Here's my original projection from 10/15/2004.
BACK TO JEFFHEAD.COM
Posted on 10/29/2004 11:37:27 PM PDT by Jeff Head
After the revelations of today, 10/29/04, where a US Army Major revealed that his unit had destroyed 250 tons of munitions at the Al QaQua facility, and after the latest Osama bin Laden video...I am revising my election prediction upward for Bush. I honestly believe that many more Americans will vote for Bush after Bin Laden spouted the Kerry/DNC/Michael Moore talking points, and after Kerry's knee jerk reation regarding the munitions have been wholly discredited.
Thanks Jim...from all of ou hard work, commitment, faith, and prayers to God's ears. May He bring about this great victory and message.
I have been, and will be praying, I was hoping you had access to more encouraging poll numbers than I have seen; but prayer will work.
I know this has become cliché but this is perhaps the most important election of my life time – even more important than Reagan Carter. I hope that American people will make the correct choice.
We shall see
Yes we shall. I have Wednesday (11/3) off, I plan on Tuesday being a long night.
Have you no mercy man... d;-'
It was an awesome rally well over the 17,000 the local news reported. Getting up at 3am was worth it, we were right in front and I got Laura Bush's autograph. The roars from the crowd were deafening and the loudest and longest one was over partial birth abortion. Kerry is toast. There were a few (7 or 8) Kerry supporters protesting outside. I yelled back to them "Don't quit your day job!"
How wonderful for you.
God bless you for being there...from the turnouts all over the country...I feel that this prediction may well come about. But we have to keep working hard and praying hard.
My prediction is Bush 364 Kerry 174
Kerry takes Hawaii, but loses all the other "Battleground" states and Bush gets 1 EV from Maine.
Blue is always used for the party holding the Presidency at the time of the election, and red for the challenger.
As I have said...
I am predicting 350...hoping for 400...and praying for 270!
Thanks Stulis. Even though I now know that the SOP calls for...I still believe that the DNC has turned perpetually red, and intend to keep them that way as my very own little demonstration!
Amen!
If Jersey goes R, NM and MI do too.
Your FRiendlyness gives your native Texanship away not too many here that aren't Texans will be so FRiendly.
There are some but Texans are known for being Friendly 'till someone does 'em wrong....if you do Watch out!!
I always wanted to go to Idaho way up there in the panhandle that country always amazed me.
My God I think you've got it!!!
One cloud is in NYS where that thing lives---Hillary.
"Michigan and Oregon need to be added to this map.
ALONG WITH ALASKA"
Bush has about a 40% chance of carrying Michigan, and about a 5% chance of carrying Oregon. He has 100% chance of carrying Alaska.
I don't see where you are coming up with your assessment that Bush will take Oregon. I was just talking with a VERY conservative friend in Bend and he said that Bush has almost zero chance in Oregon (he calls it the "bookends" syndrome: Oregon is "bookended" by California and Washington, two of the most liberal and leftist places on the planet, and has thus become overly influenced by those two socialist republics).
"today a Field poll had W pulling within 7 points in california"
It's the brown acid; bad stuff.
Pennsylvania is lost. Ohio is doable, but will likely go to Kerry. I have calculated the total results at 274 EV for Bush and 264 EV for Kerry. That's too close for my health, but that's what I come up with (but I'm being very conservative in my projections).
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