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Live Election Report From Virginia

Posted on 11/07/2017 10:38:40 AM PST by SarahPalin2012

I just voted in SW Virginia. Rural area, goes usually about 58-42 for the good guys (or at least the less-evil guys). More cars than usual for off year elections but no real wait inside. This was about noon. I'd guess that it was half of 2016 (Trump), and about equal to when Cuccinelli lost a very close race without any establishment help in 2013 to McAuliffe. Although the Dems have an edge in VA now, I still think it is very winnable for Republicans. My hope is that we pull out a win in a close election. For those conservatives sitting out because Gillespie is kind of gutless, I know you won't listen but it still needs to be said. You are not helping.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: braking; edgillespie; election; elections; gillespie; governor; northam; northamwins; ralphnortham; rural; va2017; vagov2017; virginia
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To: central_va

Justice in WV flipped to the Republicans. Just a small update to that map.


561 posted on 11/07/2017 8:28:50 PM PST by Nessmuk53
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To: Dave W

Where are you getting the idea that the GOP lost the House of Delegates. It was bad. Very bad, but VPAP is showing a +15 for the Dems, not +18 as was suggested earlier in the thread.

That makes a 51/49 GOP House.

https://www.vpap.org/electionresults/house/


562 posted on 11/07/2017 8:28:51 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: FranklinsTower
I did consider it and I agree with you. But there are not enough voters in Virginia that agree with us anymore. It's terrific Vogel got more votes than Gillespie (as did the Atty General candidate), but she still lost in what was an easy race for the democrat.

As I stated, if Trump himself can't win in Virginia, I don't expect another candidate that embraces Trump to win either. It's not going to happen. Virginia is now a blue state.

563 posted on 11/07/2017 8:33:01 PM PST by Dave W
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To: Dave W

Using your logic, that Virginia is a lost cause why should Trump be blamed at all?

Clearly the Gillepsie/Rove/Bush/GOPe strategy is a losing one for reasons cited by many above.

If you can’t see that, then you really are not intellectually honest.


564 posted on 11/07/2017 8:35:06 PM PST by FranklinsTower
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To: kabar; Dave W; LS
The fact that Northam increased his vote total over 30% compared to McAuliffe is frightening. VA is now a solid blue state.

Wow, sobering stuff. Sad.

565 posted on 11/07/2017 8:39:29 PM PST by nutmeg
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To: TexasGurl24

Well, I did jump the gun a bit, but out of the 100 state house seats, 93 have been called with the democrats winning 47 seats and the republicans winning 46 seats. The dems have picked up at least 13 seats tonight which will send shockwaves all over. Republicans are leading in 4 and dems are leading in the other 3 contests, so the repubs may still squeak out a 1 seat majority still, but I am sure it will be days before every seat is called.


566 posted on 11/07/2017 8:40:54 PM PST by Dave W
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To: ROCKLOBSTER
They could call one of them "West Virginia"!

LOL. How 'bout "North Virginia", and the "REAL Virginia".

What used to be ALL of Virginia.

567 posted on 11/07/2017 8:44:02 PM PST by nutmeg
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To: Dave W

Like I said, a Repub version. The ultimate behind the scenes insider who runs for office.


568 posted on 11/07/2017 9:03:10 PM PST by gogeo (Leftists are a parasite that destroys the host.)
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To: FranklinsTower
I agree with your point - to a certain extent. I don't think any republican candidate would have won the governorship tonight whether they were GOPe or a Trump relative. In any election in which the president is not on the ballot, members of the other party tend to swarm at the polls to register their displeasure.

Much has been made about Obama losing 1,000 seats for the dems when he was in office. He got the blame whether it was fair or not. I'm sure some of those races were poorly run by the dem or they made some stupid comment, but fair or not, Obama got the blame.

The same will happen with Trump. It goes with the territory. The party out of power is often more energized to go to polls. All of this is proven by doing nothing more than looking at election results in off years. It is rare the party in the White House picks up seats in off year elections. It is just the way it is. W Bush did it, but that was after 9/11. That is just the way the world looks at it.

Someone wrote that the downticket races where there is not much attention paid to them and not much money is spent on the race tend to show up as the ones registering their displeasure.

But for me (for what it is worth), I do wonder how the state party prepared for house races. The democrats went all out to win the state house. They put up candidates in races where they had not challenged in years and I think the republicans used the prevent defense. I work with folks who couldn't wait to vote today and I know they did not vote republican. So, here in Northern Virginia, with increasing numbers of democrats, I don't know if anything could have stopped them regardless.

I don't hold Trump responsible for that, but the media will.

P.S. The pubs may still keep the house by 1 seat or so.

569 posted on 11/07/2017 9:13:04 PM PST by Dave W
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To: Dave W

Actually, I see what VPAP is doing compared to the NY Times.

It will be a 50/50 House, not Democrat Control.

The only seat that is a question mark is D94. The Republican is up by 12 with 100% reporting. They have to go through provisional ballots, but usually there are not enough of them to make a difference. That district had 3 provisional ballots in the last election and 16 in the election before that. The Republican actually won the Provisional ballots 11-5 that year. So unless there is an extremely unusual number of Provisional ballots, the Republican should keep that seat.


570 posted on 11/07/2017 9:22:07 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: Dave W

The Virginian-Pilot called D84 for Davis already.

Whether it’s a 50/50 House is all going to hinge on Yancey’s seat in D94.


571 posted on 11/07/2017 9:22:07 PM PST by TexasGurl24
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To: nutmeg; ROCKLOBSTER

Or maybe give the DC Stateood crowd what they want, and attach NoVa to DC.


572 posted on 11/07/2017 9:36:58 PM PST by Jacob Kell (A New Day has Dawned, let's Make America Great Again!)
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To: Jacob Kell; ROCKLOBSTER
Or maybe give the DC Statehood crowd what they want, and attach NoVa to DC.

Perfect solution!

573 posted on 11/07/2017 9:49:36 PM PST by nutmeg
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To: tennmountainman

I can’t look at him without picturing him with that slut Megyn under his desk.


574 posted on 11/07/2017 9:50:54 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: dfwgator

Gillespie was a loser, bottom line.
= = = = = = = = = =
Agreed...NOTHING the Libs could throw out about G would have made me like him any less than I already did.

The ‘party’ keeps running these losers, I threaten to not vote for them, I did this time because I am ‘afraid’ of a Northam— Red Herring partnership... Herring almost blew it last time as far as Concealed Carry goes (STILL waiting for Trumps EDICT for national reciprocity as to CC) but I think because MacAwful had national aspirations, herring got shot down.

G pulled a Bush as far as ‘Enron Ed’ — I did not hear ONE word from him trying to rebut or at least turn it, he also was handed the best weapon since Willy Horton and ‘sat on it (the FAT, WHITE, PICKUP DRIVING PATRIOT- put out as running down ‘other’ kids) I guess because he didn’t want to get in a peeing contest like the Ds would do’..
Also would think the Blacks would have abandoned him because the Northam campaign seemingly hid the BLACK LtGov.


575 posted on 11/07/2017 10:59:15 PM PST by xrmusn ((6/98)""If the earth were flat, cats would have pushed everything over the edge by now")
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To: Dave W

And how do you feel about the USHouse in 2018?


576 posted on 11/08/2017 12:06:11 AM PST by St. Louis Conservative
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To: LS

I was dead wrong on this one. The shift is something to marvel at. There is no good news for the gop in this.

VA is a blue state.


577 posted on 11/08/2017 1:07:27 AM PST by RKBA Democrat (Christianity and politics don't mix.)
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To: Dave W

Admit Gellispe was a terrible establishment candidate and then I will listen to your whimp whiny lamentations.


578 posted on 11/08/2017 2:54:53 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: kabar

There was no top of the ticket, no draw. Admit Gellispe was a bad candidate and move on. But loser Republicans who will back anyone with an R by his name can’t seem to grow up.


579 posted on 11/08/2017 2:57:37 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: COBOL2Java

If you listen to these Republican lackeys you’d think a RINO losing is the end of the word. This is the beginning. This had to happen to clear the decks.


580 posted on 11/08/2017 3:00:17 AM PST by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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