Posted on 03/08/2009 2:13:13 PM PDT by BuckeyeTexan
No, one can 100% predict history, but some of it is pretty easy. When a person pulls a trigger on a loaded gun (with the safety off), it’s pretty reasonable to expect that in a future moment following the trigger pull…the weapon will fire. A pin will hit a primer which will ignite grains of powder which will combust and increase pressure in the casing until the bullet is pushed out of the casing and down the barrel. That’s not too hard to predict.
We can predict that the sun will rise tomorrow based on a long established pattern of its doing so without being struck by a gamma ray burst from an exploding star someplace else. That rarity could happen, but the data indicates that the trend is more likely for the sun to rise. That’s not too hard to predict.
Similar predictions are possible with the American economy, President Obama’s popularity, and Democrats years of unaccountability.
Take a look at the weekly job losses for since the Sept stock market crash. It’s an exponential growth rate.
If current trends continue:
National unemployment is on track to pass 10% in March (rpt in April)
Stock market has lost 100-150pts a day since Obama was elected and since Democrats took absolute power in January. This means a DOW in the 4000’s by April or LESS/not more.
Housing, another 300000-400000 Americans will lose their homes if the current rate continues. The Democrats housing rescue effort only applies to homeowners w good credit. How many people with good credit are so far behind on their mortgage that their credit rating is still in good standing? Answer, almost none. You lose your house because you can’t make payments, and if you can’t make payments, then you don’t have good credit so the program can’t help you.
Fed govt is spending $400-500Billion a week since Obama and Democratic Congress took office. At that rate, unless the current rate of spending suddenly stops or decreases as Republicans want, Obama and the Democrats will spend another 2 trillion more this month.
Given the pattern of data, unless a gamma ray burst from an exploding star hits Earth, where is the tipping point? Clue, Gallup has Obama’s disapproval climbing faster than approval is falling. The only way to get those disapprovals down is to get people jobs, and stimulus doesn’t do that until 2010/2011 at BEST. The home thing he passed only helps people w good credit, not people who lost jobs and can’t pay bills. Boomers are retiring NOW, and they need their 401k money so to get that money back the market has to get back up. Until he does all three (which ain’t possible), his disapproval numbers grow w each layoff, each foreclosure, each person who can’t retire, each family that’s lost their life savings, and each person who doesn’t get a raise this year, but sees their taxes on electricity, etc go up (btw, remember, no more itemized deduction bonus next year).
I believe the tipping point is a 30 day period between now and April 7. Some people might blame Bush for a bad economy, or finger him causing them to lose their home, their job, their life savings, their retirement, but once those bad things have happened, they look to Obama and Democrats to fix things. We were told Obama was “Ready to lead from day 1.” Well, speaking from first hand knowledge of this, if there’s no new job, Obama gets the blame. If a family loses their house because Obama couldn’t create a new job w $800billion “stimulus” package, then Obama and Democrats get the blame. If a Baby Boomer has lost 60yrs of savings in the stock market on the eve of their retirement, and Obama doesn’t even watch the market, then that Baby Boomer who can’t retire blames Obama and Democrats for not restoring the market. If a retiree can’t afford their medicine or cancer treatments or is reduced to living off their kids because their retirement income was lost in the market, and Obama+Democrats haven’t restored the market, then that retiree will hold them responsible for not fixing things as promised.
The trends are simple and consistent: unemployment, deflation, govt spending, housing losses, stock market collapse, Presidential approval rating/disapproval. All of those show a peak this month.
President Barack Obama has 30 days or less (no more) before it’s over. After that, he cannot regain his popularity and power until the people who lost jobs find new ones, until the people who lost homes get new ones, the people who lost their savings have it restored, the people who lost their retirements get them back.
Oh yeah, and what’s the President and his party of financial foul ups have to say about this? They tell us to wait a year or two for their stimulus to start-(repeat) START taking effect, and there’s only a 1:3 chance it will actually have any effect at all according to them.
No one says do nothing (though every failing Democrat will make the claim/distraction), but clearly, the track forced down America’s throats ain’t the right one. In the next 30 days, most people will come to face the reality that they elected inept liars. No one will care about George W Bush (except to recall perhaps that when he was President they had a job, a house, a retirement, and hope). Instead, Obama and Democrats will finally reap what they’ve sown. Sadly, it will take millions of destitute Americans and a Depression to make it come home.
Interesting.
If rates continue, none of us will have a job by 2011.
I think you are correct. It may take a bit longer for the truely rabid liberals, in fact they will never admit their buddies screwed up, but the moderates may well never vote Dim again. Thank GOD!
Great article, thanks!
This trend is actually very encouraging. In 30 days, if BO tanks than more libs that there are now will get their “buyer’s remorse”. So far, there has been some good news out there in regard to “leading libs” changing their tune. Whoopi Goldberg is one. And a BIG one.
Can conservatives regain power in 2010? According to this article: yes. But only if a “revoltion” of sorts comes about to change the current trend of destroying the country asap. The “tea parties” are a good start.
Well, it was approaching at the same rate in the early '30's and it didn't happen.
WWII did instead...
Maybe that is what they want. Maybe they want you to crawl to the long line of losers for a guvmint teat.
bookmark
Me thinks more and more that "conservative" and "liberal" speak is going to replace "Republican" and "Democrat" speak.
Many school teachers will still have jobs, but look what kind of job it is when Godless parents don't rear them properly. Many don't want to study, do homework or much of anything useful. They'll make good Democrats.
I think it will all be to evident by June...going to be interesting to see how America really reacts when all this disappointment turns to rage.
Please don't write me and tell me that we'll take back Congress in 2010, unless you can show me how we win the 40 needed to do so.
Please don't tell me he'll be impeached, unless you can show me how his Dem controlled House will draft articles and his Dem controlled Senate will vote to impeach.
And certainly don't tell me he'll resign because his popularity will get down to what Bush's was before he left office. By such inane logic, then why wouldn't Bush have resigned before he finished his term.
If this dipcrap would suspend corporate taxes for a year, suspend mark to market and put a moratorium on capital gains, we could recover quickly and strongly. But since liberals don’t use logic we’ll continue to try and spend our way out of this mess. This administration refuses to deal with the real problem that is holding the economy down and that’s the banking issue and the toxic assets.
Don’t think that O cares what whoopiegoldberg thinks. She will just be one less person invited to the WH.
I have to ask this. Are the Democrats blind? or stupid? don’t they realize that going along with this spending that we all know won’t do any good, that their careers are hanging in the balance with the 2010 elections coming up? who’s going to be the 1 to say enough to all this liberal spending? or are all all afraid too because they don’t want the race card being pulled out?
As much as I would love this happen, it is simply too soon. This young black president has too much of a grace period to go down this quickly, end of summer is a more realistic timeframe. Just being practical.
Every day SarahPAC is growing leaps and bounds and while Sarah watches from the sidelines preparing herself to do battle in 3 years Obama is being hoisted by his own petard.
Sarah looks in the mirror. America, I told you what was going to come. What more could I have done?
Do not argue with a liberal. They are idiots and will only drag you down to their level, where they will then beat you with experience.
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