Posted on 03/14/2016 10:17:45 AM PDT by GeaugaRepublican
In the last two weeks, Republican frontrunner Donald Trump has won more delegates in primaries and caucuses, even while his opponents have launched new attacks and questions have been raised about his supporters. The week’s Economist/YouGov Poll finds Trump still at the top of GOP voters’ preference with a wider lead, while Florida Senator Marco Rubio seems most damaged by the two weeks of attacks and counter-attacks.
(Excerpt) Read more at today.yougov.com ...
Sorry, but there just aren’t nearly as many straws for a Cruz nomination.. the only straw left is, Cruz will win head to head, and that’s not been supported by any facts to date. Cruz has yet to win any large population primary state... not a single one.
Trump is likely to be around 800 delegates after tomorrow, meaning he’ll need about 425 for the nomination, or about 1/3 of the outstanding delegates. There are several paths for Trump to get them, meanwhile Cruz has very very few paths, and can’t lose anything close....
If Kasich sticks around until 4/26 odds of Cruz finding some sort of upset in the mid atlantic states or upper midwest is pretty much gone... And the western states don’t get him anywhere close to the nomination.
Time will tell how this plays out, but unless something stunning happens tomorrow... and Kasich pulling out a win is not stunning, but will be played up as so if it happens, The path for Cruz is insanely narrow.... Statistically possible? Sure... but, there is a reason low odds come with big payouts, because the house knows its not likely to have to pay out.
I think personally Cruz shot himself in the head with his blaming of Trump for the violence in Cincinatti... This will be the first time voters can speak up since that.. and I suspect highly Cruz will see he’s lost support, and lost it to Trump... if I had to guess I’d say at least a 5% swing.
Time will tell.
Whitman is a horse farming, country club, establishment type... of course she’s going to be attacking Trump...
You know, these things are nuts. More candidates => lower percentages. Fewer, => higher.
Not all implications are accurate.
Absolutely correct.
GOPe consultants, who have proved over the years not to be the brightest bunch, have been peddling the narrative that Trump won’t pick up any votes from those that drop out.
I think reality is disproving their theory.
He's got nowhere to go but down!
Some regulars ought to stay away from windows on the upper floors. Sudden urges and all.
Not a photoshop.
It’s an image of the actor who played Mr Haney on “Green Acres”
When he was young, as in this image, he looked like Cruz a lot.
Oh my. Trump breaks 50%!
Go Trump!
Ohio, and I have said this before, Ohio is the only place the establishment can hope for any sort of good news tomorrow. This is also been Do or Die for Kasich, by his own admission from the start.
Kasich loses Ohio, he’ll leave... but what Cruz supporters in particular aren’t realizing, is Kasich will likely sell far better in the upper midwest and mid atlantic than Cruz. So if he pulls out OHIO, the stop Trump kabal has a far stronger play in those areas than they have with Cruz. And if you are the establishment, stopping Trump is what matters... If Kasich is out, Cruz will get beat in most of these states by Trump. I don’t know if Kasich can win any of them either, but he will play on average better there than Cruz.
Tommorrow we know what the next steps will look like... but as far as where I am sitting... if Kasich pulls out Ohio, its a small setback at best for Trump, but it will be played as a huge thing in the press. MO could be interesting and contain a possible surprise... There has been little polling that I know of.. one shows Trump up 7... but with only one recent poll who knows. I wouldn’t expect an upset here for Trump, but if there were a state were I think an unexpected result could be, this would be where I would watch. Odds are good Trump is taking FL, NC, IL. I’d say MO is most likely going to follow that trend, but if a state was going to surprise, this is the most likely.
Ohio - Either Kasich will take it, or Trump runs the table.
Just a little over 24 hours and we’ll see for sure how this plays out... but I know if I were a Cruz supporter, MO is where I would be looking to find some sort of hopefully good news for my guy.. because not likely to be much else to cheer about tomorrow otherwise.
Time will tell.
Exactly!
He has gotten the word from the Sea Island billionaires.
You Trumpanzees and your caucus.
Did you ever stop and think about your “enemies?” How they’re crushed? Driven before you? What about the lamentations of their women?
Gave up on Levin 6 weeks ago.
Fantastic poll.
Go Trump!
To be fair to Rush, he encouraged Republicans to vote FOR Hillary, not against her. Rush is not responsible for Obama. If fact, had Operation Chaos been more successful, Hillary would have been nominated, and McCain/Palin would have had a better chance of winning. Either way, Article 2,1,5 would still be held sacred, and nobody would be trying to persuade us that natural born means being born in Canada to a Cuban father and dual citizen mother!
Savage is the only one I can listen to these days.
And Ingraham.
Rush, Levin off my list.
I heard the caller while listening to Rush in the car. Rush just cannot let go of Ted. He will not open his eyes to it or he just can’t admit he was so wrong. Lyin Teddy fooled a lot of us up front. Rush is in good company. Then he went on to opine about how if it just hadn’t been for the Gang of Eight Rubio would be such a good candidate. I think he’s just gone off the Rez.
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