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This morning, surveys from the New York Times/CBS/Quinnipiac puts Obama ahead by 10 in Ohio, up by 12 in Pennsylvania, and up by 9 in Florida. Since the issue of whether the party ID within polling samples is realistic seems to be the issue of the week, let’s take a look at how these samples stack up to the 2008 exit polls. Ohio 2008 exits: 39% Democrat, 31% Republican, 30% Independent. Ohio New York Times/Quinnipiac 2012 sample: 35% Democrat, 26% Republican, 35% Independent. In this sample, the partisan split is D+9 compared to D+8 four years ago, and the GOP...

Editor's Note:This piece originally appeared at PolicyMic. From its double standard on how the mainstream media has covered both campaigns, to the 2008-Democrat heavy polling models they use, to the lack of investigative reporting on the scandals associated with this administration, it has become blatantly evident that the mainstream media harbors a liberal bias, commits endless hypocrisies and will not hold this president up to the same standards it has for previous presidents. Campaign Coverage I find the messaging from both campaigns to be remarkably stunning. Despite both candidates being Harvard graduates and worth millions of dollars each, one...

(MAP AT LINK) Karl Rove's commentary on this week's Electoral Map updates: "Seven states changed status since last week's Electoral College map, with four moving in Mitt Romney's direction and only three moving toward Barack Obama. "Mr. Romney saw Georgia move from 'lean' to 'safe' Romney, New Hampshire change from 'lean' Obama to 'toss up,' and New Mexico and Pennsylvania both shift from 'safe' to 'lean' Obama. "Mr. Obama saw Oregon shift from 'lean' to 'safe' Obama, Wisconsin change from 'toss up' to 'lean' Obama, and Arizona move from 'safe' Romney to 'lean' Romney. "Mr. Obama is down to 196...

VANDALIA, OH – For the Romney campaign, Tuesday brought yet more bad news from the Buckeye state: a new Washington Post poll showed the Republican presidential nominee trailing President Barack Obama by eight points in this critical battleground state, with 52 percent of Ohio voters in favor of giving the incumbent another four years. Before Mitt Romney's plane touched down at the Dayton airport today, two top aides were dispatched to the press cabin to put out possible fires the numbers might have sparked. "The public polls are what the public polls are," Romney Political Director Rich Beeson told reporters....

Gravis Marketing has conducted a poll of likely voters in the State of Ohio. The questions covered the presidential and senate elections. We show President Barack Obama at 45.2% and Governor Mitt Romney at 44.3%. The Senate race shows Senator Brown with a 3.9% lead over Josh Mandel. Multiple Ohio polls have been released in the last week, all showing President Obama with a lead. The lead ranges anywhere from 7% with Fox News, while Rasmussen and ARG have Obama with a 1% point lead, similar to the poll that we conducted. One thing that stood out in this poll:...

DAYTON, Ohio — Amid a flurry of recent polls showing Mitt Romney badly trailing in key swing states — especially in Ohio — a campaign adviser told reporters Tuesday that the race there is much closer than public polling suggests. Asked about a new Washington Post poll showing Romney down eight points in Ohio, political director Rich Beeson said their internal polls are telling a different story. "The public polls are what the public polls are," Beeson said. "I kind of hope the Obama campaign is basing their campaign decisions on the public polls... I have great faith in our...

Over the years, I've generally had little patience when partisans make the "polls are wrong" argument. I've usually found it to be the last refuge of campaigns who were clearly struggling. Sure, individual polls can be wrong and some can occasionally produce a crazy outlier, but, a collective average of polling produced a roughly accurate snapshot of the state of a race. This year, however, is different. The overwhelming majority of media polling this election employ such absurd assumptions about turnout this November that they not only misrepresent the presidential race, they are actively distorting it. I also believe it...

Dear Friend, In this video commentary, I discuss how new poll data — properly understood — shows a move toward Mitt. Tune in!

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows President Obama attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 46%. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.

Here's the place you can go to get the real polling numbers the MSM won't allow...........

Critics of media polling have long complained about the sample skew that tends to favor Democrats in their surveys. We do a lot of poll analysis here at Hot Air and we routinely compare the modeling to exit polling in past elections. National Journal reports today that pollsters, especially those who work with media outlets, have begun to fight back against the criticism leveled by conservatives of institutional sample skew, claiming that they're seeing trends on the ground that previous electoral models won't capture: Critics allege that pollsters are interviewing too many Democrats --- and too few Republicans or independents...

You have to laugh at the absurdity of polls like these as I broke down in the post below: 2008 was a best-in-a-generation advantage for Democrats Obama’s job approval is locked below 50% The unemployment rate has been above 8% for 3 years and it’s actually higher if you count the people so despondent they simply quit looking for a job There isn’t one economic indicator that is positive for President Obama and the economy always surveys as by far the #1 issue for voters (there is never even a close 2nd) Every single survey shows Obama’s 2008 coalition is...

Despite doom-saying about Democrats’ chances in the midterms, the latest NEWSWEEK Poll (full results) shows that they remain in a close race with Republicans 12 days before Election Day, while the president’s approval ratings have climbed sharply. The poll finds that 48 percent of registered voters would be more likely to vote for Democrats, compared with 42 percent who lean Republican (those numbers are similar to those in the last NEWSWEEK Poll, which found Democrats favored 48 percent to 43 percent). President Obama’s approval ratings have jumped substantially, crossing the magic halfway threshold to 54 percent, up from 48 percent...

Call me Pollyannaish, but I believe Mitt Romney will defeat Barack Obama in November. Let me give you some of my reasons: 1) Romney's campaign message is essentially positive; Obama's is overwhelmingly negative. People always prefer promises of something better, but Americans are especially hungry now because times are very tough. Romney is offering concrete and realistic plans to help America grow again and create millions of new jobs. Romney's message and agenda appeal to all Americans, not just certain groups, and tell them they are not imprisoned in their current economic "station" as Obama would have them believe. Though...

Mitt Romney is always getting slammed for being a rich guy, but it doesn't seem to be harming him with middle-class voters. A new poll from Politico (hardly a Mitt spokespiece), is giving the former Massachusetts governor a stark 14-percentage point advantage over President Obama with average Americans. Of course, Obama's class war strategy is not resonating with ordinary people. These folks work hard, follow the rules, and don't expect handouts from the government. They also don't hate rich people, simply because they are more successful. Over the last four years, middle-income earners have experienced the awful confluence of wage...

Professor Obama and now President Obama is about to get schooled. I am not going to get into any polls although it is a virtual dead heat as of today. The Electoral College is how we elect Presidents. Al Gore fought against Republican George Bush in 2000 and lost. George Bush won in a squeaker with 271 Electoral College votes in 2000. Bush won with only one more electoral vote than needed. John Kerry fought against Republican George Bush in 2004 and lost. (286 for Bush) Barack Obama is now fighting against Mitt Romney and the Electoral Map and losing....

On Hannity tonight Dick Morris confidently declared, barring any debate debacle, Romney will win by "4 or 5 points" and will win FL, OH, NV, VA and PA. I never know if he is full of it or knows a lot that we haven't access to.

Today I want to take a look at a few things that clearly indicate Barack Obama is losing the presidential race (despite what you might be reading at HotAir or RedState… Over the weekend alone, I spotted Five Things That Democrats Would NOT Be Doing Unless Obama Was Losing. 1. Michelle Obama is out race-baiting referring to slavery, and attempting to motivate depressed black voters by stirring up race-hate and grievances. This is not what a winning campaign does. ..when they are losing BADLY they direct all energy towards motivating the base…and the way to do that is to stir...

This news release – announcing that there are now roughly 20,000 more registered Republicans in Iowa than registered Democrats – suggests that Hawkeye state Republicans can crow about a dramatic turnaround, pointing out that back in January 2009, Iowa Democrats enjoyed a 110,000 voter registration advantage. In terms of how many voters are registered with each major party, Democrats continue to hold advantages in several key swing states, but in all of those states, their advantage is considerably smaller than it was in 2008. In Florida, as of last month there are 4,627,929 registered Democrats and 4,173,177 registered Republicans, which...

Rural voters who helped elect President Obama four years ago are now keeping his challenger competitive in key states. A new survey shows they favor Republican Mitt Romney by 14 points, and support for Obama is eroding. Listen Now: (AUDIO AT LINK) Monday, September 24, 2012 The nation's smallest and most remote places are providing Mitt Romney's biggest margins in battleground states as the 2012 presidential race enters its final weeks. In fact, rural counties are keeping Romney competitive in the states that are now up for grabs. That's what a new bipartisan survey indicates. The poll also finds that...