Ted Cruz has made gains among all these groups in the last month.
Stephanie Psyllos, Hannah Hartig, and Josh Clinton contributed reporting.
The NBC News/SurveyMonkey online poll was conducted from November 15-17, 2015 among a national sample of 5,755 adults aged 18 and over and including a sample of 2,440 Republican voters and independent voters who lean Republican. Respondents for this non-probability survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Overall results have an error estimate of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points and the error estimate for the leaned Republican voters is plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. A full description of our methodology and the poll can be found here.
The poll was produced by the Data Analytics Lab of NBC News in conjunction with Penn's Program on Opinion Research and Election Studies with data collection and tabulation conducted by SurveyMonkey.
Their reply ?
Damn Mark Levin and full steam ahead with Trump, damn the consequences ! Sarcasm...
Conservatives and evangelicals will once again sit home if that happens..... hello Hillary...
Don’t think that will happen ?
Take a look at the last 2 Presidential elections.
” Donald Trump may have show some liberal tendencies “ ....
At least your one of the few Trump supporters that is actually honest about that.
However we are not going to take a chance on someone who is of the same elk as of the liberal idelogy that of the Democrat party or Obama.
To choose Trump because he is a alpha male with a can do kind of guy but yet throw out conservative principles ?
Compromise ?
Sorry, we ain’t going to do that for the sake of winning.
Besides ?
The Constitution does matter.
Amen, Donald Trump is truly a media created creation candidate..... His numbers has been puffed up by the media.
A lot of those so called black evangelicals voted for Obama in the last 2 elections for president.
I would not hang my hopes in winning the election for Trump on them.
And Trump’s supporters don’t disregard Trump’s liberal positions ?
In which ?
Who has suddenly became a so called “ Conservative “ as soon as he decided to run for president.
So then ?
The Trump supporters finally admitted that they are attacking the messenger and not the actual message from Mark Levin because the truth is to hard to bare.
The Trump supporters have trown off any form of pretense.
Thank you for clearing that up for us now....
A haughty spirit goes before a fall, the bible says so.
They also said that the Titantic was unsinkable that even God could not sink the Titantic.
His supporters don’t realize it yet but they are being set up.
He is a Wheeling Dealing Con-man...
He is pulling their chains...
What do I care if I continue posting here on FR if Trump wins.
I sure ain’t going to compromise again like the last 2 times voting for the lesser of evils in 2008 for John McCain or Mitt Romney in 2012 .... Voting for Trump will be the same old same cycle like the last 2 times.
Trump is a liberal “ player = cheater “ weasle .... That will sure go well with the God fearing evangelicals.
The pathological behaviour that of a drunken whore.
And Trump just like a weather vain, where ever the political wind blows.
He can’t figure out what direction he wants to go except his ego drives him there.
Those things seem to not matter to Trump supporters as far as the majority of them here on FR goes.
Can you explain the Corker and TPP votes, as well as the H1B visa thing?
I really haven't heard anything satisfying to justify these for a man of principle.
Doctrinaire criticism seldom does.
People who support Trump, do not bash Cruz. Interesting.
People who support Trump, do not bash Cruz. Interesting.
The sad truth is that the Reuters 5 day rolling poll shows Trump at 38%, Carson at 14% and Cruz at 7%. Simple math tells you Trump is the next nominee. Cruz just does not have enough support to over come Trump. It is what it is.
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The Corker provisions will be absolutely necessary to fend off any legal assault on the new president when he cancelles the unconstitutional, and illegal Iran ‘deal.’
Don’t let the smoke blowers blind you.
Cruz’ trade votes were based in a broken promise from McConnell. They won’t matter when he is elected, since he will be able to steer all trade deals.
As to the H1b nonsense, you are believing a lie that has been thoroughly disproven. Cruz has called for the suspension of all H1b visas and an investigation/prosecution of those that have violated the law.
If you listen to trumpets, you’re not going to hear much truth.
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Worshiping the propaganda from Reuters is not going to do much for anyone that lives by reality.
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Trumpets excused of course.
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