Posted on 06/23/2008 5:11:54 PM PDT by Momaw Nadon
According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2008 Presidential Election.
If the traders are correct, John McCain would receive 216 Electoral Votes and Barack Obama would receive 322 Electoral Votes.
If the weighted probabilities of John McCain winning in the states are added up, and then divided by 538, and multiplied by 100, then John McCain should get 233.92 Electoral Votes.
270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the Presidency.
Opinions and commentary are welcome.
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/16/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/9/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/2/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/26/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/19/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/12/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/5/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/28/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/21/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/14/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/7/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/31/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/24/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/17/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/10/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/3/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/25/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/18/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/11/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/4/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/28/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/21/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/14/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/7/2008
Dude, we are so screwed.
At least Missouri looks accurate now - for months now, it read for McCain. I look around here and think "no way".
It’s time to short those overrated pro-Dem positions, IMHO...
Would you please add me to your ping list?
Thank you.
Michigan and Pennsylvania are ripe for the taking on this thing. That Soros money has got it out of whack.
Looks like mccain has a chance at improving things in his favor if he focuses on Nevada, and Virginia, and Missouri, and Ohio, and Pennsylvania, and New York, and California, and Michigan, and...
No matter what the polls say, joe sixpack is not voting for odumbo
NJ is a lost cause. The joe sixpacks here are foaming at the mouth to bring in a democrat so they can pay even more taxes.
Problem is joe sixpack thinks his taxes will be lowered and only Lord Flaunteroy’s taxes will be raised. Joe doesn’t bother to think that Lord Flaunteroy will just raise the prices on the stuff that Joe has to buy to cover the increased taxes.
Rats pander to the stupid.
Most of the people in New Jersey who were eligible to pay taxes have moved.
I believe it is the same here in Tennessee. This campaign has the feel of Clinton/Dole all over again.
Time for more Republicans to start backing McCain.
Georgia's safe....unless Obama picks Sam Nunn.
The Doom and Gloomers are out in full force I see.
” Time for more Republicans to start backing McCain.
“
I shall never support McCain as long as he is FOR amnesty for illegals .
Disgusting.
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