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Polls: Obama Ahead in 3 Key States Romney Moves Within Striking Distance in New Hampshire, Wisconsin, but Iowa Looks Out of Reach BY NEIL KING JR. President Barack Obama holds narrow leads over Mitt Romney in the battleground states of Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Iowa as the candidates enter the campaign's final days, new polling shows. In Wisconsin and New Hampshire, Mr. Romney remains well within striking distance, despite signs that opinions are hardening and the pool of undecided voters remains small, according to new Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Marist Poll surveys. Mr. Obama holds a 49%-46% lead in Wisconsin among...

President Obama gets sky-high marks for his response to Hurricane Sandy, which cut a brutal path along the country’s East Coast on Monday, according to the latest release of the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll. Nearly eight in 10 likely voters say the president has done an “excellent” or “good” job dealing with what’s been labeled a “super storm.” Almost as many give positive reviews to the federal government’s response generally. Even two-thirds of those who support Republican Mitt Romney in next week’s presidential election say Obama is doing well in this area. The results for the hurricane response question...

IOWA CITY, iowa --- A new Hawkeye Poll showing Mitt Romney with a slight lead over President Obama probably is all that’s needed to explain why both candidates will be in Iowa Saturday. The poll, released Oct. 31, found Romney leading the president 45.2 percent to 44.4 percent among voters who said they plan to vote.

Overall, the survey found Obama leading Romney among likely voters by 50 percent to 45 percent, after the two tied at 47 percent each in a late-September Congressional Connection Poll. Conversely, the poll recorded a slight shift toward the GOP in House races. Now, 47 percent of likely voters say they would prefer that Republicans maintain their House majority, while 44 percent want Democrats to take over; Democrats held a 45 percent to 43 percent advantage in late September. Voters, by a solid 50 percent to 40 percent margin, now say they would prefer a Democratic Senate; that’s up from...

President Barack Obama has seen a once-steady lead in Michigan decline to just 2 points in a recent poll, and Michigan has been thrown into "toss-up" status in the election's final week. The poll, from The Detroit News, finds Obama leading Republican rival Mitt Romney, 47.7 percent to 45 percent. That's the second poll in a week that has shown an increasingly tight race in the state, including a Foster McCollum White Baydoun poll that showed the race virtually tied. And it comes as a pro-Romney super PAC, American Crossroads, includes Michigan in its $50 million, final-week ad buy. Intriguingly,...

In many battleground states, Republicans traditionally outperform Democrats at the polls on Election Day, and some analysts believe there will be a GOP "tsunami" at the polls on next Tuesday's Election Day. Over the last two weeks, GOP political operatives have noted Democrats have been turning out "high-propensity voters" -- or voters who normally vote on Election Day -- for early voting, while Republicans have been turning "low propensity voters" -- or voters who traditionally do not vote on Election Day. This means Democrats have fewer voters to draw from their universe on Election Day while Republicans have more. One...

No wonder David Axelrod thinks that Barack Obama can win Ohio without winning independents. According to the latest Buckeye State poll from PPP, they only need an extra five points from non-Democrats to get a majority: **** A new Public Policy Polling survey in Ohio, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 50-45. **** Oh, let’s just skip the rest of the preliminaries and go right to the sample. The D/R/I on this poll is a ridiculous 45/36/19 that assumes Democrats will add six points to their 2008 turnout while independents largely...

Is there any reason to believe that Democrats enjoy an 8-point advantage in a state that consistently swings between the parties, mirroring the national vote? I don’t think so. Quinnipiac may also be missing a massive trend: It has chosen not to poll PA anymore at all, saying that it’s “In the bag for Obama.” Both campaigns clearly disagree, as they’re both spending money and time in Pennsylvania in the closing days to capture it. It’s a must-win for Obama, and a nice-t0-have for Romney.

The S.S. Barack Obama is slowly submerging. A Pew Research poll released on Monday showed the President’s support is waning in key demographics from his 2008 election--including the youth vote--despite his best efforts. Though he handily won over the MTV generation in 2008 by a 33 point margin over Senator McCain, it appears that a handful of young people are thinking twice this time around. The Pew poll shows President Obama with 56 percent of the youth vote, a 21 point lead over Governor Romney. Though he still holds a strong lead among young Americans, a 10-point drop in support...

October 31, 2012 Pennsylvania Poll: Romney Within Four, Despite D+13 Sample By Guy Benson 10/31/2012   Behold, Franklin and Marshall's new poll of Pennsylvania:   Before we get to the internals, notice the basic trend line.  This month, Mitt Romney broke into the mid-40s, while Obama dropped back into in the upper 40s.  Remember a political rule of thumb: An incumbent with universal name recognition who is polling below 50 percent is typically seen as vulnerable. Now, a slightly deeper dive.  Mitt Romney leads independents by 16 points in this poll, 48/32, with 10 percent undecided.  If the Republican...

“Gallup will suspend its daily national polling on account of the storm and many voters in the battlegrounds of Pennsylvania, Virginia and New Hampshire could be out of reach of pollsters just days before the election.” (1) Hurricane Sandy is certain to affect polling throughout the Eastern states, perhaps right up to Election Day. Coach is Right will provide a number of national and statewide poll results and updates through the rest of the week and on Monday. Links will be provided to pertinent Rasmussen internals and crosstabs. Rasmussen: Romney leads in the 7 day tracking poll (October 22-28) by...

· Governor Romney leads President Obama by three percentage points in Florida, 50 to 47 percent. · Democrat Bill Nelson leads Connie Mack by three percentage points in the Florida Senate race, 49 to 46 percent. · A majority of Florida likely voters (51 percent) do not approve of President Obama’s job performance. 43 percent approve of President Obama’s performance. · Similarly, half (50 percent) of Florida likely voters think the United States of America is headed in the wrong direction. 39 percent think the country is headed in the right direction. Gravis Marketing conducted an automated survey of 549...

As President Obama and Mitt Romney enter the closing week of the presidential race, where the 18 electoral votes of Ohio are seen by both sides as critical to victory, Mr. Obama's ability to prevent erosion among working-class voters may be his best path to re-election. In Ohio, according to the latest poll of likely voters by Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News, Mr. Obama runs nearly even with Mr. Romney among white voters who do not have college degrees. That helps explain why he appears slightly better positioned there in the closing week of the campaign than in Florida and...

We're down to the final week of the election, where we'd normally expect to see pollsters fine-tuning their samples in order to get the most predictive survey results ahead of the election. It's refreshing, therefore, to see the CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac partnership decide to buck that trend and stick with consistency. Their polls in the most hotly contested swing states of Ohio, Florida, and Virginia all show Barack Obama edging Mitt Romney --- as long as voter turnout resembles Obama's big win in 2008: President Obama has maintained a five-point lead in the crucial swing state of Ohio, according to a new...

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate,...

Welcome to the Halloween edition of the Colorado Peak Politics ballot return report. It’s no trick, another day of ballot returns show Colorado Republicans are being treated to another day of positive numbers, extending their lead from 2.8% yesterday to 3.2% today. It looks like the enthusiasm on the Republican side is swamping whatever advantage the much-ballyhooed Obama ground game has built. According to a Colorado Peak Politics source, ballot returns as of this fine morning are: Total Votes: 1,076,103 R – 416,681 (38.7%) D – 381,811 (35.5%) U – 268,132 (25.0%) In 2008, Democrats got out to an early...

Governor Mitt Romney has overtaken President Barack Obama by a very narrow margin in Virginia (49% - 44%), according to a Roanoke College Poll conducted after the Presidential debates. Republican George Allen also enjoys a 5 point lead over Democrat Tim Kaine (47% - 42%) in the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Virginia. The Roanoke College Poll interviewed 638 likely voters in Virginia between Oct. 23 and October 26 and has a margin of error of +4 percent. Employing a more stringent screen for likely voters (N=503) increases Romney's lead to 54 percent to 41 percent and Allen's...

WASHINGTON, Oct. 31 (UPI) -- U.S. President Obama and Republican rival Mitt Romney were in a dead heat six days ahead of Election Day, a United Press International poll indicated. Obama and Romney each were preferred by 48 percent of likely voters, the UPI-CVoter opinion poll released Wednesday indicated. Romney picked up a percentage point this week to tie Obama, results indicated. Obama led Romney by as many as 3 percentage points soon after the third presidential debate Oct. 16, but saw his lead fall to a single point Monday. Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/10/31/UPI-Poll-Obama-Romney-tied/UPI-32441351696534/#ixzz2AtblHJlj

Survey: Obama has slim 3-point lead in Michigan as Romney gains support Survey results show President Obama maintains support in Michigan as Mitt Romney gains support among male voters Author: Mara MacDonald, Local 4 Reporter Published On: Oct 30 2012 10:39:05 PM EDT Updated On: Oct 30 2012 10:56:50 PM EDT Obama's lead in Michigan cut to 3 points DETROIT - Voting-for According to the results of a political survey commissioned by the Detroit News and WDIV Local 4, Michigan is a three-point race with President Obama in the lead. Obama has less than 50 percent of the vote in...

I’m now beginning to think that the Boston Globe poll released on Monday was probably an outlier: A new poll released today shows Elizabeth Warren leading Senator Scott Brown by 7 percentage points, one of the Democratic challenger’s largest leads in any poll taken in recent months. The poll, by Suffolk University/News 7, was released a day after a Boston Globe poll showed a much tighter race, with Brown leading by 2 percentage points. The Globe poll showed an exact tie when including responses from voters who did not express an initial preference but said they were leaning in one...