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Trump Leads in Arizona, but if There’s an Upset . . . [Trump was right!]
NRO ^ | March 22, 2016 | John Fund

Posted on 03/22/2016 12:22:52 PM PDT by GodGunsGuts

Donald Trump was the clear favorite in today’s winner-take-all Arizona primary, even before the Brussels terrorist attacks. The immigration issue and the flood of early voters favors him, as does the fact that some of those early voters will have cast ballots for Marco Rubio before he dropped out last Tuesday night. If they had known Rubio would no longer be a candidate, many of those voters might have gone with Cruz.

But polls have been tricky and often erratic this year (think Michigan and the surprise win of Bernie Sanders). For example, the latest poll showing a 14 point Trump lead appears to oversample Phoenix voters (59 percent of state’s population vs. 73 percent of those polled). Trump outperfoms his statewide average in the Phoenix area. The Washington Post reports that “Cruz could definitely score an upset in Arizona.” If that happens or Cruz comes very close here will be the relevant factors, according to the Post.

Cruz has a superior ground game. Neutral observers say his team is a lot more organized than Trump. His state director elected many Republican members of the legislature.

It’s a closed primary, meaning only Republicans can vote. Trump has struggled in closed primaries.

Cruz has scored a bunch of late endorsements: Rep. Matt Salmon announced his support last night.

Cruz is still perceived as strong on border security.


(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: Utah
KEYWORDS: alieninvasion; aliens; amnesty; arizona; az2016; bombtheshitoutofthem; brussels; buildthewall; cruz; cultureclash; culturewar; deportthemall; elections; endanchorbabies; endsanctuarycities; enforcethelaw; immigration; isis; islam; jihad; jobs; kasich; lyinted; moratorium; muslim; musliminvasion; nationalsecurity; polls; primaries; primary; quidprotrump; reagancoalition; securetheborders; securethenation; sendthemback; sidebarspam; taxes; tdseveningshift; terror; terrorism; trade; trojanhorse; trump; trumpwasright; unipartyops
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To: Lakeshark

We’ve been through that Reagan-Carter argument ad nauseum. There is absolutely no parallel to Reagan-Carter and Trump-Clinton. And Trumpnis absolutely no Reagan.


161 posted on 03/22/2016 5:55:01 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: ScottinVA

Ah, I see, the argument has no basis, because you say so.

Very clever.

I am sure Carter and president Kerry agree. ..........


162 posted on 03/22/2016 6:00:12 PM PDT by Lakeshark (One time Cruz supporter who now prefers Trump. Yes, there are good reasons.)
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To: GodGunsGuts
Well that's interesting......saboteur on FR?
163 posted on 03/22/2016 6:01:42 PM PDT by caww
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To: euram

Oh really...now it’s blame other candidates....same o’ same o’ response to anything that Trump brings on himself.


164 posted on 03/22/2016 6:04:07 PM PDT by caww
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To: GodGunsGuts

It’s a nice touch and I commend them. Don’t get your panties in a twist over nothing. You Cruzbots are sooooo mellow dramatic.


165 posted on 03/22/2016 6:04:30 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Hillary's a criminal.)
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To: ScottinVA

Oooo, infantile snarker can dish it out but he can’t take it.

Maybe he shouldn’t have dished it out in the first place.

Okay, bye.


166 posted on 03/22/2016 6:09:02 PM PDT by Luircin (Supervillians for Trump: We're sick of being the lesser evil!)
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To: 1Old Pro
..." people line up around the block to vote for Trump"....


167 posted on 03/22/2016 6:10:37 PM PDT by caww
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To: Luircin

Good bye. Arguing with a child is not my idea of a productive evening.


168 posted on 03/22/2016 6:12:05 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: Lakeshark

Yet still no data to back up that position. Thanks for your “input.”


169 posted on 03/22/2016 6:13:48 PM PDT by ScottinVA (Breathe, Donald.... Breathe.)
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To: ScottinVA

I gave two full sets of true info that you want to ignore because they don’t bolster your foolish argument.

President Reagan, and president Kerry, and yet you keep on sounding foolish.

Check.

And mate.

Yet you’ll just keep butting your head into that wall.


170 posted on 03/22/2016 6:18:53 PM PDT by Lakeshark (One time Cruz supporter who now prefers Trump. Yes, there are good reasons.)
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To: ScottinVA

Don’t get mad at me, your post is there to see quite clearly in the original post, you state he could not win a national election. I simply pointed out, he is currently, very much winning a national election.

If you meant he couldn’t win a general election, so be it, but that is not what you said.


171 posted on 03/22/2016 6:20:36 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: timestax
He said he doesn’t want financial help in his bid for president, but there are at least nine groups trawling the Internet for donations "to kindly let voters show their undying support for our future Negotiator-in-Chief."....


172 posted on 03/22/2016 6:22:46 PM PDT by caww
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To: caww

Do NOT donate to any group raising money for Donald Trump. You can donate to his campaign if you want but the only money that goes to him is money donated at his website.
https://secure.donaldjtrump.com/donate/


173 posted on 03/22/2016 6:28:20 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: VerySadAmerican
...."Do people really decide to vote for someone because a stranger calls or knocks on their door?"......

Of course they do....Trump knocks on everyone's door via the media.... every time he orchestrates a media story he's banging at the door.

174 posted on 03/22/2016 6:35:30 PM PDT by caww
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To: Defiant
...."Cruz and his supporters are currently working for the election of Hillary".....

That's just nonsense talking there. People vote for Cruz because they want him to be President.... It's as simple as that. Sheesh...there is no candidate chosen yet....

175 posted on 03/22/2016 6:40:18 PM PDT by caww
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To: Hawthorn
...."Probably no amount of common sense, formal logic or hard data will persuade the Trump Brigade"....

Too far gone now for reason and have been for some time now. They are in lock step with the Piper.

176 posted on 03/22/2016 6:42:24 PM PDT by caww
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To: kabar
The NRO ninnyhammer who is the author of this article (John Fund) just exudes masculinity, doesn't he?

(You can also watch him in action in this short youtube video clip, and see for yourself.)



"John Fund at FreedomFest"

177 posted on 03/22/2016 6:42:48 PM PDT by Heart-Rest ( "Woe to those who call evil good and good evil!" Isaiah 5:20)
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To: the_boy_who_got_lost
...."Free Republic has gone down the tubes in recent months"....

Sadly I agree....it's been difficult to watch. I miss the real Freepers, too many have left that made things interesting and news worthy. It seems now to just be a cheerleading site for Trump. I miss the good news once you could find here.

178 posted on 03/22/2016 6:46:03 PM PDT by caww
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To: Heart-Rest


179 posted on 03/22/2016 7:00:33 PM PDT by Pelham (more than election. Revolution)
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To: Pelham
Wow!   Separated at birth?
180 posted on 03/22/2016 7:09:04 PM PDT by Heart-Rest ( "Woe to those who call evil good and good evil!" Isaiah 5:20)
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